Tag Archives

Super Bowl

Super Bowl LIII Betting Was A Tale Of Two Coasts

Marc Meltzer February 5, 2019
FanDuel Sportsbook

Super Bowl betting in 2019 told different stories for sportsbooks in New Jersey and Nevada. The sportsbooks on the east coast saw heavy sports betting action on the winning New England Patriots. The west coast sportsbook operators saw more balanced action with more Los Angeles Rams bets than their east coast brethren.

New Jersey Super Bowl revenue

The New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement (NJDGE) announced preliminary wagering revenue for the 2019 Super Bowl on Monday. The NJDGE will have official wagering information when they release the usual monthly reports later in February. The first Super Bowl for New Jersey sportsbook operators was a losing proposition.

Brick and mortar casinos in Atlantic City and Horse Tracks around the state along with mobile sportsbooks took $34,894,900 in wagers. They paid out a total of $39,469,147 from those wagers. In total New Jersey sportsbook operators lost $4,574,247 or 13 percent from wagers on the Super Bowl.

FanDuel Sportsbook estimates that it had a net loss of around $5 million on Super Bowl bets. That number included free bets, which accounted for a “significant” percentage of the losses, according to Legal Sports Report.

DraftKings Sportsbook paid out about $11 million to customers after the Big Game and lost more than $1 million.

Both sportsbooks had a similar amount of money wagered on the Patriots. A little more than 68 percent of money wagered on both the point spread and moneyline at DraftKings was on the Patriots. FanDuel saw even more action on the Patriots with approximately 75 percent of the action on the Super Bowl winner.

East coast sports bettors bet on the east coast team to win the Super Bowl. This isn’t too much of a surprise given the anecdotal evidence of regional sports bettors favor local teams. Next year already seems to be lining up to have a similar result for DraftKings in New Jersey. The most popular NFL futures to win the 2020 Super Bowl are:

  • New York Giants
  • Philadelphia Eagles
  • New England Patriots

If the Giants somehow win the Super Bowl next year, DraftKings will already be behind the eightball paying out futures wagers that are currently at 33-1.

Get $20 Of Free Play at DraftKings!

Nevada Super Bowl revenue

Nevada sportsbook operators had a much better result after the Super Bowl even though total handle was down from last year. According to the Nevada Gaming Control Board, sportsbooks around the state took in $145,939,025 in wagers. Sportsbooks won $10,780,319 for a hold of 7.4 percent.

The handle on the 2019 Super Bowl was lower than the record $158,586,934 wagered on the Big Game last year. This is the first year in at least 11 years that the amount wagered on the Super Bowl hasn’t increased in Nevada.

Even with the lower handle on the Super Bowl, most sportsbooks came out a winner. According to ESPN’s David Purdum, Caesars Entertainment (NV only), CG Technology, MGM Resorts International, South Point, Station Casinos, Westgate and William Hill (NV only) had a winning Super Bowl.

One thing to remember is that futures bets are included in Super Bowl revenue reports. Since the Patriots were among the favorites all season the sportsbooks didn’t have a big payout for futures. This helped fuel the bottom line win for Nevada sportsbooks. New Jersey sportsbooks didn’t have as much time to collect futures so they didn’t have as much potentially profitable revenue to offset their losses.

While the overall results seem positive, the lack of another record-breaking handle is surely a disappointment. As soon as the Super Bowl matchup was made sportsbook operators told the Las Vegas Review-Journal that they expected another record handle this year.

Lead image via FanDuel

Super Bowl Props Recap: Most OVERs Were Duds, But Edelman, Michel And Gronk Delivered

FairwayJay February 5, 2019
Super Bowl Props

Super Bowl LIII was a letdown by most accounts, including a reported 5 percent drop in viewership from last year’s game, making it the lowest-rated Super Bowl over the past decade.

Many are calling it the worst Super Bowl in history as the New England Patriots won their sixth championship since 2001 with a 13-3 victory over the Los Angeles Rams. But that’s the beauty of the Super Bowl — as boring as the game was, there were hundreds of other ways to keep your interest with prop bets.

Popular Super Bowl props that won

Sony Michel over 17.5 rush attempts/ 76.5 rush yards (-110, Westgate SuperBook)

The Patriots running back was a popular target for bettors, and he delivered very late in the Super Bowl for ‘over’ bettors. Michel rushed three times for 21 yards in the first four plays of the game and was on his way. But the over bets did not look good midway through the fourth quarter even as the Patriots got the ball back off the interception leading 10-3 with just over four minutes remaining.

Then Michel carried the ball on the first four plays of the Patriots game-clinching drive, including a 26-yard burst from the Patriots 5-yard line to get them out of the shadow of their end zone. He carried the ball seven times for 41 yards on the drive that concluded with a field goal to put New England ahead 13-3. Michel finished the game with 18 carries for 94 yards and one touchdown.

Julian Edelman MVP

Michel was runner-up for Super Bowl MVP behind WR Julian Edelman, who won and cashed in for many on MVP odds of 40-1 at BetStars NJ and 35-1 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Edelman rewarded his ‘over’ bettors by catching 10 passes for 141 yards.

Rob Gronkowski over 3.5 receptions/ 53.5 receiving yards (-110)

The yardage number was bet up, but Gronk still delivered with six receptions for 87 yards.

Brandin Cooks over 5.5 receptions and over 75.5 yards (-110)

Cooks was the only Rams player to go over his yardage and attempts finishing with 8 receptions for 120 yards.

Longest field goal in game – over/under 48.5 yards (-110)

In the last 17 Super Bowls, only twice has there been a field goal longer than 48.5 yards. But Rams kicker Greg “the leg” Zuerlein kicked a 53-yard field goal late in the third quarter to reward over bettors.

Will the team to score last win the game? Yes or No.

The -190 moneyline on YES came through on this one. In the last 17 Super Bowls, the team to score last won 15 times. This bet came down to a Rams missed 48-yard field goal by Zuerlein with five seconds remaining in the game. The Patriots thus scored last with their late field goal and also won the game.

The opening coin toss

Tails was the winner, giving the Rams the win (the Patriots always call heads). In 53 Super Bowls, the coin toss has now come up tails 28 times and heads 25 times. The Rams are now 4-0 all-time on the Super Bowl coin toss.

The Gatorade shower

While Nevada gaming regulations do not allow Nevada sportsbooks to offer many novelty props unrelated to the actual game, there were plenty of other props that were popular in New Jersey. When Super Bowl LIII ended with a 13-3 Patriots win, the props and betting results were still being decided. The Gatorade dump on the winning coach was anxiously awaited by many bettors, and the color blue won at +375 odds.

Nailed it!

This prop was far from popular, but one bettor scored big at the South Point in Las Vegas with a $250 bet at 400-1 odds on the LA Rams to score exactly 3 points in the Super Bowl. He cashed in $100,000. The South Point opened the prop at 500-1 odds and dropped to 400-1 odds, the MGM had it at 250-1 and the Westgate Super Book had the same prop at 80-1.

Get $20 Of Free Play at DraftKings!

Popular Super Bowl props that lost

Tom Brady props

Brady finished under his passing yards, attempts and touchdown totals, and failed to win the MVP as the prohibitive favorite (+110). Brady finished 21-of-35 for 262 yards and no touchdowns.

James White props

Patriots running back James While failed many bettors on his rushing and receiving attempts and yards. White rushing just 2 times for 4 yards and caught 1 pass for 5 yards.

Rams OVERs fall short

Rams QB Jared Goff also came up short on passing yards, attempts and touchdowns, as he finished 19-of-38 for 229 yards and no TDs. Running backs Todd Gurley (10 rush 35 yards, 1 catch), CJ Anderson (7 rush 22 yards) and wide receiver Robert Woods (5 receptions, 70 yards) all came up short of their yardage for over bettors.

Total field goals made by both teams – over/under 3.5 (-110)

When Patriots kicker Stephen Gostkowski kicked the third field goal of the Super Bowl with 1:12 remaining in the fourth quarter, it looked like ‘under’ bettors would still cash easily with the score 13-3. But the Rams drove down the field and with five seconds remaining, Los Angeles tried a 48-yard field goal hoping to cut the margin to 7 points and try an onside kick and recovery hoping for one more miracle play. But reliable Rams kicker Greg Zuerlein missed, allowing under bettors to cash-in on one final Super Bowl prop bet sweat.

ALSO READ: 2020 Super Bowl Odds: Patriots Early Favorites To Repeat At FanDuel, DraftKings

Million-Dollar Bets Being Placed On Both Rams And Patriots Ahead Of Super Bowl LIII

FairwayJay February 3, 2019
Super Bowl Bets

The bets are coming in fast as Super Bowl 53 kickoff nears between the favored New England Patriots (-2.5) and Los Angeles Rams. Historically, more than 70% of the bets on Super Bowl are made in the 24 hours leading up to kickoff. And like a poker tournament nearing its conclusion, the stakes have risen and “all-in” bets are being made with both the Patriots and Rams taking seven-figure wagers to win Super Bowl LIII.

MGM takes a $2 million bet on the Rams

An anonymous bettor that made multiple million dollar bets and won on last year’s Super Bowl and World Series is at it again. Known as “Bettor X”, he’s placed three moneyline bets on the LA Rams totaling $3.8 million. One of those was made at the MGM in Las Vegas, as reported by ESPN gambling reporter David Purdum.

That $2 million moneyline bet on the Rams (+120) would net that bettor $2.4 million with a Rams victory. Along with that $2 million bet and the additional $1 million plus on the Rams, William Hill US also took a $1.5 million moneyline bet on the Rams (+120).

Other noted bets on the Los Angeles Rams include:

  • CG Technology: $300,000 on Rams moneyline
  • South Point: $300,000 on Rams moneyline
  • William Hill: $132,000 on Rams +3. Same bettor bet $132,000 on the total OVER 56.5 and $132,000 6-point teaser Rams and OVER

Despite more sharp money betting under the total, most sportsbooks will need UNDER the total as many public parlays/straight bets are tied to the OVER.

New England Patriots taking most bets

The initial flood of betting on the Patriots more than 10 days ago moved the opening line from pick ‘em at most sportsbooks to Patriots -2.5. That’s where the line is holding steady this weekend and game day at a majority of sportsbooks including FanDuel Sportsbook in New Jersey. The Patriots are taking more than 70% of the spread bets at many sportsbooks leading into Super Bowl LIII.

FanDuel says 83% of the moneyline bets are on New England, and 75% of spread action is also on Patriots. FanDuel also has most prop action on Patriots players to win MVP, score first and most touchdowns.

Not to bet outdone, New England has taken its share of big bets, including a $1 million wager at MGM.

Other noted bets on New England Patriots include:

  • South Point: $220,000 on Patriots -2.5
  • Westgate SuperBook: $120,000 on Patriots -2 (bought ½ point).
  • MGM: $220,000 on Patriots -2.5

Westgate notes they have not taken as many six-figure bets on this year’s Super Bowl, but “a lot of $20,000 and $30,000 bets.”

“A Patriots victory by 1 or 2 points could produce “our best Super Bowl ever,” says MGM representative Scott Shelton. MGM took three different customer bets for a combined $1.9 million on the Patriots money line.

Super Bowl 2019 Props Extravaganza: Here’s What You Can Bet And Where To Find The Best Odds

Juan Carlos Blanco February 1, 2019
Super Bowl Props

A great deal of mainstream media coverage of betting action on the Super Bowl will focus on popular bet types such as the point spread and moneyline. However, as seasoned bettors well know, there are infinitely more wagers can be placed on The Big Game.

The most common are naturally proposition bets, commonly known as “props”. For the uninitiated, props are simply wagers that can be placed on a specific in-game occurrence that has a binary outcome. Props are typically available at sportsbooks at an individual player, team, or game level.

Prop bets give those placing them significantly more vested interest in a game as it unfolds. Unlike end-of-game wagers based on a point spread, moneyline or projected total, prop bets are settled before the final gun goes off. The higher degree of potential accelerated gratification (or disappointment) they offer and their straightforward nature make them significantly popular as “side bets.”

As with other wagers, payouts depend on the odds assigned. With some props encompassing rather improbable events or players, favorable odds that leave the sportsbook with plenty of exposure can be common.

For example, a wager on whether the first score of the game will be a safety, whether there will be a blocked punt by either team in the game, or whether Tom Brady will score a rushing touchdown all qualify as unlikely occurrences to a varying degree. Given their low probability, these prop bets will fetch you some very favorable odds.

Get $20 Of Free Play at DraftKings!

Examples of common football-based prop bets

In football, some of the more common props include:

  • What team will be the first to score
  • What the winning margin of victory for either team might be
  • What type of scoring play will lead to the game’s first points
  • What teams will be in the lead at the end of any of the first three quarters
  • What the total amount of points in the first or second half will be
  • What player will be the first to score any points in the game
  • What player will be the first to score a touchdown
  • Whether a quarterback will throw for under or over a certain amount of yards
  • Whether a running back will rush for under or over a certain amount of yards
  • Whether a receiver will accumulate over or under a certain amount of receiving yards
  • What player will be named the game’s MVP

Naturally, that list is far from comprehensive, especially when it comes to an event such as the Super Bowl.

Super Bowl props breakdown

Brett Collson, Matt Brown and Matt Perrault look at the various offerings at the sportsbooks in New Jersey and offer some of their favorite wagers ahead of Sunday’s game.

A prop smorgasbord on Super Bowl Sunday

As pointed out in the video, New Jersey sportsbooks have hundreds of Super Bowl LIII props available for bettors. The following is a look at the 10 most popular props at DraftKings Sportsbook as of Thursday afternoon, along with some of the favorite options on FanDuel Sportsbook, Caesars and BetStars.

DraftKings Sportsbook

Coin Toss Outcome

  • Heads (-103)
  • Tails (-103)

Super Bowl MVP

  • Tom Brady (+110)
  • Jared Goff (+200)
  • Todd Gurley (+1200)
  • Aaron Donald (+1400)
  • Sonty Michel (+1600)
  • C.J. Anderson (+2200)
  • Julian Edelman (+2800)
  • James White (+2800)
  • See full odds here

First TD Scored

  • Sony Michel  +600
  • Todd Gurley +700
  • Julian Edelman +750
  • Robert Woods +850
  • C.J. Anderson +900
  • Brandin Cooks +1000
  • James White +1000
  • Rob Gronkowski  +1110

Highest Scoring Half

  • 2nd Half (-120)
  • 1st Half (+100)
  • Tie (+2200)

Player To Score First TD

  • Sony Michel (+600)
  • Todd Gurley (+700)
  • Julian Edelman (+750)
  • Robert Woods (+850)
  • Brandin Cooks (+1000)
  • Rob Gronkoswki (+1000)
  • James White (+1000)
  • Rex Burkhead (+1000)
  • C.J. Anderson (+1100)

James White Receptions

  • Over 5.5 (-148)
  • Under 5.5 (+112)

James White Receiving Yards

  • Over 51.5 (-115)
  • Under 51.5 (-115)

Either Team To Score 2-Point Conversion

  • Yes (+210)
  • No (-278)

Game Goes To Overtime

  • Yes (+900)
  • No (-2000)

FanDuel Sportsbook

Total Rushing Yards in Game

  • Over 213.5 (-115)
  • Under 213.5 (-115)

Halftime Leader/Game Winner (not incl. overtime)

  • Patriots-Patriots  (+140)
  • Patriots-Rams (+800)
  • Patriots – Tie (+2700)

Winning Margin

  • Patriots  1-6 points (+350)
  • Patriots 7-12 points (+500)
  • Patriots 13-18 points (+850)
  • Rams 1-6 points (+360)
  • Rams 7-12 points (+600)
  • Rams 13-18 points (+1000)

First Quarter Total

  • Under 27.5 (-110)
  • Over 27.5 (-110) 

Both to Score TD

  • Sony Michel + Todd Gurley (+225)
  • Todd Gurley + C.J. Anderson (+250)
  • Sony Michel + Brandin Cooks (+275)

Player Prop Parlays

  • Tom Brady to throw for 300+ yards/ Patriots to win (+225)
  • Tom Brady to complete 28 + passes/ Patriots to win (+260)
  • Tom Brady to throw 3+ touchdowns/Patriots to win (+280)
  • Jared Goff to throw for 300+ yards/ Rams to win (+330)
  • Todd Gurley to rush for 75+ yards/ Rams to win (+340)
  • C.J. Anderson to rush for 50+ yards/Rams to win (+290)

Get A Free $10 Bet At Caesars Sportsbook

Caesars Sportsbook

Total INTs thrown

  • Over 1.5 (+120)
  • Under 1.5 (-140)

First Team to Score

  • Rams (-105)
  • Patriots (-115)

First Turnover

  • Interception (-140)
  • Fumble (+120)

Team to Make First Field Goal

  • Patriots (-110)
  • Rams (-110)

First Scoring Play

  • Patriots Field Goal +400
  • Patriots Touchdown Pass  +250
  • Patriots Touchdown Run +500
  • Patriots Other Touchdown +2500
  • Patriots Safety +5000
  • Rams Field Goal +400
  • Rams Touchdown Pass  +300
  • Rams Touchdown Run +500
  • Rams Other Touchdown +2500
  • Rams Safety +5000

Last Scoring Play

  • Patriots Field Goal +400
  • Patriots Touchdown Pass +250
  • Patriots Touchdown Run +500
  • Patriots Other Touchdown +2500
  • Rams Field Goal +400
  • Rams Touchdown Pass +300
  • Rams Touchdown Run +500
  • Rams Other Touchdown +2500
  • Rams Safety +5000

First TD Scorer for Rams

  • Todd Gurley +300
  • CJ Anderson +350
  • Brandin Cooks +400
  • Robert Woods +500
  • Josh Reynolds +700
  • Tyler Higbee +1000
  • Gerald Everett +1200
  • Jared Goff +2500

First TD Scorer for Patriots

  • Sony Michel +300
  • Julian Edelman +400
  • Rob Gronkowski +450
  • James White +550
  • Rex Burkhead +800
  • Chris Hogan +600
  • Phillip Dorsett +1500
  • Cordarrelle Patterson +2000
  • Tom Brady +2500

BetStars

Total Touchdowns

  • Over 5.5-  2/5
  • Over 6.5- 17/20
  • Over 7.5- 7/4
  • Under 5.5- 2/5
  • Under 6.5- 17/20
  • Under 7.5- 7/4

Total Successful Field Goals 

  • Over 2.5- 1/3
  • Over 3.5- 19/20
  • Over 4.5- 11/5
  • Under 2.5- 21/10
  • Under 3.5- 3/4
  • Under 4.5- 4/11

Team to Make Longest Field Goal

  • Rams- 5/6
  • Patriots- 10/11

Shortest Touchdown

  • Under 1.5 yards- 7/10
  • Over 1.5 yards- 21/20

Team to Score Last

  • Patriots- 8/11
  • Rams- 1/1

Team to Score In Every Quarter

  • Rams No- 1/3
  • Rams Yes- 19/10
  • Patriots No- 11/20
  • Patriots Yes- 27/20

Two or More Touchdowns

  • Sony Michel- 12/5
  • Todd Gurley- 10/3
  • C.J. Anderson- 17/4
  • Robert Woods- 11/2
  • Julian Edelman- 6/1
  • Brandin Cooks- 6/1
  • Rob Gronkowski- 17/1
  • James White- 15/2

Completions

  • Tom Brady- Under 25.5 (17/20)
  • Tom Brady- Over 25.5 (17/20)
  • Jared Goff- Under 25.5 (17/20)
  • Jared Goff- Over 25.5 (17/20)

Receiving Yards

  • Julian Edelman- Under 87.5 yards- 3/4
  • Brandin Cooks- Under 72.5 yards- 17/20
  • Robert Woods- Over 71.5 yards- 17/20
  • Rob Gronkowski- Over 47.5 yards- 17/20

BetStars’ 100/1 Promo Wagers Proving Lucrative For Early-Season Patriots And Rams Backers

Sean Chaffin February 1, 2019
BetStars

It’s been a long wait for many bettors who were able to drop a fiver on the BetStars Super Bowl promo earlier in the season. Early in the season, BetStars (the sports betting arm of PokerStars) offered gamblers an early season $5 Super Bowl future wager with minimum odds of 100/1.

The promotion, which ran from Sept. 14-30, offered the massive odds on any team in the NFL, but only one $5 wager. The site even raised the odds on the local New York Jets to 300/1. That was a nice value for a team that was really going at 80/1 at other books, but obviously, the Jets missed the playoffs for the eighth straight season.

Bettors cashing in

Those who placed those wagers on the Los Angeles Rams or New England Patriots are now in the driver’s seat and many may be looking to now hedge those bets to ensure some easy money. The Patriots began the season as the betting favorite to win the title at 6/1. The Rams were a heavy favorite as well at 10/1 – the same odds as the Super Bowl champion Eagles as well as the Vikings and Patriots.

BetStars told us this week that 46 percent of the 100/1 promotion bets were placed on the Rams, and 18 percent on the Patriots.

No doubt many viewed the Rams as a well-coached and talented up-and-coming team with a shot at some success. Five bucks must have seemed like it might be worth a shot at some decent money. Those bettors certainly are licking their chops for Super Bowl Sunday, and a non-call of pass interference in the NFC Championship game proved lucrative.

Amazingly, the two teams accounted for about 66 percent of all our Super Bowl betting through the promotion. The Patriots are a 2.5-point favorite heading into Sunday’s big game with the over/under hovering around 57. The game looks to a matchup of two potent offenses with a young coach and quarterback squaring off against a dynasty looking to bring home a sixth Lombardi Trophy.

And when all the hoopla, pregame show analysis, and celebrity appearances are over, plenty of bettors placed wagers in New Jersey early in the season will be eagerly watching and hoping to cash a nice ticket.

Betting On The Super Bowl Gatorade Shower Available For The First Time At US Sportsbooks

Marc Meltzer January 31, 2019
Super Bowl Gatorade

Super Bowl Sunday update: The Patriots showered Bill Belichick with blue Gatorade after their 13-3 victory over the Rams.

By law, all sports bets in Nevada have to be confirmed by statistics from leagues on events that typically happen on the playing field. This is why “fun” Super Bowl prop bets like the length of time for the National Anthem or halftime performances have only been offered offshore.

Well, some New Jersey sportsbooks are flipping the script on sports betting in America by taking wagers new prop bets that have never been available in US sportsbooks. DraftKings Sportsbook, BetStars and FanDuel Sportsbook are all offering a few prop bets that aren’t related to the actual Super Bowl game being played.

Here’s a look at some of the new legal prop bets you’ll only find in New Jersey sportsbooks:

DraftKings novelty prop bets

  • The color of Gatorade shower
  • Bill Belichick to retire after game?
  • Rob Gronkowski to retire after the game?
  • Tom Brady to retire after the game?

FanDuel extra props

  • The first color of Gatorade dunked over winning coach
  • Tom Brady to retire by end of day Monday 2/4
  • Rob Gronkowski to retire by end of day Monday 2/4

BetStars novelty props

  • Color of Gatorade to be poured on winning coach
  • First TD celebration of the game

Gatorade odds at FanDuel

The most talked about off-the-field Super Bowl prop bet always seems to be “What color Gatorade will be poured on the winning coach?” The odds at FanDuel on this bet are:

  • Clear +200
  • Orange +350
  • Yellow +350
  • Blue +400
  • Red +500

As the Big Game approaches, orange has more wagers at FanDuel sportsbook than any other color of Gatorade that might be poured over Sean McVay or Bill Belichick. Nearly 40 percent of Gatorade shower wagers have been placed on orange at FanDuel.

One of the longer shots, blue (+500), has the second most wagers for Gatorade color with 27 percent of the wagers at FanDuel Sportsbook. Yellow has 20 percent of wagers on the Gatorade shower at FanDuel. Clear only has 9 percent of wagers at this time. Red has the fewest wagers with 4 percent of the action at FanDuel Sportsbook

Is Todd Gurley trying to help?

Rams running back Todd Gurley doesn’t care about your bets or fantasy team. He might have been having a little fun on the twitter last week.

It’s entirely possible Todd Gurley is just joking around with this response to the Rams Gatorade choice on Twitter. It’s also possible this tweet is the reason that Clear is the favorite at FanDuel and DraftKings where it’s also the +200 favorite for this bet.

New Jersey sportsbooks offering more than sports

These new prop bets in New Jersey helped pave the way for unique sportsbook offerings. It didn’t even take 24 hours for a sportsbook to post odds on the Academy Award after the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement announced that they will allow sportsbooks to take wagers on the movie awards.

Wagering on the Academy Awards is currently only a guarantee for the awards show on February 24, 2019. There’s no guarantee that there New Jersey sportsbooks will be able to take wagers on other non-sports events in the future.

The new betting markets and unique prop bets that were previously only available offshore are a sign that New Jersey is trying to create a new sportsbook model in the US. New Jersey regulators might be creating a competitive sportsbook marketplace for gamblers that might only have played at offshore sportsbooks in the past.

Tom Brady, Jared Goff Are Heavy Betting Favorites To Win 2019 Super Bowl MVP

FairwayJay January 30, 2019
Super Bowl MVP

The matchup is set for the Big Game on Feb. 3.

The two starting quarterbacks, Tom Brady and Jared Goff, are the clear favorites to win the 2019 Super Bowl MVP award. The New England Patriots were quickly bet up to a 2.5-point favorite over the Los Angeles Rams and the total is a Super Bowl record-high 57 points as of Thursday.

A quarterback has won the MVP award 29 times in 52 Super Bowls, including seven times in the last nine years.

But before you award Brady the MVP, know that the team that is the underdog in the Super Bowl has won the game six times in the last seven years.

All eight Super Bowls involving QB Tom Brady and head coach Bill Belichick have been decided by one score. Brady has averaged 403 passing yards and a QB rating of 103.4 over his last three Super Bowl appearances. Jared Goff makes his first Super Bowl appearance in his third season at the Rams quarterback.

Super Bowl MVP Odds at New Jersey Sportsbooks

(Odds updated 1/31/19)

PlayerDraftKingsBetStarsFanDuel
QB Tom Brady (NE)+110-105+115
QB Jared Goff (LA)+200+200+190
RB Todd Gurley (LA)+1400+1600+1600
DT Aaron Donald (LA)+1400+1800+1600
RB Sony Michel (NE)+1600+1800+1600
RB CJ Anderson (LA)+2200+1600+3000
WR Julian Edelman (NE)+2800+4000+3500
RB James White (NE)+2800+2000+2500
WR Brandin Cooks (LA)+3300+4000+5000
TE Rob Gronkowski (NE)+4000+5000+5000
WR Robert Woods (LA)+4000+4000+5000
RB Rex Burkhead (NE)+6600+6000+8000
WR Josh Reynolds (LA)+6600+6000+10000
K Greg Zuerlein (LA)+8000+1000025000
DT Ndamukong Suh (LA)+8000+6000+7000
LB Dante Fowler (LA)+8000+6600+10000
LB Kyle Van Noy (NE)+10000+10000+10000
LB Dont'a Hightower (NE)+15000+15000+15000
FB James Develin (NE)+20000+10000+10000

Super Bowl MVP value?

The value in the 2019 Super Bowl LIII might be with the running backs or wide receivers. With a high-scoring game projected, the chances are better that those position players could have more yards and score multiple touchdowns.

See Patriots running back Sony Michel in the AFC Championship win when he rushed 29 times for 113 yards and two touchdowns. Michel also had 24 carries for 129 yards and three touchdowns against the Chargers in the divisional round. Those numbers would be tough to ignore as MVP in the Super Bowl.

James White had 15 receptions for 97 yards in New England’s win over the Chargers. That many touches and catches combined with two to three touchdowns — especially if he breaks a long screen pass for a touchdown — would position him for strong consideration as MVP.

In the Patriots’ 2017 Super Bowl overtime win over the Falcons 34-28, many people felt White should have won MVP.

Despite having 29 rushing yards and two touchdowns, plus 14 receptions for 110 yards and another TD, White failed to earn the MVP award. Brady passed for 466 yards playing from behind to steal the game and MVP honors. Still, the value is with the position players including the Rams running back combo or wide receivers.

For the Rams, a real comeback story is running back CJ Anderson, who was signed by the Rams off the street in December and promptly rushed for 167 and 132 yards in the final two regular season games scoring a touchdown each game. In the playoff game against Dallas, he added 123 rushing yards and two more touchdowns.

Last week against the Saints, Anderson had just 44 yards rushing, but that was against a much stronger run defense than the Patriots. Anderson could get a bulk of the rushing load if Todd Gurley is not fully healthy.

There seems to be something not quite right with Gurley after playing few than 50 percent of the snaps against the Saints in the NFC Championship. His knee inflammation is clearly acting up, and Gurley had a turnover and just four carries for 10 rushing yards against the Saints after returning to the lineup the previous playoff game against Dallas and rushing for 115 yards and one touchdown.

If the Rams score into the 30s, which is realistic, then either Robert Woods or Brandin Cooks have a solid shot to have big receiving games, providing MVP value much better than Goff. Woods is Goff’s favorite target and led the team in pass targets in both of the Rams playoff wins. Between 2005-09, three wide receivers won Super Bowl MVP honors.

Two of the past five Super Bowl MVPs have been defensive players, but both those players were on supremely dominant defensive teams when the winning teams shut down the opponent to 10 points or less. That’s very unlikely in the 2019 Super Bowl.

Bet on the Super Bowl MVP at these legal online sportsbooks in New Jersey

History of Super Bowl MVP winners (since 2000)

YearGameScoreMVP
2018Philadelphia vs New EnglandEagles 41-33QB Nick Foles (PHI)
2017New England vs AtlantaPatriots 34-28 QB Tom Brady (NE)
2016Denver vs CarolinaBroncos 24-10LB Von Miller (DEN)
2015New England vs SeattlePatriots 28-24QB Tom Brady (NE)
2014Seattle vs DenverSeahawks 43-8LB Malcolm Smith (SEA)
2013Baltimore vs San FranciscoRavens 34-31QB Joe Flacco (BAL)
2012NY Giants vs New EnglandGiants 17-14QB Eli Manning (NYG)
2011Green Bay vs PittsburghPackers 31-25QB Aaron Rodgers (GB)
2010New Orleans vs IndianapolisSaints 31-17QB Drew Brees (NO)
2009Pittsburgh vs ArizonaSteelers 27-23WR Santonio Holmes (PIT)
2008NY Giants vs New EnglandGiants 17-14QB Eli Manning (NYG)
2007Indianapolis vs ChicagoColts 29-17QB Peyton Manning (IND)
2006Pittsburgh vs SeattleSteelers 21-10WR Hines Ward (PIT)
2005New England vs PhiladelphiaPatriots 24-21WR Deion Branch (NE)
2004New England vs CarolinaPatriots 32-29QB Tom Brady (NE)
2003Tampa Bay vs OaklandBuccaneers 48-21S Dexter Jackson (TB)
2002New England vs St. LouisPatriots 20-17QB Tom Brady (NE)
2001Baltimore vs NY GiantsRavens 34-7LB Ray Lewis (BAL)
2000St. Louis vs TennesseeRams 23-16QB Kurt Warner (STL)

The Super Bowl Line Setting Juggling Act: Which Books Are Offering Patriots -3?

Chops January 29, 2019
Super Bowl Odds

Right after the conclusion of the NFC and AFC championship games, Nevada and New Jersey sportsbooks opened Super Bowl wagering with the Los Angeles Rams at -1 or -1.5 on the point spread.

An avalanche of money poured in on the New England Patriots, and the line quickly moved to Patriots -1, and eventually settled for the past week around -2.5.

Despite approximately 80% of all money at some Vegas books pumping the Patriots, the line hasn’t budged for a week. Only William Hill has planted its Patriots -3 flag into the ground.

It’s not like Vegas isn’t willing to adjust this Super Bowl, either. The initial record-setting Patriots-Rams over/under of 58.5 witnessed 69% of total tickets and 74% dollars wagered on the under. The number has since dropped to 56.5.

How the books are approaching the numbers

Analytics expect this game to be close. FiveThirtyEight has it as a virtual coin-flip, slightly favoring the Patriots as a 53% winner. numberFire has the Pats as 1.5-2.5 points better. Other models (and Madden 19) have the Rams as slightly better.

Regardless of the data, the public and perhaps the sharps all like the Patriots.

The Westgate SuperBook has realized 80% of all straight bets on New England and “moneyline wagers are on the Patriots by a 10-1 margin.” This isn’t just because the Patriots are a beloved public team like the Packers, Steelers, Bills, or Cowboys. Last year, Vegas took a bath as the majority of money was on the Eagles.

The Westgate, though, has held at Patriots -2.5. Boyd and Stations sportsbooks went to -3 before quickly readjusting to -2.5. William Hill has rested at -3, but with some price adjusting.

On Friday, William Hill moved the line 3-flat (-110). This means you could wager $110 on either side to win $100. Bettors hammered the Rams 3-flat, so William Hill adjusted to Patriots -3 (even) and Rams +3 (-120) and have since settled there.

Nick Bogdanovich, sportsbook director at William Hill, explains it:

“Once we went to 3 flat, Rams money just kept coming in. I don’t know if it was sharp. Everyone in the world plays the Super Bowl and we were the only 3 flat in town. At 2.5, it was all Patriots money. At 3 flat, it was all Rams. The Rams at plus 3 (minus) 120 is much more even.”

On the other side of the country, New Jersey sportsbook Super Bowl odds have reached a consensus of Patriots -2 or -2.5 across the board. FanDuel Sportsbook was the only operator offering -2 as of Tuesday morning.

Super Bowl 53 Odds (updated 1/29/19)

NJ Online SportsbooksDraftKingsBetStarsFanDuelCaesars888sportSugarHouse
SpreadNE -2.5
LAR +2.5
NE -2.5
LAR +2.5
NE -2.5
LAR +2.5
NE -2.5
LAR +2.5
NE -2.5
LAR +2.5
NE -2.5
LAR +2.5
Total55.556565655.555.5
MoneylineNE -127
LAR +112
NE -133
LAR +120
NE -127
LAR +117
NE -140
LAR +120
NE -132
LAR +110
NE -132
LAR +110
Sign-Up Offer$600 free bets: $100 (10 x $10 on $5 deposit) + $500 match bet$50
free + $500 free bets
53:1 Moneyline Bet ($5 to win $265)$10 free$10 free$250 match bonus

Get $20 Of Free Play at DraftKings!

Another record-setting Super Bowl?

As far as handle goes, it doesn’t matter if the line goes to Patriots -3 or not. This is shaping up to be another record-setting Super Bowl in Nevada, and in the U.S. (obviously) as well.

It’ll be record-setting for Nevada despite legal domestic competition for the first time. If nothing else, legalized sports betting is providing the old online poker corollary once again. Many in the casino industry once thought online poker would kill card room business. The opposite happened, as access to the game fed public acceptance and activity into brick-and-mortar card rooms. Even with other states allowing sports betting, Nevada is still expected to post record betting totals.

But will it be a Super Bowl of record losses again?

As they say, there wouldn’t be giant casinos in the desert if the public was always right.

However, they were right last year with the Eagles. There’s certainly consensus around the Patriots this year.

Westgate SuperBook manager John Murray told Forbes.com, “We’re going to need the Rams really big on this…”

How this game plays out, and how line movement on this game impacts earnings, will be an interesting case study on Super Bowls for years to come.

ALSO READ: How To Bet On Super Bowl 53 (Everything You Need To Know In 2019)

How To Bet On Super Bowl 53 (Everything You Need To Know In 2019)

Chris Imperiale January 29, 2019
Super Bowl 2019

Super Bowl week is finally here. Both casual fans and diehards are just days away from witnessing one of the most watched events every year to see who gets crowned the champion of pro football.

This year is especially exciting thanks to legal sports betting taking off in recent months. For the first year ever, millions of American bettors outside of Nevada can legally place wagers on the Super Bowl.

Legal states outside of Nevada now include New Jersey, Delaware, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, West Virginia, and Mississippi.

Let’s take a more in-depth look at this year’s Super Bowl and break down all the crucial betting information leading up to  Sunday.

Super Bowl 53 game information

Game: New England Patriots vs. Los Angeles Rams
Date: Sunday, Feb. 3
Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
Kickoff Time: 6:30 pm EST
TV Network: CBS

How to bet on the Super Bowl

There are a number of different ways to place bets for the Super Bowl. Here are your options:

Point SpreadBetting against the spread is the most common way to bet an NFL game. Sportsbooks set a line and you can either take the favorite laying the points, or the underdog receiving them.

If you take the Patriots -2.5, they must win by 3 points or more for your bet to win.

MoneylineAnother popular way to bet a football game is to take the moneyline. Similar to betting the spread, you pick one of the teams to win the game. However this time there are no points involved.

Currently, at DraftKings Sportsbook, the Patriots money line sits at -139 while the Rams is +115. This means you would need to wager $139 on the Pats to win $100, whereas a $100 bet on the Rams would net $115.

Totals (over/under)If picking a side isn’t necessarily your thing, you could always opt to bet on one of the game’s totals. The most common total to take would be the game’s over/under.

The Super Bowl’s total is set at 56.5 as of Monday morning. If there are 57 or more combined points scored in the game, over bettors would win.

There are also team totals offered. In this form of the wager, you’re once again betting on if there will be more or fewer points than the set number, but this time just for one team. New England’s team total is set at 29, while Los Angeles’ is 27.5.

Super Bowl 53 odds

NJ Online SportsbooksDraftKingsBetStarsFanDuelCaesars888sportSugarHouse
SpreadNE -2.5
LAR +2.5
NE -2.5
LAR +2.5
NE -2.5
LAR +2.5
NE -2.5
LAR +2.5
NE -2.5
LAR +2.5
NE -2.5
LAR +2.5
Total55.556565655.555.5
MoneylineNE -127
LAR +112
NE -133
LAR +120
NE -127
LAR +117
NE -140
LAR +120
NE -132
LAR +110
NE -132
LAR +110
Sign-Up Offer$600 free bets: $100 (10 x $10 on $5 deposit) + $500 match bet$50
free + $500 free bets
53:1 Moneyline Bet ($5 to win $265)$10 free$10 free$250 match bonus

Other ways to bet on Super Bowl 53

Alternate lines: Beyond the regular game lines, most sportsbooks offer alternate lines for both the spread and totals. This simply means that instead of betting on the normal spread and total numbers, you bet on adjusted lines where the odds are then different to reflect these changes.

For instance, instead of betting on the Patriots -2.5, you can take them with a point spread of +5, but with odds of -275 as opposed to -115. That means you’d have to pay $275 to win $100, but your chances of winning the bet are much greater since the spreads is now 7.5 points in your favor.

The same goes for game and team totals. As opposed to taking the over at 56.5, you can bet the alternate line of over 47, with odds of -345. You only win $100 on a $345 bet, but again, your odds of winning the bet are significantly greater.

In-game wagering: Although nothing is listed right now, most sportsbooks will provide in-game betting for the Super Bowl, too. Most of the listed bet types will be available live during the game, with updated lines and odds.

Super Bowl prop bets: One of the best parts of betting the Super Bowl is all of the crazy prop bets available that are not usually offered in other games. Depending on the book, these can get pretty ridiculous.

A lot of prop bets for the Super Bowl have little to do with the actual game. These can create an incredible amount of excitement about things that would typically be insignificant like the halftime performance or the first commercial aired.

Here are some of the props offered on NJ sportsbooks:

  • Coin toss outcome
  • Coin toss winning team
  • First team to score
  • Last team to score
  • Will the game go to OT
  • Winning margin
  • Longest/shortest field goal
  • Longest/shortest touchdown
  • First scoring play
  • Team to score first and last touchdown
  • Will there be a safety
  • TD scorer jersey numbers
  • Total touchdowns
  • Total field goals
  • Total sacks
  • MVP

This list is just a small sample of props available for the Super Bowl. There are also a variety of team-specific props and player props. The most popular player props are typically which player will score the first touchdown of the game, the last touchdown of the game or just in general at any point in the game.

Can I bet on the Super Bowl legally in my state?

As mentioned, legal sports gambling is now offered in some capacity in:

  • Nevada
  • New Jersey
  • Delaware
  • Pennsylvania
  • Rhode Island
  • West Virginia
  • Mississippi
  • New Mexico (only at a tribal casino)

All of these states have at least one land-based sportsbook for you to place a sports bet. Nevada, New Jersey and West Virginia are the only locations with online apps at the moment, though.

If this isn’t exciting enough, the Super Bowl in 2020 could have plenty more states on this list. Here are all of the states that have considered or have already started passing laws to legalize sports gambling:

ALSO READ: Five States Expected To Make Big Sports Betting Moves In 2019

Best online sportsbooks in the US

Luckily, residents of New Jersey have an abundance of options when it comes to betting the Super Bowl. There are several retail sportsbooks in Atlantic City casinos and other areas of the state; mobile betting is available at your fingertips anywhere in NJ.

Here are some of the best online sportsbooks:

Each of these online and mobile apps is very convenient and user-friendly. They all offer some form of a sign-up promotion along with a variety of betting options.

These sportsbooks are well respected and many have been earning a lot of money since their debut in NJ.

How much money is wagered on the Super Bowl?

Last year, Nevada sportsbooks accepted more money in wagers on the Super Bowl than ever before. The total figure bet on the big game was $158,586,934. This amount has increased every year since 2016.

With there now being many more options and availability for sports betting, expect this number to go way up.

According to the American Gaming Association, $4.6 billion was bet illegally for last year’s Super Bowl. Of course, there will still be illegal bets made across the country, but it’s almost a certainty that legal sportsbooks will see a substantial uptick in revenue from a year ago.

Dustin Gouker, the lead sports betting analyst for PlayNJ.com, has said he believes there will be $100 million legally bet on the Super Bowl just in New Jersey. He expects this figure to be around $325 million for the entire United States.

Super Bowl Betting picks and advice

We don’t offer betting advice here at TheLines. We leave that to our friends at PlayPicks.com. Be sure to check out all of their Super Bowl preview content leading up to the big game, including daily videos at the PlayPicks YouTube channel.

How Much Money Will Be Bet On The Super Bowl In 2019?

Marc Meltzer January 27, 2019
Super Bowl Bet

The Super Bowl is the most popular sporting event of the year. Not only do millions of people watch the Big Game on TV but plenty of people wager, legally and illegally, on the Super Bowl. There were more than $150 million in legal wagers on the Super Bowl in Nevada alone in 2018.

There should be even more money bet on the Super Bowl in the US this year thanks to more states legalizing sports betting.

Betting on the Super Bowl around the US

More money is legally wagered on the Super Bowl in Nevada than any other single day event. That number should grow thanks to the repeal of the Professional Amateur Sports Protection Act (PASPA) in 2018.

This year more states than ever will take legal sports wagers on the Super Bowl. In addition to gambling on the Super Bowl in Nevada, sports fans can legally wager on the Super Bowl in the following US states:

Increasing amounts of money legally wagered on the Super Bowl in the US is just getting started. This should see another increase in 2019 as more states legalize sports gambling. That’s a story to be told next year.

Bet on Super Bowl 53 at these legal sportsbooks in New Jersey

Super Bowl betting in Nevada breaking records

The handle (amount of money wagered) on the Super Bowl in Nevada has increased every year since 2016. Last year a record of $158,586,934 was wagered on the Super Bowl in Nevada. Sports bettors did quite well as the sportsbooks won less than one percent of the wagers.

All together, Nevada sportsbooks won $1,170,432 or 0.7 percent of wagers placed on the Super Bowl in 2018. While some years are more profitable than others for Nevada sportsbooks have only lost money on two Super Bowls since 1991. The most recent losing Super Bowl for Nevada sportsbooks was 2008 when the New York Giants defeated the New England Patriots 17-14.

Betting on the Super Bowl in Nevada is quite different than football games throughout the year. The vast majority of football bets during the regular season are on a team or total. During the Super Bowl, that only counts for about half the wagers on the game. Prop bets account for the other half of wagers on the Super Bowl and they’re more popular than ever before.

Nevada Sports Betting Handle/Revenue Since 2000

YearGameHandle RevenueBooks W/L %
2018Philadelphia vs. New England$158,586,934$1,170,4320.7%
2017New England vs. Atlanta$138,480,136$10,937,8267.9%
2016Denver vs. Carolina$132,545,587$13,314,53910.1%
2015New England vs. Seattle$115,986,086$3,261,0662.8%
2014Seattle vs. Denver$119,400,000$19,700,00016.5%
2013Baltimore vs. San Francisco$98,936,798$7,206,4607.3%
2012NY Giants vs. New England$93,899,840$5,064,4705.4%
2011Green Bay vs. Pittsburgh$87,491,098$724,1760.8%
2010New Orleans vs. Indianapolis$82,726,367$6,857,1018.3%
2009Pittsburgh vs. Arizona$81,514,748$6,678,0448.2%
2008N.Y. Giants vs. New England$92,055,833-$2,573,103-2.8%
2007Indianapolis vs. Chicago$93,067,358$12,930,17513.9%
2006Pittsburgh vs. Seattle$94,534,372$8,828,4319.3%
2005New England vs. Philadelphia$90,759,236$15,430,13817%
2004New England vs. Carolina$81,242,191$12,440,69815.3%
2003Tampa Bay vs. Oakland$71,693,032$5,264,9637.3%
2002New England vs. St. Louis$71,513,304$2,331,6073.3%
2001Baltimore vs. New York Giants$67,661,425$11,002,63616.3%
2000St. Louis vs. Tennessee$71,046,751$4,237,9786%

Betting on the 2019 Super Bowl in the US

It didn’t take much time for bettors in Nevada to place big Super Bowl bets. ESPN reports that there were at least two wagers of more than $100,000 just after the New England Patriots vs. Los Angeles Rams game was confirmed on Sunday evening.

Regardless of the teams playing in the Big Game, sportsbook operators told the Las Vegas Review-Journal that they’re expecting another record handle in Nevada on the Super Bowl. That’s just the beginning of how much will be wagered on the Super Bowl in 2019.

According to a Morning Consult/American Gaming Association survey, approximately 22.7 million of all Americans will wager approximately $6 billion on the 2019 Super Bowl. That’s nearly 10 percent of all Americans.

However, most of the money bet on the Super Bowl will still be illegal. The AGA expects that 1.8 million Americans will wager on the Super Bowl illegally through a bookie. Additionally, they expect millions more will be betting illegally through offshore online books.

PlayNJ.com is expecting one million people to bet approximately $100 million on the Super Bowl in New Jersey. Overall, Dustin Gouker from Play NJ expects approximately $325 million of legal wagers on the Super Bowl in the US.

The upside of legal Super Bowl betting

There has been a lot of money spent gambling in the US on the Super Bowl. The vast majority of gambling on the Big Game in the US has been illegal. According to the American Gaming Association, approximately $4.76 billion was wagered on Super Bowl 52 between the New England Patriots and Philadelphia Eagles in the US last year.

With just over $15o million legally wagered on the Super Bowl in Nevada in 2018, approximately 97 percent of all money wagered on Super Bowl 52 was illegal in the US.

While the majority of Super Bowl betting will remain illegal in the States, there should be an overall increase in taxable dollars wagered at legal sportsbooks this year.