The No. 3 seed Tennessee Volunteers (27-7) are looking to advance to the Sweet 16 round of the NCAA Tournament when they meet the No. 11 seed Michigan Wolverines (18-14) on Saturday at TBA. Keep reading to find betting insights and statistics to help place a wager on the Volunteers’ (to win on the moneyline) matchup with the Wolverines ( ).
The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of March 17, 2022 at 11:59 PM ET.
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Tennessee vs Michigan Betting Odds
by Ryan Minion
Tennessee enters the Round of 32 with some confidence after unleashing a beatdown on No. 14 seed Longwood. On the other hand, Michigan fell behind to sixth-seeded Colorado State by fifteen points, only to come storming back to win the game by double digits.
Above all else, Rick Barnes’ Volunteers have one of the most efficient defenses in the entire country. According to Shot Quality, Tennessee is the second-ranked team in the country in regard to Adjusted Defensive Shot Quality (AdjDEF SQ), which is a metric that measures a team’s shot quality per possession, whilst also adjusting for the team’s strength of schedule. Additionally, the Volunteers also rank in the top five in the nation in Shot Quality per possession (SQ PPP) in the half-court. The Volunteers enter this matchup as perhaps the best defending team left in the tournament (although Texas Tech may like a word), and they face a team who has horrific offensive efficiency metrics.
Furthermore, Michigan ranks outside the top 250 in the country in the following areas: transition offense, Isolation, Catch & Shoot 3PT, off the dribble 3PT, and field goals taken in the mid-range.
Tennessee most definitely has betting value in its Round of 32 matchup versus Michigan, and I am laying the points on the Volunteers to cover up to 6.5.
Tennessee Offense Vs. Michigan Defense
|Tennessee Offense||Stats (Rank)||Michigan Defense|
|73.6 (106)||Points/Gm||69.7 (195)|
|68.0 (179)||Possessions/Game||66.2 (57)|
|43.5 (213)||Field Goal %||44.5 (248)|
|36.5 (45)||3PT %||33.0 (155)|
|50.9 (145)||Effective FG %||50.2 (210)|
|54.3 (142)||True Shooting %||53.9 (243)|
Michigan Offense Vs. Tennessee Defense
|Michigan Offense||Stats (Rank)||Tennessee Defense|
|73.1 (117)||Points/Gm||62.6 (25)|
|66.4 (261)||Possessions/Game||67.9 (133)|
|47.0 (37)||Field Goal %||40.0 (28)|
|33.8 (185)||3PT %||31.2 (56)|
|52.5 (83)||Effective FG %||46.2 (31)|
|56.2 (70)||True Shooting %||50.3 (66)|
Tennessee Betting Insights
- Tennessee has put together a 21-13-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Volunteers have an ATS record of 12-8 when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites this season.
- Tennessee and its opponents have combined to hit the over 15 out of 34 times this season.
- In 18 games this season, Tennessee and its opponents have gone over 135.5 combined points.
- The Volunteers have an average total of 137.5 in their matchups this year, 2.0 more points than this game’s over/under.
Michigan Betting Insights
- Michigan has put together a 13-19-0 ATS record so far this year.
- The Wolverines have been an underdog by 5.5 points or more three times this season, and covered the spread in two of those contests.
- So far this season, 19 out of Michigan’s 32 games with an over/under have hit the over.
- Michigan and its opponents have combined to score more than 135.5 points in 22 of 32 games this season.
- The Wolverines have a 140.2-point average over/under in their matchups this season, 4.7 more points than this game’s total.
Tennessee Key Players
- Kennedy Chandler leads the Volunteers in scoring (13.8 points per game) and assists (4.6 assists per game).
- Josiah-Jordan James paces Tennessee with 6.0 rebounds per game.
- Santiago Vescovi is the top three-point shooter for the Volunteers, hitting 3.0 per game.
- Chandler leads the team with 2.2 steals per game. James collects 1.1 blocks an outing to pace Tennessee.
Michigan Key Players
- Hunter Dickinson has the top Wolverines spot in two categories: scoring (18.4 points per game) and rebounding (8.3 rebounds per game).
- DeVante Jones puts in work giving out assists and is Michigan’s assist leader with 4.6 per game.
- Caleb Houstan is tops from three-point range for the Wolverines, knocking down 1.8 treys per game.
- Nobody on Michigan grabs more steals than Eli Brooks (1.2 per game) or blocks more shots than Dickinson (1.5 per game).