TNF Week 11 Parlay Picks and Player Props: Patriots Host Jets in AFC East Showdown

Written By Blaise Bourgeois | Published at November 13, 2025
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For the second straight week, Thursday Night Football features two classic NFL rivals whose season trajectories couldn't be moving any further apart. It's the 2-7 New York Jets traveling to Foxboro to take on the 8-2 New England Patriots.

After starting the season 0-7, the Jets have somehow won two straight over the Bengals and the Browns, winning both games in pretty ridiculous fashion. The Patriots, meanwhile, co-own the league's longest winning streak, with MVP favorite Drake Maye leading the AFC East leaders to seven straight victories.

Jets vs Patriots

The Jets are thinking about the future after trading two of their biggest stars, cornerback Sauce Gardner and defensive lineman Quinnen Williams, for draft picks. Jets GM Darren Mougey and Jets owner Woody Johnson have both hinted that they won't be moving on from head coach Aaron Glenn, regardless of what their record is at the end of the season. Mougey and Johnson hope that Glenn goes the way of Lions head coach Dan Campbell, who only won four of his first 24 games before the real turnaround began. Now, Detroit are a perennial Super Bowl contender and are set up to be for years to come.

On the Patriots side, their post-Tom Brady rebuild looks to be way ahead of schedule, with Drake Maye looking like a bona fide superstar in just his second year in the league. His passing production has increased dramatically, from 175 to 255 yards per game through the air. His passer rating has increased from 88.1 to a blisteringly high 113.9. Perhaps most importantly, his turnovers have decreased from 16 in 12 games to just seven through ten games, cutting his rate nearly in half.

Despite the Patriots being enormous favorites, New England know the Jets have plenty of speed on the ground that they'll have to contend with.

"We'll have a huge challenge this week, and whether it's their scheme runs with the quarterback," head coach Mike Vrabel said.

"Whether it's Breece Hall, whether it's the under center, the gun runs, the pull schemes, the perimeter runs. So, that's all that's going to matter this week, is how we do those, and whatever scheme runs that they have coming up that we'll have to prepare for and tackle."

It's Game Time

Ahead of Thursday's contest, we've done our research to give you the best chance to win big. Take advantage of sportsbook promos to get maximum value for your picks tonight.

Odds via FanDuel: Patriots -12.5 (ML: Jets +640, Patriots -950 | Over/Under: 43.5)

Patriots Stick to the Script - Parlay

📊 Parlay Odds: +3315 (via FanDuel)

Over the last few weeks, the Patriots have started utilizing their star power. Stefon Diggs has three straight games with a receiving touchdown, while TreVeyon Henderson has established himself as the Patriots number one back.

We like the Patriots coasting to an easy 28-10 victory tonight, with the game being virtually over in the first half.

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Jets Win Three Straight - Parlay

📊 Parlay Odds: +9500 (via DraftKings)

While we don't think the Jets are going to win, if you do, you may as well get the best out of your buck. New York's recipe for success tonight will be a major play from their defense and/or special teams unit, while Breece Hall has to go off for another monster game.

We're not going to drink the Jets Kool-Aid, but if you're going to, this is probably the best way to turn your dollar into $95.

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Drake Maye for MVP - Player Prop Parlay

📊 Parlay Odds: +625 (via Caesars Sportsbook

Drake Maye is the odds-on favorite to win the NFL MVP award this season, and he can certainly use this game to pad his stats. He looks like he's locked in, ready to win his eighth-straight game.

Less the opening game of the season, Maye hasn't taken a game off, and we don't think he's going to against the lowly Jets. The only reason we think this NFL player prop parlay could get railroaded is if the Patriots get off to too big a lead too early in the game.

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