Titans vs. Texans: Week 17 NFL Betting Preview – January 3, 2021

Posted By Staff on December 29, 2020

The Houston Texans (4-11) are an underdog by  as they aim to break a four-game skid in a matchup with the Tennessee Titans (10-5) on Sunday, January 3, 2021 at NRG Stadium. The over/under is set at for the game.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of December 28, 2020, 2:41 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Titans vs Texans Betting Odds

Titans vs Texans Props

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Betting the Total (Over/Under)

  • The points total average for Titans games this season is 56.7, 0.7 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • Texans games average 51.3 total points, 4.7 fewer than the total for this matchup.
  • Titans games have gone over 56 points on seven occasions this season (46.7% of matchups).
  • In three (20%) games this season, the Texans have combined with their opponents to go over 56 points.
  • The two teams average a combined 53.1 points per contest, 2.9 fewer than the total for this matchup.
  • The Titans are the third-highest scoring team in the NFL this year. The Texans have scored the 21st-most points.
  • These teams allow a combined 54.9 points per game, 1.1 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
  • Houston has allowed the 26th-fewest points in the league this season, while Tennessee has given up the 23rd-fewest.
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Titans Betting Insights

  • Most of Tennessee’s games this year — 12 out of 15 — have hit the over (80%).
  • Tennessee is just 7-8 against the spread.
  • The Titans have an ATS record of 2-1 when playing as at least 7.5-point favorites.

Texans Betting Insights

  • Seven of Houston’s 15 games this year have gone over the point total (46.7% of its outings).
  • Houston has put together a losing 5-10 record against the spread this season.
  • The Texans have a losing ATS record of 0-1 when playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs.

Titans vs Texans: Head to Head

Titans vs Texans: Last 3 Meetings
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
10/18/2020 Titans Titans -4.00 52.00 -200 +175 601-412 TEN 42-36 TEN
12/29/2019 Titans Texans -9.5 43.5 -420 +360 467-301 TEN 35-14 TEN
12/15/2019 Titans Titans -3.5 50 -167 +145 432-374 TEN 24-21 HOU

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When the Titans Have the Ball

  • The Titans average points scored this season (30) and the Texans points allowed (28.2) are within 1.8 points of each other.
  • When they meet or outpace their scoring average this season, Tennessee is 8-1 and 6-3 against the spread.
  • Houston is 4-4 overall and 5-3 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 28.2 points.
  • The Texans defense has surrendered an average of 411.9 yards per game, 22.2 yards more than the 389.7 the Titans offense has averaged per contest.
  • On average, the Titans gain 6.1 yards per play and the Texans give up 6.2.
  • When the Tennessee offense puts together a game with at least their 2020 average in yardage, they are 6-2 overall and 5-3 against the spread this season.
  • When Houston allows fewer total yards to opposing offenses than their season average, they are 4-7 against the spread and 2-9 overall this season.
  • The Texans defense has given up an average of 151.7 yards per game to opposing running games this season. That total is about the same as the rushing output per contest for the Titans (160.1).
  • When Tennessee rushers gain at least a combined 160.1 yards this season, they are 5-1 overall and 5-1 against the spread.
  • This season, when the Houston defense allows opponents to pick up less than 151.7 yards on the ground, they are 4-3 against the spread and 4-3 overall.
  • This season, the Texans have forced an average of 0.5 turnovers per game, compared to the 0.7 times Titans have turned the football over in each contest.
  • When Tennessee doesn’t turn the football over this season, they are 6-2 overall and 4-4 against the spread.
  • Houston’s record this season when they force more than 0.5 turnovers: 2-2 ATS, 3-1 overall

When the Texans Have the Ball

  • The Texans put up 23.1 points per game, 3.6 fewer than the Titans surrender per contest (26.7).
  • Houston is 3-3 against the spread and 4-2 overall a season ago when the team scores at least 23.1 points.
  • Tennessee has a 6-3 record against the spread and an 8-1 record overall in games when it allows 30 points or less.
  • The Texans rack up 24.5 fewer yards per game (369.8), than the Titans give up per contest (394.3). The Texans average 6.3 yards per play, while the Titans give up 5.8 per play.
  • Tennessee has a 5-3 record ATS and a 6-2 record overall when holding its opponents to 394.3 yards or less.
  • The Texans rush for 91.3 yards per game, 31.2 fewer per game than the 122.5 the Titans allow per contest.
  • When Houston runs for at least 91.3 yards, it had a 1-6 ATS record and a 2-5 overall record.
  • Tennessee is 5-4 against the spread and 6-3 overall when holding opponents to 122.5 rushing yards or less.
  • This year, the Texans turn the ball over 1.1 times per game, 0.4 fewer turnovers per game than the 1.5 the Titans force on average.
  • Houston is 3-7 against the spread and 3-7 overall when it turns the ball over 1.1 or fewer times.
  • This season, Tennessee has a 3-3 record against the spread and a 5-1 record overall when it forces at least 1.5 turnovers.

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Titans Players to Watch

  • Ryan Tannehill leads the team with 3,601 passing yards (240.1 yards per game) and has a 65.4% completion percentage this year (297-of-454) while throwing 32 touchdowns and seven interceptions. He also has 228 rushing yards on 36 carries with five touchdowns, averaging 15.2 yards per game.
  • Derrick Henry has rushed for a team-leading 1,777 yards on 344 carries (118.5 yards per game) while scoring 15 touchdowns.
  • This season, Corey Davis has 60 catches (on 81 targets) to lead the team with 945 yards (63 per game) while scoring five touchdowns.
  • A.J. Brown’s statline this year shows 60 grabs for 922 yards and 10 touchdowns over 13 games. He averages 70.9 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 95 times.
  • Over 14 games, Jonnu Smith has caught 40 passes on 63 targets for 440 yards and eight touchdowns, averaging 31.4 receiving yards per game.
  • Harold Landry has registered a team-leading four sacks, while adding nine TFL, 63 tackles, and one interception.
  • Kevin Byard has racked up 106 tackles, one TFL, and one interception this season.
  • Malcolm Butler has intercepted four passes to lead the team while adding 93 tackles, one TFL, and 15 passes defended.

Texans Players to Watch

  • This year, Deshaun Watson has racked up 4,458 passing yards (297.2 yards per game) while going 354-for-505 (70.1% completion percentage) and throwing 30 touchdowns and six interceptions. He has added 432 rushing yards on 87 carries with three touchdowns, averaging 28.8 yards per game.
  • David Johnson has churned out a team-high 607 rushing yards (50.6 yards per game) and scored five touchdowns in 12 games. He has tacked on 30 catches for 278 yards (23.2 receiving yards per game) with two receiving touchdowns.
  • Brandin Cooks has been targeted 103 times and has 70 catches to lead the team with 984 yards (70.3 ypg) while scoring four touchdowns.
  • Jordan Akins has chipped in with 36 catches for 394 yards and one touchdown in 12 games this year. He has been targeted 47 times and averages 32.8 receiving yards per game.
  • Darren Fells has collected 312 yards on 21 passes with four touchdowns, averaging 20.8 yards per game on 29 targets.
  • J.J. Watt has notched a team-leading five sacks, while adding 12 TFL, 48 tackles, and one interception.
  • Zach Cunningham has racked up 151 tackles, six TFL, and three sacks this season.

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