Texans vs. Vikings: NFL Betting Preview – October 4, 2020

Posted By Staff on September 30, 2020 - Last Updated on October 2, 2020

The 0-3 Houston Texans face the also-winless Minnesota Vikings on Sunday, October 4, 2020 at NRG Stadium. Houston is a 3.5-point favorite in the game and the point total is 54.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 2. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings.com.

Betting Information

Total Facts

  • Houston and its opponents have combined to score more than 54.5 zero times this season.
  • Minnesota’s games have gone over 54.5 points twice in three games (66.7%).
  • The two teams average a combined 44 points per contest– 10.5 fewer than the total for this matchup.
  • These two teams combine to allow 65.7 points per game– 11.2 greater than the total for this matchup.
  • The over/under in this game is 54.5 points– 3.8 higher than the average total in Texans games this season.
  • This season, Vikings games have resulted in an average scoring total of 59, which is 4.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The Texans score the 28th-most points in the NFL this season, while the Vikings’ offense scores the 18th-most.
  • This contest features the NFL’s 31st-ranked (Minnesota) and 29th-ranked (Houston) scoring defenses.
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Texans Betting Insights

  • Houston is 0-3 against the spread.
  • Houston’s games have hit the over in two out of three opportunities this season (66.7%).

Vikings Betting Insights

  • Minnesota has a losing 1-2 record against the spread this season.
  • Minnesota’s games have hit the over two out of three times this season (66.7%).

Texans vs Vikings: Last 4 Meetings

  • Minnesota has beaten Houston in each of their four all-time matchups.
  • Minnesota has outscored Houston 116 points to 68 in the those contests.
Texans vs Vikings: Last Five Meetings
Date Home Team Total Yards Result
10/9/2016 Vikings 351-214 MIN 31-13 MIN
12/23/2012 Texans 345-187 MIN 23-6 MIN
11/2/2008 Vikings 28-21 MIN
10/10/2004 Texans 34-28 MIN

When the Texans Have the Ball

  • The Texans average 19 points per game, 15 fewer than the Vikings have given up in each contest (34).
  • When the Minnesota defense allows 34 points or fewer this year, the Vikings have accumulated a 0-2 overall record and a 1-1 record against the spread.
  • The Vikings defense allows 440 yards per game in 2020– 132 yards more than the 308 yards the Texans average. The Texans pick up 5.7 yards per play and the Vikings give up 6.1.
  • When the Minnesota defense allows less than their season average for total yards this season they are 0-1 against the spread and 0-1 overall.
  • The Vikings defense gives up 147.7 rushing yards per game. That’s 81.7 more yards than the Texans average in 2020 (66).
  • This season, when the Minnesota defense allows less than 147.7 yards on the ground, they are 1-0 against the spread and 0-1 overall.
  • The Texans have turned the ball over 1.3 times per game this season, while the Vikings average 0.7 takeaways per contest.
  • Minnesota is 1-1 against the spread and 0-2 overall this season when they force at least one turnover.

When the Vikings Have the Ball

  • The Vikings score 25 points per game– 6.7 fewer than the Texans allow per contest (31.7).
  • When Minnesota scores at least 25 points, they are 1-1 against the spread and 0-2 overall.
  • The Vikings average 47.4 fewer yards per game (340.3), than the Texans give up per contest (387.7).
  • The Vikings average 6.5 yards per play, while the Texans allow 5.6 per play.
  • Minnesota rushes for 146.7 yards per game– 41.6 fewer per game than the Texans allow per contest (188.3).
  • When Minnesota runs for at least 146.7 yards, they have a 1-0 ATS record and a 0-1 overall record.
  • This year, the Vikings turn the ball over 2.3 times per game. Houston has yet to force a turnover this season.
  • Minnesota is 0-1 against the spread and 0-1 overall when it turns the ball over 2.3 or fewer times.

Texans Players to Watch

  • Deshaun Watson has thrown for 792 yards, four touchdowns, and three picks with a 67.4% completion (64-of-95). He’s also carried the ball 12 times for 49 yards and one touchdown, averaging 16.3 yards per game.
  • David Johnson has taken 22 attempts for 111 rushing yards (55.5 yards per game) and a touchdown in his first two games with the Texans. He’s also caught five passes for 48 yards (24 receiving yards per game).
  • Randall Cobb leads Houston with 177 yards with one touchdown on 11 receptions. He has been targeted 13 times and averages 59 yards per game.
  • Will Fuller has added 166 yards on 12 grabs with one touchdown. He has been targeted 15 times and averages 55.3 receiving yards per game in three matchups this year.
  • Brandin Cooks has caught 10 passes on 18 targets for 138 yards and zero touchdowns, averaging 46 yards per game in his first season with the Texans.
  • J. J. Watt has two sacks, two TFL, and nine tackles in three games.
  • Zach Cunningham has racked up 33 tackles, one TFL, and one sack so far this year.

Vikings Players to Watch

  • Kirk Cousins has thrown for 623 yards while completing 59% of his passes (46-of-78), with five touchdowns and six interceptions (207.7 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball six times for 48 yards, averaging 16 yards per game.
  • Dalvin Cook has churned out 294 rushing yards (98 yards per game) and scored four touchdowns in three games.
  • Alexander Mattison adds 90 rushing yards on 17 carries (30 yards per game).
  • Rookie Justin Jefferson has been targeted 15 times for 12 catches, 245 yards (81.7 ypg), and a touchdown in three games.
  • Adam Thielen’s caught 12 passes for 170 yards and three touchdowns in three games. He puts up 56.7 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 21 times.
  • Bisi Johnson has four catches on seven targets for 80 yards in two games.
  • Yannick Ngakoue has two sacks, two TFL, and five tackles in his first season with Minnesota.
  • Eric Kendricks has recorded 32 tackles and two TFL so far.
  • This season, Harrison Smith has one interception and has added 18 tackles, one TFL, and has defended two passes three in games.

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