Same Game Parlay Strategy: Titans At Packers NFL Week 11 Thursday Night Football

Written By Brett Gibbons on November 17, 2022
TNF Same Game Parlay (1)

The Tennessee Titans (6-3) visit the Green Bay Packers (4-6) on Thursday Night Football n NFL Week 11. Kickoff is on Nov. 17 at 8:15 p.m. ET and the game will be broadcast on Amazon Prime Video. The Packers are home favorites and the over/under is set at . This article will go over same game parlay strategy for TNF in Green Bay, including general SGP pointers and game-specific picks.

Keep up-to-date with TheLines for more SGP strategy, game previews, and everything you need to bet weekly NFL games.

Titans at Packers betting odds

To place a bet, click on odds in the table below. Toggle between spread, moneyline, or point total in the dropdown menu.

TNF Same Game Parlay Promos

FanDuel Sportsbook offers a no-sweat TNF same game parlay for Titans at Packers. Lay at least a three-leg SGP with odds at +400 or longer and, if the bet loses, FanDuel will refund you in free bet credit up to $100. If the bet cashes, those winnings are yours!

To take advantage of this promo, navigate to FanDuel Sportsbook’s “promotions” tab on the app or website and select the “Thursday Night No Sweat Same Game Parlay.” FanDuel offers a tab exclusive to SGP legs you can choose from– just be sure to select at least three legs and that the SGP prices out to at least +400.

Titans at Packers Player Props

Search for a player in our NFL Player Props Search tool below by typing their name into the search bar. To place a bet, click on the odds in the table.

Titans at Packers Betting News & Angles

Packers Vs. Titans Weather

The weather forecast for Green Bay on Thursday is dry (overcast clouds) and calm (10 mph winds), with a high temperature of 21 degrees Fahrenheit (as of 10:22 AM on November 17).

Packers Vs. Titans Injury Report

Green Bay Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
De’Vondre CampbellLBKneeOut59.6
David BakhtiariOTKneeQuestionable53.0
Randall CobbWRAnkleQuestionable28.8
Shemar Jean-CharlesCBAnkleDoubtful12.5

Tennessee Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Amani HookerDBShoulderOut60.2
Jeffery SimmonsDTAnkleQuestionable59.1
Ben JonesCConcussionOut56.9
Elijah MoldenCBGroinQuestionable56.0
Bud DupreeOLBHipOut33.8
Lonnie Johnson Jr.CBHamstringOut27.3
Caleb FarleyCBBackOut19.8
Randy BullockKCalfOut7.7

Packers Offense Vs. Titans Defense

Packers OffenseStats (Rank)Titans Defense
18.5 (25)Points/Gm18.7 (8)
0.3 (19)Points/Play0.3 (1)
352.3 (13)Yards/Gm357.7 (23)
223.0 (16)Pass Yards/Gm272.6 (31)
129.3 (12)Rush Yards/Gm85.1 (2)
5.6 (11)Yards/Play5.5 (16)
6.4 (14)Yards/Pass6.7 (18)
4.9 (6)Yards/Rush3.9 (3)
40.3% (18)3rd Down %27.9% (1)
51.7% (23)Red Zone %52.0% (10)
15 (27)Turnovers13 (11)
20 (11)Sacks29 (4)

Titans Offense Vs. Packers Defense

Titans OffenseStats (Rank)Packers Defense
18.4 (26)Points/Gm21.6 (16)
0.3 (19)Points/Play0.4 (17)
281.7 (32)Yards/Gm320.3 (9)
148.2 (31)Pass Yards/Gm179.7 (3)
133.4 (9)Rush Yards/Gm140.6 (26)
5.0 (27)Yards/Play5.4 (13)
6.3 (17)Yards/Pass6.4 (11)
4.4 (18)Yards/Rush4.8 (26)
33.6% (28)3rd Down %32.7% (2)
76.2% (1)Red Zone %51.7% (8)
10 (8)Turnovers10 (20)
21 (14)Sacks19 (22)

Titans at Packers TNF Same Game Parlay Strategy

When constructing same game parlays, be sure to select correlated legs. Some legs increase the likelihood of other legs cashing, greatly increasing the chances of your SGP cashing. For example, the Titans are 4-1 outright this season when Derrick Henry rushes for 100 or more yards, so coupling Titans +3 with over his rushing yards or attempts would be a positively-correlated parlay foundation.

Conversely, though selecting Packers -3 and under 21.5 team points offers a lucrative +664 price tag, there’s a reason for that. The Packers are 1-5 outright and 0-6 against a three-point spread when scoring less than 22 points. Naturally, teams do better as favorites when they score more than 21.5 points.

Henry is notorious for being a second-half of the year performer, so to push our SGP over the required +400 with the fewest legs possible (remember: each leg you add exponentially decreases your odds of winning) I’m looking at Henry to score 2+ TDs at +390. In 20 career games where Henry has scored two or more rushing TDs, 12 (60%) of them have come in Week 10 or later.

Henry has played 38 career games in Week 10 and later, meaning in 31.6% of his games played past Week 10 have resulted in two or more scored TDs on the ground. +390 implies a 20.4% win probability.

Brett’s Titans Packers SGP (+729):

  • Titans ML (+150)
  • Derrick Henry 100+ rushing yards (-112)
  • Derrick Henry to score 2+ TDs (+390)

Good luck with your TNF same game parlay, and be sure to follow TheLines on Twitter.

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Written by
Brett Gibbons

Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. He’s a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. He’s also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career.

View all posts by Brett Gibbons