TNF Week 15 Parlay Picks and Player Props: Buccaneers Host Falcons in NFC South Showdown

Written By Blaise Bourgeois | Published at December 11, 2025

Oct 13, 2025; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Falcons quarterback Michael Penix Jr. (9) hands off to. running back Tyler Allgeier (25) against the Buffalo Bills during the second half of a game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images

This week's Thursday Night Football features two bitter NFC South rivals. It's the 7-6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers playing host to the 4-9 Atlanta Falcons.

While the Falcons have been officially eliminated from playoff contention, the Buccaneers are holding onto a very thin lead in the division, currently tied on wins and losses with the Carolina Panthers. Those two teams will face one another in two of the final three games of the regular season.

Tampa Bay essentially need to win the division to play football in January. They would be two games behind the Chicago Bears for the final wild-card spot.

Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield is still feeling pretty confident that Tampa Bay will win its fifth-straight NFC South title.

"We’re still in control of our own destiny, that’s just a fact," Mayfield said.

“We’re tied for the division, we would love to be ahead and in a different spot, but we are where we are, and we control our own destiny, win one game at a time, and see what happens.

"The Falcons would love nothing more than to beat us and screw up our chances."

The Buccaneers will also get a potentially giant boost for the end of the regular season, as WR Mike Evans is set to make his return. Evans broke his clavicle in Week 7 and hasn't played since.

Jalen McMillan (neck) will also make his season debut and act as the Buccaneers' #4 wide receiver. Meanwhile, Falcons star WR Drake London will be out, while TE Kyle Pitts (knee), EDGE Jalon Walker (quad), DL Brandon Dorlus (groin), and DL David Onyemata (foot) are all questionable.

It's Game Time

Ahead of Thursday's contest, we've done our research to give you the best chance to win big. Take advantage of sportsbook promos to get the most value from your picks tonight. Here are our favorite same-game parlays for Thursday Night Football.

📈 Odds via Caesars Sportsbook: Buccaneers -4.5 (ML: Falcons +194, Buccaneers -235 | Over/Under: 44) 📈

Mike Evans Comeback Game - Player Prop Parlay

📊 Parlay Odds: +1012 (via FanDuel) ⭐

Leg 1: Mike Evans 60+ Receiving Yards
Leg 2: Mike Evans 5+ Receptions
Leg 3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4.5
Leg 4: Mike Evans Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Based on what's been said in the media, Mike Evans is more than ready to return this week. In fact, reports claim Evans could have even played the last couple of weeks, though player safety came first.

We're not asking for anything special from Evans. He's averaged 5/75 over the course of his entire career, scoring 106 touchdowns in 172 career games. If he can have an average game and get in the end zone, you could see a juicy +1000 parlay hit.

Bijan Robinson Takes Over - Player Prop Parlay

📊 Parlay Odds: +850 (via Caesars Sportsbook) ⭐

Leg 1: Falcons ML
Leg 2: Bijan Robinson 60+ Receiving Yards
Leg 3: Bijan Robinson 70+ Rushing Yards
Leg 4: Bijan Robinson Over 4.5 Receptions
Leg 5: Bijan Robinson Anytime Touchdown

During the first game of the season, a Buccaneers 23-20 win in Atlanta, Bijan Robinson was absolutely stuffed in the backfield, running 12 times for 24 yards. However, he was electric in the passing game, catching six balls for 100 yards and a touchdown.

Without Drake London and with Kyle Pitts questionable with a knee injury, we could see another offensive explosion, especially in the passing game.

A Little Bit of Everything - Player Prop Parlay

📊 Parlay Odds: +900 (via DraftKings) ⭐

Leg 1: Bijan Robinson 5+ Receptions
Leg 2: Mike Evans 4+ Receptions
Leg 3: Emeka Egbuka 4+ Receptions
Leg 4: Bijan Robinson Over 16.5 Rushing Attempts

Bijan Robinson has hit 17+ rushing attempts in four of his last five games, even in last week's blowout loss against the Seahawks. Egbuka has averaged four receptions a game all year, and we'd think he could hit that target tonight.

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