TNF Week 16 Parlay Picks & Player Props: 11-3 Seahawks and Rams Fight for NFC Top Spot

Written By Blaise Bourgeois | Published at December 18, 2025
Matthew Stafford of the Los Angeles Rams
Sep 28, 2025; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford (9) leaves the field after the game against the Indianapolis Colts at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images

This week's Thursday Night Football features two bitter NFC West rivals playing for the top spot in the conference. It's the 11-3 Seattle Seahawks hosting the 11-3 Los Angeles Rams.

These two teams have the best records in the NFC and are battling for the division lead and, potentially, a first-round bye in the playoffs. The loser of this game will be the #5 seed in the NFC, as preference is given to the four division winners.

Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford is now the overwhelming favorite to win MVP, sitting at -260 via FanDuel. Without Davante Adams, who's doubtful to play tonight, a legendary arm like his could have trouble in the cold, rainy conditions that are in the forecast for tonight's game. He'll likely lean on star running back Kyren Williams tonight if the conditions get particularly bad.

"If it's difficult to throw, obviously running the football will be paramount," Stafford said at his press conference on Wednesday.

"I think back to the Carolina game, I think it got really rainy there early in the fourth quarter. We basically had an entire drive or two where we drew up (run plays) and only threw the ball a couple of times.

"Like I said, both teams are going to have to play in it. Whatever it is, it is. We're going to play the game, we'll figure it out, and we'll find a way to win it."

Currently, the forecast predicts 45 degrees with a 70% chance of rain at kickoff, accompanied by winds of 10-15 miles per hour. That will likely continue to drive the over/under number down.

It's Game Time

Ahead of Thursday's contest, we've done our research to give you the best chance to win big. Before you get going, get all the latest NFL odds at our favorite NFL betting sites. Take advantage of sportsbook promos to get the most value from your picks tonight. Here are our favorite same-game parlays for Thursday Night Football.

Gametime Odds

📈 Odds via Caesars Sportsbook: Seahawks -1.5 (ML: Rams +108, Seahawks -235 | Over/Under: 42.5) 📈

Cold, Wet Run Game - Player Prop Parlay

📊 Parlay Odds: +11294 (via FanDuel)

If the weather gets particularly awful, this game could be exclusively on the ground. Even if it doesn't, these guys are all elite running backs and could easily rack up the yards necessary.

Charbonnet has scored eight rushing touchdowns as Seattle's goal-line back, while Williams has already scored 13 total touchdowns. This is the most realistic 100:1 parlay you'll see today.

Stafford Locks Up the MVP - Player Prop Parlay

📊 Parlay Odds: +800 (via Caesars Sportsbook)

Matthew Stafford is in MVP form and, even without Davante Adams, is extremely capable of having a phenomenal game against their hated division rivals.

Big players rise for big occasions, and Stafford is as capable as anyone to go nuts tonight.

A Battle for the Ages - Player Prop Parlay

📊 Parlay Odds: +1100 (via DraftKings)

Star power could play the biggest factor in a really tight ballgame between two elite teams in the NFL. These two teams have three of the most prolific touchdown scorers in the league, and would be four if Davante Adams suits up.

If you believe the Rams will decide to air the ball out tonight, you could add Puka Nacua to go off for 120+ receiving yards to improve this parlay to +2500.

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All Odds as of 8:00 a.m. ET on Dec. 18