Toronto Raptors NBA Playoff Odds; Ontario Sports Betting Offers

Written By Evan Scrimshaw on April 4, 2022
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With the NBA playoffs right around the corner, Toronto’s fate hangs in the balance with the Raptors trying to maneuver in the standings as the regular season comes to an end. That puts Raptors odds in flux.

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Raptors Odds To Make The Playoffs

The Raptors are favourites to make the playoffs, and -400 to not play in the Play-In tournament, meaning the market is pretty confident they’ll end up among the top-six seeds.

Given momentum and the fact the Raptors are finally getting close to healthy, the Raptors should be able to avoid the play-in.

Eastern Conference Odds

The Raptors have as credible a chance at making a run as any potential 5 or 6-seed will ever have, given their 2-1 record against the Heat, 3-0 record against the Bucks, 2-1 record against the Sixers, and 2-2 records against the Celtics and Nets. The Raps possess the ability to play up to competition, but to do that three rounds is the challenge.

Odds To Win NBA Championship

If they did manage to make it to a Finals, they’d be in decent shape – they have road wins in Memphis, Denver, and Phoenix this season, and outside of the Mavs, the Raptors went 1-1 against the top six in the West in the regular season. They’re likely not good enough to make the Finals – no seed below 3 has won a Finals since the 1999 lockout – but if they went on a run, they’re not an easy out.

Raptors Odds Analysis

Offence

The Raptors are 16th in Offensive Rating, putting up just under 113 points/100 possessions, per Cleaning The Glass. The Raps have an inefficient shooting profile – 27th in the league in Effective FG%, and 26th in frequency of Free Throws – but they never turn the ball over (sixth-best at avoiding those) and they are elite offensive rebounders (second-best in the league, grabbing 31% of their misses).

The Raps problems will be ameliorated by the hopeful health of Fred Van Vleet in the playoffs – the offence can horribly stagnate when he’s hurt – but the lack of shooting is a real issue for the squad. If they can get hot perimeter shooting from Gary Trent Jr, OG Anunoby, and Pascal Siakam – all three players with an ability to get hot – they can hang with anyone, especially with their size and length making them so able to dominate the offensive glass.

Defence

Eleventh in the league, conceding a hair under 111 points/100 possessions, their defence is actually fairly mediocre on possessions where the other team get a shot up. 19th in allowed eFG%, 22nd in allowing Offensive Rebounds, 24th in Fouls Committed, if the other team gets a shooting possession, it’s a good outcome for them, likely.

What keeps the Raptors afloat defensively is their league-leading ability to generate turnovers with their monstrous length – 16.2% of opposition possessions end in a turnover, a league high. That’s how a mediocre defence on a per possession basis can still be top half of the league, by reducing the number of times the other team can actually get shots up.

Prospects

It’s unlikely the Raptors will make too much noise – the top of the East is very good, and having to play one of Boston, Milwaukee, and Philadelphia in Round 1 is a sick reward for the overachieving Raptors, if they stay in sixth, but they have the profile of a sleeper to steal some games and maybe win a round.

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