Texans vs. Bengals: Week 16 NFL Betting Preview – December 27, 2020

Posted By Staff on December 22, 2020

The Houston Texans (4-10) are favored by  in a matchup with the Cincinnati Bengals (3-10-1) on Sunday, December 27, at NRG Stadium. The game’s point total is set at .

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of December 22, 2020, 1:41 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Texans vs Bengals Betting Odds

Texans vs Bengals Props

Looking to bet on props for this game? Use our prop search tool to find the best odds across legal sportsbooks in the US.

Betting the Total (Over/Under)

  • The points total average for Texans games this season is 50.1, 4.6 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • Games involving the Bengals this year have averaged 44.7 points per game, a 0.8-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.
  • Texans games have gone over 45.5 points on 11 occasions this season (78.6% of matchups).
  • Cincinnati’s contests have gone over 45.5 points on seven occasions (50% of games).
  • The two teams average a combined 41.9 points per contest, 3.6 fewer than the total for this matchup.
  • The Texans are the 23rd-highest scoring team in the league this year. The Bengals have scored the 30th-most points.
  • These two teams yield a combined 53 points per game, 7.5 higher than the total for this matchup.
  • Houston is the league’s 24th-ranked scoring defense while Cincinnati is the 19th-ranked.
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Texans Betting Insights

  • Houston’s games have gone under the point total in eight out of 14 outings this season (57.1%).
  • Houston has compiled a losing 5-9 record against the spread this season.

Bengals Betting Insights

  • Cincinnati has an 8-6 record against the spread.
  • Half of Cincinnati’s games this year — seven out of 14 — have gone over the point total.

Check out TheLines YouTube channel to learn more about betting tips and picks for this week’s NFL action.

When the Texans Have the Ball

  • The Bengals defense has allowed 25.4 points per game this season, about the same amount as the 22.5 the Texans have scored.
  • When they meet or go over their scoring average this season, Houston is 4-2 and 3-3 against the spread.
  • When the Cincinnati defense allows 25.4 points or fewer this year, the Bengals have pieced together a 3-4-1 overall record and a 5-3 record against the spread.
  • The Texans offense has averaged 361.4 total yards per game this season, within 11.2 yards of the 372.6 the Bengals defense has allowed. On average, the Texans pick up 6.1 yards per play and the Bengals give up 5.8.
  • In contests where the Houston offense totals at least their average yard output this season, they are 4-5 against the spread and 4-5 overall.
  • When Cincinnati allows fewer total yards to opposing offenses than their season average, they are 1-4 against the spread and 1-4 overall this season.
  • The Bengals have allowed opposing rushing attacks to average 128.6 yards per game, compared to the 86 yards the Texans offense has averaged on the ground per contest.
  • In games where the Houston rushing attack runs for at least their season average, the Texans are 2-6 overall and 2-6 against the spread.
  • When Cincinnati holds opposing teams to 128.6 rushing yards or fewer this year, they are 4-3 against the spread and 2-5 overall.
  • This season, the Bengals have forced an average of 1.1 turnovers per game, equal to the 1.1 times Texans have turned the football over.
  • When Houston turns the football over 1.1 times or fewer this season, they are 3-6 overall and 3-6 against the spread.
  • Cincinnati’s record this season when they force more than 1.1 turnovers: 3-0 ATS, 1-1-1 overall

When the Bengals Have the Ball

  • The Bengals average 19.4 points per game, 8.2 fewer than the Texans surrender per outing (27.6).
  • Cincinnati is 7-0 against the spread and 3-3-1 overall a season ago when the team scores at least 19.4 points.
  • Houston has a 3-3 record against the spread and a 4-2 record overall in games when it allows 22.5 points or less.
  • The Bengals average 89.9 fewer yards per game (312.9), than the Texans give up per outing (402.8). On average, the Bengals pick up 4.7 yards per play, while the Texans allow 6.1 per play.
  • Houston has a 4-4 record ATS and a 2-6 record overall when holding its opponents to 402.8 yards or less.
  • This season, the Bengals average 96.6 yards per game on the ground, 53.9 fewer per game than the Texans allow per contest (150.5).
  • When Cincinnati runs for at least 96.6 yards, it had a 4-3 ATS record and a 3-4 overall record.
  • Houston is 4-3 against the spread and 4-3 overall when holding opponents to 150.5 rushing yards or less.
  • The Bengals turn the ball over 1.6 times per game, one more turnover per game than the 0.6 the Texans force on average.
  • Cincinnati is 6-0 against the spread and 3-2-1 overall when it turns the ball over 1.6 or fewer times.
  • When it forces 0.6 or more turnovers, Houston has a 2-2 record against the spread and a 3-1 record overall.

Get the best betting breakdowns and picks on TheLines sports betting podcast

Texans Players to Watch

  • Deshaun Watson has thrown for 4,134 yards while completing 69.9% of his passes (330-of-472), with 27 touchdowns and six interceptions (295.3 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 82 times for 394 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 28.1 yards per game.
  • David Johnson has rushed for a team-leading 479 yards on 121 carries (43.5 yards per game) while scoring four touchdowns in 11 games. He also averages 24.3 receiving yards per game, grabbing 27 passes for 267 yards and one touchdown.
  • This season, Brandin Cooks has 63 catches (on 93 targets) to lead the team with 843 yards (64.8 per game) while scoring three touchdowns in 13 games.
  • Jordan Akins has also contributed with 355 yards on 32 grabs with one touchdown. He has been targeted 43 times and averages 32.3 receiving yards per game in 11 matchups this year.
  • Darren Fells has caught 20 passes on 27 targets for 290 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 20.7 yards per game.
  • J.J. Watt has five sacks to lead the team, and has also collected 12 TFL, 45 tackles, and one interception.
  • Zach Cunningham has collected 137 tackles, six TFL, and three sacks this year.

Bengals Players to Watch

  • Giovani Bernard has churned out a team-high 344 rushing yards (24.6 yards per game) and scored three touchdowns. He has added 40 catches for 289 yards (20.6 receiving yards per game) with three receiving touchdowns.
  • Samaje Perine has 155 yards on 41 carries (11.1 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
  • Tyler Boyd has been targeted 107 times and has 78 catches to lead the team with 840 yards (60 ypg) with four touchdowns.
  • Tee Higgins has also contributed with 61 catches for 809 yards and five touchdowns. He has been targeted 97 times and puts up 57.8 receiving yards per game.
  • A.J. Green has caught 43 passes on 91 targets for 459 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 32.8 yards per game.
  • Carl Lawson has registered a team-leading 5.5 sacks, while adding four TFL and 34 tackles.
  • This season, Vonn Bell has totaled 101 tackles and three TFL.
  • This season, Jessie Bates III leads the team with three interceptions and has added 97 tackles, three TFL, and 14 passes defended.

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