NBA On TNT Player Props For Tuesday: Celtics Vs. Hawks, Lakers Vs. Mavericks

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on March 1, 2022 - Last Updated on March 2, 2022
TNT NBA Player props

On TNT Tuesday, the Hawks and Celtics try to continue their respective rises up the East standings. Then, the disappointing Lakers host the surging Mavericks. Each week throughout the season, TheLines will look at some matchups for the televised slates and try to figure if there are any TNT NBA player props worth a look.

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Atlanta Hawks At Boston Celtics

This is a battle of two red-hot teams. Despite Boston’s recent loss to Indiana, they check in at third place in efficiency for the last two weeks’ worth of games, according to Cleaning The Glass’ numbers. But, that’s still below Atlanta at the top of the table.

We recently covered Boston’s swift rise up the futures markets, and they come into this game healthy. That’s key because they’re at a big scheduling disadvantage, playing their third game in four days while Atlanta has two days of rest.

Atlanta will likely miss John Collins, listed as doubtful.

Trae Young And Clint Capela Props

Particularly with Atlanta’s most efficient decent-volume player on the sideline, the Celtics can key their entire defense around containing Trae Young. Sure, this is everyone’s plan, but the Celtics actually have the individual defenders to do it.

Marcus Smart is arguably the top perimeter defender in the league, and Boston’s bigs have nimble enough feet to switch and not embarrass themselves.

Young has shot 21-for-63, way below his season average, in three meetings with Boston. Sure, the sample is tiny, but there’s probably some signal given Boston’s excellent defense.

Playing down in pace a bit against the second-ranked defense, it will take a high volume of shots for Young to surpass his points props. Given Young’s near league-leading usage, you can’t discount his chances totally, but it will be difficult.

Young’s pick-and-roll partner, Clint Capela, should also be in for a slow night. Capela’s game revolves around pressuring the rim, and the Celtics allow fewer attempts there than all but one other team. Recent longer, switchier defenses in the Cavs and Raptors both held him to single digits in points and rebounds.


Marcus Smart And Jason Tatum Props

The Celtics players are in a good spot to put up some numbers tonight. They get to face one of the league’s worst defenses and play up in pace here.

Atlanta has been especially poor preventing open 3-point looks. It’s been a problem all season and has resulted in opponents taking and making a high volume of deep looks.

Any Celtics could be in line for a big day, and the most aggressive shot hunter, Jayson Tatum, will almost certainly get his looks up. Expect a big points prop number here, though.

A sneakier look might be Marcus Smart to go over his points and/or assists. Smart takes a ton of 3s but doesn’t convert at an especially high rate. His looks should be higher quality than usual, and if he attacks off the dribble, he should find more than his usual array of open teammates against this leaky Hawks group.

Just be aware with Smart’s points and/or 3s props, he could get all the open looks in the world and brick them. Don’t go too heavy due to the volatility.

 

Dallas Mavericks At LA Lakers

The freefalling Lakers host a Mavericks team that suddenly looks like the dark horse contenders some billed them as in the preseason.

The Mavs are still fifth in the league in defensive efficiency, although they have been a hair worse without the traded Kristaps Porzingis this season.

LA, meanwhile, lost Anthony Davis to yet another injury. That also affects their defense, and more severely. While they have a solid defense on the season, Davis looks to have been a pretty big driver of that, no surprise there. Without him, they’re in the 33rd percentile in defensive efficiency, per Cleaning The Glass, which makes sense when your sometime offensive point guard plays center. LeBron James is a marvel but he can only do so much.

That creates a situation where we should look hard at over the total, 217 as of early Tuesday morning.

LeBron James Props

While that might hint toward some LA overs, Lakers Coach Frank Vogel looks like he’s throwing any lineups at the wall to see if anything sticks. Everyone’s minutes look pretty unpredictable outside of James’.

James should have a pretty high usage here, but one thing to note is he has gone under his assist total several in four of the past five games. With really only two of his teammates representing concerning scoring threats now — Malik Monk and Carmelo Anthony — teams can key in on them and keep LeBron from feeding open shooters.

Given that Dallas has been one of the league’s best at defending the 3-point line — both in terms of volume and accuracy — an under on another 7.5 number makes some sense. However, don’t be surprised if the number adjusts and ticks down to 6.5.

Luka Doncic And Spencer Dinwiddie Props

Dallas players are in a good position to put up some numbers because they’re playing way up in pace — the Lakers still rank second there — and against a weak defense. The Lakers easily hit triple digits of possessions even in their recent game against the slower Pelicans.

Obviously, the prime beneficiary of that should be Luka Doncic. The Slovenian’s scoring has been down a fair amount this year in terms of efficiency. But, Porzingis being out of his way seems to have freed him up to get where he wants on the court a little more often.

Expect a pretty big day all around from Doncic against a team that just doesn’t have any good options for defending him.

A sneakier option who could be in line for a nice game, particularly scoring: Spencer Dinwiddie. Dinwiddie has logged big minutes coming off the bench for Dallas since the trade that brought him in from Washington.

He’s also one of the few players on the team who consistently attacks the basket, where the Lakers are very vulnerable without Davis. He’s always been at his best driving aggressively, and finding himself in newly uncramped spacing has done wonders for him.

He seems to be finding his way with 20 and 24 points in the past two games. See if a changed prop number reflects this new reality. However, with no early markets, you’ll have to use our props tool to find out.

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Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

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