Horse Racing Bets: 2024 Tampa Bay Derby On Road To The Kentucky Derby
What is the value of a Gulfstream Park ship? Bettors weigh that question concerning the $400,000 Tampa Bay Derby odds on Saturday from Tampa Bay Downs. The winner of this 1 1/16-mile test receives 50 Kentucky Derby odds qualifying points and a likely berth in the $5 million Run for the Roses May 4 at Churchill Downs.
Last year’s star shipper was Tapit Trice, who came from Gulfstream Park allowance and won this race, later capturing third in the Belmont and Travers Stakes.
This year that shipper is Domestic Product, matched against some sharp horses experienced at Tampa Bay.
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2024 Tampa Bay Derby Morning Line Odds
Post time is 5:18 p.m. ET. Tampa Bay has an industry-leading $1.3 million in purse money and offers a nice undercard throughout the day.
Here is a look at the Tampa Bay Derby post positions and the odds, updated Thursday night.
Final odds won’t become official until post, per parimutuel regulations.
Click on the odds in the table below to bet now, and join TheLines.com free sports betting Discord channel to talk horse racing.
| Post | Horse | Odds | Trainer | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heartened | 10-1 | Todd Pletcher | Jose L. Ortiz |
| 2 | Everdoit | 30-1 | Kevin Rice | Antonio Gallardo |
| 3 | Give Me Liberty | 30-1 | Robertino Diodoro | Pablo Morales |
| 4 | Good Money | 14-1 | Chad Brown | Irad Ortiz Jr. |
| 5 | Domestic Product | 8-5 | Chad Brown | Tyler Gaffalione |
| 6 | Catire Vizcaya | 30-1 | Juan Carlos Avila | Marcos Meneses |
| 7 | No More Time | 7-5 | Jose Francisco D’Angelo | Javier Castellano |
| 8 | Crazy Mason | 12-1 | Gregory Sacco | Mychel Sanchez |
| 9 | Grand Mo the First | 12-1 | Victor Barboza Jr. | Samy Camacho |
| 10 | Sturdy | 8-1 | George Weaver | Junior Alvarado |
Tampa Bay Derby Odds: Past Performances, Horse Profiles
1. Heartened (10-1)
Did everything asked in breaking his maiden at Tampa Bay last month. Sent off as the prohibitive 2-5 choice, he stalked, took over around the turn, and stuck to his task.
This is a significant step up, but he does have a victory on the track.
2. Everdoit (30-1)
Connections may be happy enough if he just keeps his rider intact. Unseated the jockey in the Sam Davis, but was already 99-1.
Skeptics might rename him Neverdoit. Ran well behind Otello in first stakes race and was second in allowance company before that.
3. Give Me Liberty (30-1)
Ran a second to maiden-breaking Dimatic, who then turned around and got a reasonable fifth in the Rebel Stakes. Has the look of a mid-pack entry. Will need more to advance to the top tier.
4. Good Money (14-1)
Is 1-for-1. Was on the money in winning 7-furlong debut at Tampa. Chased a 45.35 half-mile pace and barreled home through the stretch. Topped 1-2 shot Acclaimed Victor.
Comes out of a shorter race and may naturally press the pace, but his first-race style was a stalker. Son of Good Magic, who sired 2023 Kentucky Derby winner Mage. Nice prospect. May need one more to reach the top level.
5. Domestic Product (8-5)
Exceptional ride in the Holy Bull from Tyler Gaffalione, who takes him again. Got a good spot on the rail, swung outside of 1-5 favorite Fierceness in the stretch, and ran a game second at 14-1 to Hades. Beat the reigning Breeders’ Cup Juvenile winner, which is saying a lot.
Have to love all the signs coming back from that. Any pace battle would benefit him. I really like him in here.
6. Catire Vizcaya (30-1)
Puzzling journey. Prevailed at Saratoga last summer but can’t transport those credentials. Distant fifth in allowance race at Tampa.
No excuses for the fact there was an alligator on the track in his last! He wasn’t bothered. Going in the wrong direction.
7. No More Time (7-5)
Improved substantially from an empty fifth in the Mucho Macho Man at Gulfstream Park to the $250,000 Sam Davis at Tampa Bay Downs. Was far better being on the lead and even survived a contentious pace along the backstretch. Paco Lopez led him home.
Javier Castellano gets him here. Looks to be well-served on the front end.
Contender, will be on everyone’s tickets.
8. Crazy Mason (12-1)
Not a factor in the Sam Davis. Trailed No More Time by double-digit lengths the entire way and secured a picked-up-the-pieces sixth.
I don’t see how he makes up that much ground. Would need a suicidal pace duel and a career-best day.
9. Grand Mo the First (12-1)
If you could convert horse racing to other sports, he’d be the team that always covers the spread without winning. Has two competitive thirds, at Saratoga and at Gulfstream Park, the latter in the Swale Stakes.
Steps up and strides out to 1 1/16 miles. Doesn’t look like the winner but may be a great horse to put under. Samy Camacho is the leading rider at Tampa Bay.
10. Sturdy (8-1)
Another good underneath candidate. Has run second to Domestic Product and been 1 1/8 miles twice. Drop back to 1 1/16 miles may work well.
Always runs hard and will have a shot if the race falls apart.
Pace Scenario For Handicapping Tampa Bay Derby Odds
No More Time should be able to break early and get on top. The question becomes whether any resistance comes from Good Money and Heartened, who may inherit a forward spot by coming out of 7-furlong races.
This could be a case of No More Time running uncontested and Domestic Product slogging past horses to get at least second, maybe first.
Tapit Trice came from the clouds to win this race last year. It can be done here.
How I’m Betting the Tampa Bay Derby
Combination of the class and speed angles.
I love the Gulfstream angle and will take a win bet on Domestic Product (5).
No More Time makes all the sense, thus an exacta box 5-7.
Hard to separate the 1, 4, 9 and 10 underneath. If Heartened and Good Money can stretch, they override the Gulfstream advantage of Sturdy and Grand Mo the First.
Not enough payout to take both angles, so I’ll go with Gulfstream shippers. Certainly understandable if you prefer Heartened and Good Money and their Tampa form.
I’ll take a stab at a $1 trifecta box 5-7-10, combining No More Time’s Tampa form with Domestic Product and Sturdy from Gulfstream distance races.
Cost: $6
Other selections will come on Saturday.
Good luck with your handicapping in Tampa Bay Derby odds.
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