NBA On TNT Player Props For Tuesday: Sixers Vs. Celtics, Suns Vs. Clippers

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on February 15, 2022 - Last Updated on February 16, 2022
TNT NBA player props

The path to the NBA Finals continues Tuesday with two more national TV games on TNT. Fresh off the biggest trade of the season, the 76ers face the Celtics. Then, the juggernaut Suns try to keep rolling against the Clippers. Each week throughout the season, TheLines will look at some matchups for the televised slates and try to figure if there are any TNT NBA player prop bets worth a look.

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Boston Celtics At Philadelphia 76ers

The 76ers got the NBA world buzzing with their trade for James Harden. But, crucially, they still won’t have Harden – at least on the court – for this one as he remains out through at least the All-Star break.

With the Sixers having traded another starter in Seth Curry, along with backup center Andre Drummond, that leaves them short-handed here against a Celtics team that seems to be finding its way. The C’s are up to second in defensive efficiency overall. Per Cleaning The Glass, they’re first by a mile over the past two weeks and have the second-best differential in that period.

Is it crazy to think Boston should be road favorites here?

Either way, expect a slow, grinding game. Both teams lean on their defenses and play at slow paces — Philly third-slowest and Boston fifth-slowest.

Marcus Smart And Robert Williams Props

Even so, we may have to look for some overs for some of Boston’s players. The reason: their trading activity at the break left them playing an eight-man rotation each of the past two games.

That has meant increased minutes for stars Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown, but also for two sneakier options who may have lower prop numbers that bring better value.

Marcus Smart has been the de facto point guard all year, but he has increased his usage in the games following the trades. Obviously, the sample is small, but we work with what we have, and we have to expect both more minutes and more usage for Smart.

Of particular interest will be his assists prop. Despite the team shooting poorly in both games (both wins), Smart notched 7 assists in each game. That cleared the 5.5 numbers you could find in the prop markets without doing so in such a manner that might cause the lines to shift. Look for a play on an over of a similar number.

Robert Williams should also benefit in the rebounding department. Philly ranks 26th in rebounding rate and Williams excels, especially, on the offensive glass.

There’s a little more risk here because of potential foul trouble guarding Joel Embiid. But, Williams has been extremely disciplined this year after being notably foul-prone in the past.

 

Joel Embiid Props

No player, not even Nikola Jokic, has lit the NBA on fire the way Embiid has of late. He’s closing in on “favored over the field” territory in the MVP betting markets. He just torched Cleveland’s top-five defense for a 40-point triple-double. If he had gotten one more board against Chicago, that would have been his second such performance in four tries.

Yet, three things point to a look for Embiid unders here in the points and rebounds departments:

  • Slow-paced opponent
  • Opponent playing very strong defense with multiple capable big men
  • Losing key offensive spacer Seth Curry

Embiid will likely need to run hot on his jump-shooting here to get to a big number. He’s good enough to do it, but given his recent form, expect props that provide under value.

LA Clippers At Phoenix Suns

As if the talent disparity between these two teams wasn’t enough, Phoenix comes into this home game on two days rest while the Clippers will play their third in four as part of a back-to-back with travel.

It looked like (2023) trade acquisition Norman Powell was going to take over a large chunk of the offense and then he went down injured. That’s over with for the time being and with the way the Suns are treating teams — they’ve won 16 of 17 — you can expect a massive line here for this home game.

Reggie Jackson Props

That means more of the Reggie Jackson show. It’s pretty shocking to see a player of Jackson’s pedigree — barely hanging onto a job a few years ago — sporting a usage rate close to 30%, but he’s doing the best he can to try to carry an awful offense.

Against Phoenix’s top-level defense, which ranks third in efficiency, Jackson is probably looking at a long day. Mikal Bridges and Chris Paul offer tough matchups and the potential for a blowout can’t be ignored. Just in the past few weeks during the current streak, the Suns have four wins by 20-plus.

Such a situation would almost surely see unders on Jackson props come home.

Deandre Ayton And Chris Paul Props

The Clippers have struggled to score mightily, as one would expect with Jackson playing the leading role in the offense. They have been solid on defense though, a big credit to the team’s culture and coaching.

The area of defense where they haven’t been up to the task is finishing possessions. The team ranks 28th in defensive rebound rate and second-worst overall. With Ivica Zubac as the team’s lone real big man after the trade of Serge Ibaka, this issue looks likely to grow worse.

Can Deandre Ayton take advantage and have a dominating game on the boards here? That would seem likely, but he’s been playing the least minutes of any Suns starter. That drags down his potential numbers a bit.

Theoretically, though, he should thrive even on offense here. While the Clippers defend the perimeter well due to their assortment of wings, they’ve conceded a ton of shots inside. They’re especially leaky in what Cleaning The Glass calls “short mid” between four and 14 feet.

Of course, that’s also the sweet spot for Chris Paul jumpers off the dribble. He should get to his spots plenty in this matchup.

The trick will be balancing these tendencies with the possibility of lower-scoring games and blowouts.

 

Mo Nuwwarah Avatar
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Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

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