Kentucky Derby Favorite ‘Tiz The Law’ Dominates Again At Florida Derby

Posted By FairwayJay on March 29, 2020 - Last Updated on April 3, 2020

They fought the law, but the law won.

Tiz the Law (7-5) proved best again Saturday at Gulfstream Park, stalking the two leaders before taking control at the top of the stretch and then pulling away to win the $750,000 Florida Derby by more than four lengths.

Gulfstream Park track announcer Pete Aiello made the Florida Derby call with “It’s time to respect the law” as Tiz the Law galloped home to victory. Tiz the Law has plenty of respect in the betting market as he was already the favorite for the Kentucky Derby in the Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3.

William Hill in Nevada posted Kentucky Derby futures odds of 7/2 on Sunday after Tiz the Law’s dominating win at Gulfstream.

The victory was the fourth in five starts for Tiz the Law, whose only defeat was a third-place finish in the Nov. 30 Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) at Churchill Downs over a sloppy (sealed) track.

Now Tiz the Law will head to Churchill Downs and the rescheduled Kentucky Derby as the favorite on Sept. 5 for trainer Barclay Tagg and jockey Manuel Franco. Tagg is 82 years old and trained 2003 Kentucky Derby and Preakness winner Funny Cide. Manny Franco, 25, has ridden in two Kentucky Derby races — 17th in 2015 aboard Tencendur and 18th in 2019 on Spinoff.

Tiz the Law won the Holy Bull Stakes (G2) at Gulfstream Feb. 1 by 3 lengths over Ete Indien, and was five lengths better than the rival in the Florida Derby as Ete Indien (5-2) finished third. Longshot Shiveree (80-1) finished second, which provided a sizable Exacta payoff of $188.40 on the $2 Exacta 7-2.

A lesson from the Florida Derby

Many sharp bettors don’t like to bet prohibitive favorites, and even more so in horse racing when betting to win. But the exacta, trifecta and exotics along with the multi-leg bets (Pick 3, Pick 4) provide another betting lesson and opportunity to consider.

The Florida Derby was reduced to nine horses when four were scratched before the race. Despite the 7-5 favorite Tiz the Law still winning, a $2 Exacta with longshot #2 Shivaree (80-1) returned $188.40. A $2 Exacta wheel with Tiz the Law the winner on top of all other horses would have cost just $16 in the nine-horse field. A $1 Exacta wheel cost $8 and returned $94.20.

Ete Indien (5-2) finished third for a $.50 Trifecta payout of $164.45. Gouverneur Morris (5-1) finished fourth to complete the Superfecta while Independence Hall was fifth for Super Hi-5 bettors.

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The Kentucky Derby betting favorite

Tiz the Law was the favorite in the Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 and Pool 2, and he’ll surely be the favorite for the upcoming KDFW Pool 4 on April 3-5.

With major sports in the U.S. sidelined due to the COVID-19 health crisis along with other horse racing tracks on hiatus, expect the interest in the Kentucky Derby to mount even greater. Especially with the Derby pushed back to Sept. 5, as there is likely to be more Kentucky Derby preps and qualifying races added through the summer.

Tiz the Law will remain a favorite heading into the 146th running of the Kentucky Derby. America’s biggest horse race will have more time to build momentum and interest with the race pushed back to Sept. 5, but Tiz the Law will be mentioned the most in the media as the one to watch as we outlined in our Kentucky Derby Betting Guide.

Tiz the Law will also be the Triple Crown favorite and some betting locations and sportsbooks will post odds on the Triple Crown as well. That includes at some of the leading online horse racing sites that are legal and regulated like TVG and TwinSpires. Sticking to these regulated sites, as opposed to offshore sites, is preferred as your most secure option.

Major Derby preps postponed

Note that some of the current major prep races on the Road to the Kentucky Derby have already been canceled or are postponed, including the UAE Derby in Dubai. Now the April 4 Wood Memorial (Aqueduct) is postponed as the NYRA shut down the track at Aqueduct and suspended racing this past week. The April 4 Blue Grass Stakes (Keeneland) is also postponed as Keeneland recently canceled the entire spring meet due to health concerns over COVID-19. And just days ago, the Los Angeles Health Department shut down live racing at Santa Anita Park, so the April 4 Santa Anita Derby is also on hold and suspended until further notice. The Arkansas Derby (Oaklawn) has been rescheduled for May 2nd. Could the Travers Stakes at Saratoga Race Course be moved up on the calendar to Saturday, Aug. 1 and become a final major points race and prep for the Sept. 5 Kentucky Derby? Stay tuned.

The Kentucky Derby points leaderboard now has Tiz the Law on top with 122 points. However, the leaderboard will continue to change as the major Derby prep races are run and more are added this summer providing additional opportunities for horses to accumulate more points and qualify for the 2020 Kentucky Derby.

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FairwayJay

FairwayJay is a leading national sports and gaming analyst and is recognized as one of the sports industry's most insightful professionals. Jay has pursued his passions and maintained a pulse on the sports, gaming and poker industries while living in Las Vegas for nearly two decades. He's been a regular featured guest on sports and gaming radio shows, podcasts and produces sports betting and related industry articles and content for various sites and sources.

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