The journey towards the NBA Finals continues tonight with two more national TV games on TNT as the Mavericks host the Suns, and the Warriors take on the Pacers in San Francisco. Each week throughout the season, TheLines will look at some matchups for the televised slates and try to figure if there are any TNT NBA player props worth a look.
You can also search TNT NBA player props using our tool below. Click on the odds anywhere in this post to bet now. If prop markets are not open yet for those players, the player tiles will show futures markets. Check back later if this is the case.
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Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks
Both of these teams play excellent defense, with the Mavericks ranking fourth in efficiency and the Suns checking in second, behind only Golden State.
The differences come in pace and offense. Phoenix has been among the fastest teams, while Dallas checks in as the second-slowest. Phoenix also sports a top offense with Dallas ranking in the middle of the pack.
Throw in the fact that Dallas will finish up a back-to-back and third-in-four, expect the Suns to open as decent favorites here even on the road.
JaVale McGee Props
The Suns do have a major injury question mark, though. Deandre Ayton missed the last game and only played eight minutes in the one before, where he sustained an ankle injury. In some cases, that would mean a potential big day for his backup, JaVale McGee.
McGee is capable of putting up gaudy stats. He has excellent rebounding rates and finishes efficiently at the basket and from floater range. However he only logged 15 minutes in the game where Ayton went down, then 23 as a starter against the Spurs. Most of the other starters were around 35 minutes as the team opted to go light on big men.
There’s no guarantee any markets get posted for McGee, but if they do, make sure they aren’t inflated by his expected start.
- Use our player props search tool to find JaVale McGee props
Devin Booker And Chris Paul Props
Dallas’ defense particularly shines at preventing opposing 3-point attempts. That’s especially true above the break, where only one team has allowed fewer shots, according to Cleaning The Glass.
Against many opposing top scorers, that would be a recipe for success. Not so for Chris Paul and Devin Booker. They rank in the 100th and 99th percentile for their positions, respectively, at firing from the mid-range.
Booker has been on fire of late and dropped 48 on the Spurs.
Expect plenty of shots from him. But, playing down in pace and against a strong defense, his points prop could be inflated as well if it’s in the mid to high 20s as it was against the Spurs.
Luka Doncic And Kristaps Porzingis Props
The player everyone will be tuning in for on the Mavs is, of course, Luka Doncic. Before rushing to take over on his props, remember that not only do the Suns play great defense in general, but they also have an ace wing defender in Mikal Bridges.
It might be more fruitful to look for props on Kristaps Porzingis. He converts pretty efficiently in the mid-range, where Phoenix pushes opposing shooters. Unlike many bigs, he doesn’t venture to the rim that often, where Phoenix prevents shots at an elite level. It’s a decent match-up for the Latvian.
Indiana Pacers at Golden State Warriors
Just like the previous game, one team comes in with a major rest advantage. This time, it’s the home Warriors who get the previous day off – while Indiana will play their third-in-four as part of a long West Coast road trip.
Both teams have a major injury to consider. For the Warriors, that’s Draymond Green. The defensive leader’s impact on that end is obvious. Less obvious might be way he pushes the pace for the Dubs. Without Green, they’ve played at a glacial pace well below even the slowest teams in the league.
That could compound here with Indiana also among the slower outfits. Make sure the game total reflects the likelihood of a slow pace.
The Pacers will be without Myles Turner. Malcolm Brogdon is also questionable so check in and see if he suits up against the Lakers on Wednesday. He hasn’t played since Jan. 12.
Domantas Sabonis And Caris LeVert Props
That leaves Domantas Sabonis to shoulder the offense, in theory. He may find the going tough since he lives at the rim and the Warriors allow the lowest frequency of shots at the rim in the entire league.
The market may post a large number here on his points, expecting a heavy dose of Sabonis. Look to take the under if that proves the case.
In actuality, Caris LeVert has a much higher usage rate than Sabonis this year, 28% to 22.2%, per Cleaning The Glass. Even if he commands the offense again, his weak efficiency and the tough, slow opponent make for a nice under look as well.
Stephen Curry Props
On the Golden State side, all eyes will be on Stephen Curry. However, a number of factors might conspire to limit his scoring more so than you might expect.
First, there’s the aforementioned slow pace expected. Plus, he’s operating the offense without his co-pilot and favorite screening partner in Green.
And speaking of the offense, it’s just not wired in a way that allows Curry to completely take over. Despite his insane efficiency, Curry has only led the team in shots in two of the past five games in which he has played. The Warriors’ egalitarian system encourages everyone to get looks.
Finally, Indiana has plenty of weaknesses, but they’re tops in the league at preventing the above-the-break 3s on which Curry thrives. They rank second overall in 3-point prevention.
Look for more unders — points and 3s — in a game that should be chock full of them.