Thursday NBA On TNT Player Props: Nets Celtics, Blazers Warriors

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on February 24, 2022 - Last Updated on February 25, 2022
TNT NBA Player props

The NBA Finals are inching closer, and Thursday after the All-Star break two more national TV games take center stage. We’ll break down some TNT NBA player props.

The fast-ascending Celtics try to kick the Nets while they’re down. Then, the Warriors hope Stephen Curry’s insane All-Star game heat carries over to the regular season as they open the second half with Portland. Each week throughout the season, TheLines will look at some matchups for the televised slates. You can also search TNT NBA player props using our tool below.

Click on the odds anywhere in this post to bet now. If some prop markets are not yet open for those players, the player tiles will show futures markets. Check back later if this is the case.

TNT NBA player props tool: Find the best odds

Boston Celtics At Brooklyn Nets

The cliche of two teams going in opposite directions certainly applies here. We already referenced how the Celtics have vaulted up the futures charts thanks to their recent hot form.

While Brooklyn hasn’t seen quite as much a corresponding tumble, they’re down to eighth in the East and will again play very short-handed here. The team reported a “small chance” Kevin Durant plays here but we wouldn’t bet on it. Ben Simmons remains out for “weeks” and Kyrie Irving can’t play since it’s a home game.

Against a Boston defense putting the clamps down like nobody else, that’s a recipe for potential disaster. The Nets have been the league’s fourth-worst team under Cleaning The Glass “last two weeks” efficiency differential.

Boston ranks second in the same metric. The C’s rightfully enter this as sizable favorites against Patty Mills and Co.

Cameron Thomas Props

Or is it Cam Thomas and Co.? While Seth Curry has come in and chipped in a good amount of offense, Thomas has actually been the top shot-taker for the Nets the past couple of games despite coming off the bench.

Even in a couple of the games in which Irving played, Thomas took 18 shots apiece, second only to Irving.

If there’s any Net we can expect to have a pretty decent scoring game, it’s probably Thomas. The Celtics force a ton of mid-rangers and that’s where Thomas lives, taking a massive volume of shots. He’s converting at an elite rate of 56% there, so he actually might be able to surpass his scoring prop.

Overall, Thomas has been smashing his prop numbers, going over on every one of his props in the loss to Washington and almost all of them in the comeback win against New York.

Unfortunately, you’ll have to use our prop tool to find Thomas markets, but some numbers should get posted for a guy averaging 31 minutes and 22 points over the past eight games.

Jayson Tatum And Jaylen Brown Props

There’s a bit of push and pull going on with regard to how to approach Boston’s player props for this game.

On the one hand, Brooklyn’s defense has been bad all year and even worse of late, as referenced earlier. On the other hand, they’re playing much slower than usual in recent games, likely due to an inability to get quality looks early in the shot clock without their stars.

One thing that could factor in is the returns of Marcus Smart and Robert Williams III from injury. We could have looked for some overs on Al Horford and Derrick White after Boston went to an eight-man rotation and both player heavy minutes last time out. But, the team said both are expected to return.

That could bring down everyone’s numbers a tad from recent games. Ultimately, everyone’s going to look for Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown props here. Given the low-scoring and slow-paced potential along with the bigger rotation, we lean a little more toward unders here, although Brown’s points props have notably looked a bit low lately.

 

Golden State Warriors At Portland Trail Blazers

The Trail Blazers went on a pretty shocking four-game winning streak against fairly tough competition before the break. Now, they get another tough foe in Golden State, which will still be without Draymond Green for a few more weeks.

Unfortunately for the Blazers, they’ve now added to their incredibly injury list as well. The team announced Wednesday that Jusuf Nurkic is out for the foreseeable future with a foot injury. Given the team’s clear preference to tank, we wouldn’t expect him back on the court this season.

Nurkic played a rather large role in their mini-surge. He averaged 21.5/14/4.3 on 59% in that stretch.

Note that the Blazers are -9.5 per 100 possessions with Anfernee Simons leading lineups that don’t include Damian Lillard, CJ McCollum and Nurkic.

Josh Hart And Anfernee Simons Props

All season, Nurkic has been dominant on the glass, registering in the 96th percentile for defensive rebounding and 75th for offensive rebounding per Cleaning The Glass. Who is going to get a board now for the Blazers? They might not have a single center left on the roster at this point.

The one player who stands out in this regard is Josh Hart. He has not been a major source of boards in his three games in Portland but he has averaged more than 36 minutes per game. And he was a monster on the glass for New Orleans, where a 97th-percentile rebounding number was his lowest mark in three years.

Expect him to shoulder a big rebounding role and surpass his number, around 7.5 with the under juiced.

Meanwhile, Simons has been by far the team’s top scoring option. That should only be more true now that Nurkic has hit the pine.

On the good side for Simons here, he takes a ton of 3s, and Golden State has not been good at preventing opponent 3-point looks.

On the down side, this remains a pretty decent defense even without Green. How will Simons adjust to a top-level defense focusing all of its attention on stopping him? It will be interesting to see if and how things change now that he’s the focus of every opponent scouting report.

 

Stephen Curry And Klay Thompson Props

In the poor differential figure quoted above for the Blazers, defense has been a bigger issue than offense. The team just can’t stop anyone, allowing a first-percentile eFG% and fouling everything in sight. Maybe that’s a small sample issue with just 370 possessions captured.

But, that seems unlikely given Portland’s been an awful defense all season. They basically give up all of the best shots, a heavy diet of 3s and plenty at the rim.

The former is of greater concern against Golden State, obviously. Curry and Klay Thompson should absolutely feast on open looks here. Portland is particularly leaky against corner 3s, suggesting we should focus more on Thompson here as he takes a greater proportion of his looks there.

Add in the potential for a blowout combined with a lower prop number on Thompson, and it makes sense to look closer at his 3s and points overs here.

 

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Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

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