Thanksgiving Same Game Parlay Strategy: Bills at Lions

Written By Evan Scrimshaw on November 23, 2022
thanksgiving same game parlay

This week, the Buffalo Bills will be staying in Detroit after playing there in Week 11, but this time playing the Lions in the first of three games on Thanksgiving. With all the eyes on Ford Field, there will be a lot of opportunities for a Thanksgiving Same Game Parlay, and fortunately there are solid promos to utilize.

NFL Thanksgiving Odds

Thanksgiving Same Game Parlay Promos

BetMGM Risk-Free SGP

BetMGM offers a risk-free one game parlay up to $25 with their current SGP promo. To be eligible, you must place a four-leg or longer SGP (max. 10 legs), and if your parlay fails, BetMGM will refund it in free bets. Visit the BetMGM promotions tab to see complete eligibility details. If you don’t have a BetMGM account, lock in this great new user offer as well.

FanDuel Sportsbook Thanksgiving SGP Promo

A new FanDuel bonus is offering a Thanksgiving same game parlay promo for all users. Place $20+ in cumulative SGPs or SGP+ wagers on any NFL Week 12 games to earn free bets. The $20+ can be on one SGP or multiple. Wagers must have 4+ legs and final odds of +400 or longer.

$20-$49.99 in SGPs earn a $10 free bet credit. $50-$99.99 in SGPs earn a $25 free bet credit. $100-$199.99 earns a $50 free bet credit. $200+ in SGPs earn a $100 free bet credit.

DraftKings Sportsbook SGP Profit Boost

Simply go to the promos section on DraftKings Sportsbook to claim this bonus. Once you are there, click the opt-in button and your promotion will activate. All users get up to 100% profit boost token for a SGP with 3+ legs with a max wager of $50.

The minimum odds per leg are -300 or longer (-200, +300, etc). There is a minimum total SGP odds of +100 or longer (+200, +500, etc). The more legs you add, the higher percentage profit boost will be added.

BILLS LIONS THANKSGIVING SAME GAME PARLAY STRATEGY

As the Bills are substantial favorites, any sensible Same Game Parlay should start with that basic idea in mind. The Lions are likely going to be in a negative game script and having to throw the ball around the lot.

As substantial favorites, Bills Moneyline won’t add a ton to any SGP, but they do have an implied winning chance north of 80%, so it’s not a bad addition. If we’re assuming that this game will be high-scoring and that the Bills will lead it – as the spread and total suggest – then Amon-Ra St. Brown Over Receiving Yards makes a lot of sense. St. Brown got over 100 yards the last time the Lions were playing from behind, and has proven himself to be Jared Goff’s favorite target.

On the other side, Gabe Davis has finally started working back into the offense, with 17 targets the last two weeks, and averaging 80 yards a game. Assuming the Lions put their backup CB on him and prioritize defending Stefon Diggs, Davis should have weaker coverage to beat. Yes, the Bills project to lead throughout this game, but the Bills don’t run the ball when ahead like most teams at this point.

Best of luck betting the Same Game Parlay market for Bills Lions and the rest of the Thanksgiving triple header.

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Bills vs. Lions Player Props

The props tool enables bettors to effectively track odds across sportsbooks for every player prop, to make sure that bettors aren’t missing out on a better total, or a better value, on a player prop.

Bills Vs. Lions Injury Report

Buffalo Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Josh AllenQBElbowQuestionable64.9
Tremaine EdmundsLBGroinQuestionable59.6
Mitch MorseCAnkleQuestionable59.4
Kaiir ElamCBAnkleProbable47.1
Gregory RousseauDEAnkleQuestionable35.3
A.J. EpenesaDEAnkleQuestionable27.9
Cam LewisCBForearmProbable24.3

Detroit Injuries

PlayerPos.InjuryStatusAvg. Snap Count
Jonah JacksonOGIllnessQuestionable67.0
Frank RagnowCFootQuestionable66.4
Jeff OkudahCBConcussionDoubtful58.8
Evan BrownCAnkleQuestionable54.4
Josh ReynoldsWRBackQuestionable54.1
Malcolm RodriguezLBElbowProbable49.9
D.J. CharkWRAnkleQuestionable42.3
D’Andre SwiftRBAnkleProbable27.4
Jameson WilliamsWRAclQuestionable

Bills Offense Vs. Lions Defense

Bills OffenseStats (Rank)Lions Defense
28.1 (2)Points/Gm28.2 (32)
0.4 (2)Points/Play0.4 (18)
417.4 (2)Yards/Gm415.9 (32)
283.4 (3)Pass Yards/Gm262.2 (28)
134 (9)Rush Yards/Gm153.7 (31)
6.4 (2)Yards/Play6.4 (32)
7.6 (4)Yards/Pass7.8 (32)
5.3 (3)Yards/Rush5.2 (30)
50% (2)3rd Down %50% (32)
51.3% (23)Red Zone %66.7% (26)
18 (30)Turnovers13 (14)
20 (9)Sacks17 (27)

Lions Offense Vs. Bills Defense

Lions OffenseStats (Rank)Bills Defense
25 (8)Points/Gm17.4 (4)
0.4 (2)Points/Play0.3 (1)
366.6 (6)Yards/Gm327.4 (13)
233.8 (11)Pass Yards/Gm220.8 (20)
132.8 (10)Rush Yards/Gm106.6 (8)
5.9 (5)Yards/Play5.2 (9)
7.1 (8)Yards/Pass6.3 (8)
4.7 (11)Yards/Rush4.3 (10)
40.7% (16)3rd Down %40% (14)
71.1% (5)Red Zone %45.2% (3)
12 (12)Turnovers18 (3)
15 (3)Sacks28 (12)
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