Saints Vs. Rams TNF Player Prop Bets For NFL Week 16: Will Kyren Williams Continue To Dominate?

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Written By Jeffrey Schreiber | Last Updated
tnf player props

Same-game parlays and player props are now available within Thursday Night Football odds at the best NFL betting sites. NFL Week 16 kicks off with an NFC showdown between the New Orleans Saints and the Los Angeles Rams. The Rams are point home favorites. The Over/Under for this game is set at . Below, we’ll highlight NFL TNF player props and a potential SGP strategy.

TNF Player Props: Saints vs. Rams

Head To Head

Saints logo Saints NO
Rams logo Rams LAR
Offense Ranking OFF RNK N/A N/A
Defense Ranking DEF RNK N/A N/A
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG

nfl Same game parlay STRATEGY

The key to long-term profitability in SGP betting is correlation. Getting the broad story of a game correct makes it easier to hit a parlay, as you’re not cheering for disparate and potentially even contradictory things to happen. When reviewing winning SGP tickets, we can think backward and determine what game-script ideas and correlations went into constructing the parlay.

Potential saints at Rams tNF player props & Same Game Parlay Legs

Rams RB Kyren Williams Props

It has become clear that the Rams will deploy their RB1 with extreme bellcow usage. Since returning to the lineup in Week 12, Williams leads all running backs in snaps (219) and touches (106). Not only has the usage been elite for Williams, but the production has also been there. He currently leads all running backs in EPA per carry. Williams turned a career-high 32 touches into 155 yards and a touchdown in Week 15.

Although the Saints defense will pose a bigger challenge for Williams than in previous weeks, his prop numbers seemed to have baked in a tough matchup discount. While the Saints are currently holding as the eighth-best rushing defense by EPA, they have allowed a run of 10 or more yards on a league-high 14.6% of the runs against them. Rams RT Rob Havenstein is back this week, improving Williams’ matchup as a home-favorite workhorse against the Saints. With Williams having a ceiling of 25+ touches in this spot, expect him to soar over his rushing and receiving lines.

Cooper Kupp Props

Kupp has led the Rams in targets and receptions in the past three games. Although the Saints have put the clamps on opposing WRs this season, that has primarily been against outside WRs. Even with Marshon Lattimore off the field, the Saints have allowed a league-low 47.1% completion rate to outside wide receivers. If you dig further into the matchup, Kupp plays 62.5% of his snaps in the slot, which should help him. 48.6% of the wide receiver receptions against New Orleans have come through the slot, the third-highest rate in the league.

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Alvin Kamara Receiving Props

Kamara has consistently shown his receiving prowess this season, securing four or more receptions for 33+ receiving yards in 9 out of 11 games this year. This trend aligns well with the upcoming matchup against the Rams, who have allowed four or more receptions to opposing backfields in four of their last five games.

The Saints enter this game slated as 4.5-point road underdogs and will likely adopt a trailing game script. This scenario plays into the hands of QB Derek Carr, known for his tendency to check down, especially when in catch-up mode. In the Saints offensive setup, Kamara will likely continue handling most of the receiving work. Since Week 4, Kamara leads all RBs in targets (78), receptions (68), and receiving yards (446). In games that New Orleans has lost since his return, Kamara is averaging 8.2 receptions for 50.2 yards per game. He has 83.2% of the backfield touches in those games.

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How To Find TNF Player Props & SGP Promos

Most SGP promos will require you to opt-in to receive the SGP promo benefits. We are seeing some bonus bets back SGP offers for all users at FanDuel and profit boost offers at bet365, DraftKings, and Caesars. BetMGM offers SGP insurance tokens for bonus bets back if one leg loses.

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If you do not have an account at one of the sportsbooks below, click PLAY NOW to lock in a sign-up bonus. We’ve ranked the best available here. Best of luck if you are wagering on NFL TNF player props this week!