Each week, TheLines takes a look back at some of the worst sports betting “bad beats” from the weekend of college and pro football. These incredible moments caused a swing in money at sportsbooks, resulting in jubilation — and plenty of pain — for bettors everywhere.
Northern Illinois 30, Buffalo 29
Line: Buffalo -3
It didn’t take long for gamblers to experience a bad beat during championship week. The MAC Championship Game kicked things off Friday night and a fourth-quarter comeback by Northern Illinois got the weekend off to a rough start for bettors on Buffalo -3
This one looked like an easy win. Full disclosure: I had Buffalo -3 and was getting bored watching the game. The Bulls were completely dominating after taking a commanding 29-10 lead early in the second half.
The momentum began to shift though when Northern Illinois quarterback Marcus Childers hit D.J. Brown for a 28-yard touchdown to cut Buffalo’s lead to 29-17 with 17 seconds remaining in the third quarter. Not the end of the world. Northern Illinois can’t stop Buffalo. It’s not like the Bulls will suddenly stop scoring, right?
The fourth quarter was all Huskies. Childers found Spencer Tears from 32-yards out to get Northern Illinois within five points. Now it was time for Buffalo bettors to get nervous for the first time all game. The Huskies were one score away from covering.
The Huskies completed the comeback in dramatic fashion when Childers hit Brown again with just 1:09 left on the clock to give Northern Illinois its first lead of the game.
— Sports Daily (@SportsDGI) December 1, 2018
Buffalo had one last drive but it wasn’t meant to be for the Bulls backers. Buffalo’s drive stalled at the Northern Illinois’ 41-yard line and the Huskies held on to win the MAC Championship in a thrilling comeback…for some.
Buffalo bettors watched the Bulls jump out to a 13-0 lead in the first quarter, hold a 29-10 edge in the third quarter, only to have Northern Illinois score 20 unanswered points in the final 15 minutes to win and cover.
Oklahoma 39, Texas 27
Line: Texas +9
Oklahoma and Texas played a wild shootout earlier this season with the Longhorns winning 48-45. History repeated itself on Saturday in the Big 12 Championship game, only this time it was Oklahoma winning 39-27, and sticking it to Texas +9 bettors in the process.
The last few minutes of this game was really a roller coaster of emotions for gamblers on both sides. Texas had been covering the spread most of the game and entered the fourth quarter tied at 27. Oklahoma took a 30-27 lead and then tacked on a safety with 8:27 remaining to go up 32-27.
Following the safety, Oklahoma went on an 11-play drive that took 6:27 off the clock and sucked the life out of Texas backers. The Sooners converted three third downs on the drive to bleed the clock but if the Longhorns held on a critical 3rd-and-10 from the 18-yard line, Oklahoma would have to settle for a field goal. Texas just couldn’t get a stop though. Kyler Murray threw a pinpoint pass to Grant Calcaterra, who made a beautiful one-handed catch for the touchdown.
— Sooner Gridiron (@soonergridiron) December 1, 2018
Now trailing by 12, Texas bettors needed a touchdown to cover. Then it happened. Lil’ Jordan Humphrey returned the ensuing kickoff for a score. Amazing. However, the touchdown got called back because of a holding penalty. There were some questionable calls in this game but this wasn’t one of them. It was clearly holding on the return.
Texas bettors weren’t dead yet. There was always the backdoor cover. Sam Ehlinger drove the Longhorns down to the Oklahoma 18-yard line, giving Texas one final shot at a touchdown. On the next play, Oklahoma’s much-maligned defense shut the back door on Longhorn bettors when Tre Norwood picked off Ehlinger to secure the 39-27 and College Football Playoff berth for the Sooners.
A one-handed catch on third down, a kickoff return for a touchdown that got called back and a late interception in the red zone doomed Texas bettors in the final minutes.
Los Angeles Rams 30, Detroit Lions 16
Line: Lions +10
Remember back in Week 8 when Todd Gurley broke the Internet by taking a knee against the Packers in the final seconds instead of scoring to give the Rams a cover? Well, it almost happened again on Sunday. Luckily for Rams bettors, Gurley mismanaged the clock.
The Rams were 10-point favorites over the Lions, but Los Angeles wasn’t sharp coming off its bye. Detroit was covering most of the day until a Gurley touchdown with 6:53 remaining gave the Rams a 23-13 lead. The Lions kicked a field goal with 2:57 left to make it a one-possession game at 23-16.
Los Angeles was content to run out the clock, but Rams bettors got a break when Gurley busted free for an easy touchdown.
Todd Gurley with the Madden move 🎮
— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) December 2, 2018
No way. Not again. Gurley stopped at the one-yard line instead of scoring for the second time this season. Amazingly, both times it impacted the spread. There was one significant difference though. This time he did it before the two-minute warning and the Lions had timeouts. Unlike the first time when Gurley made the correct decision by falling down, he should have scored to give the Rams a two-touchdown lead.
Everything worked out for Rams bettors. Gurley realized his error on and on the next play, he plunged into the end zone from one-yard out to give Los Angeles a 30-16 lead.
Rams backers weren’t out of the woods yet. Matthew Stafford drove the Lions down to the Rams’ 14-yard line for a potential backdoor touchdown. However, Stafford was picked off in the end zone with 17 seconds left on the clock, securing the win for the Rams.
Just make a mental note for the future: If you need Todd Gurley to bust a big run to cover a spread, there better be like five minutes left in the game. Anything less and Gurley is stopping short.
— Sports Daily (@SportsDGI) December 1, 2018
Each week, TheLines takes a look back at some of the worst sports betting “bad beats” from the weekend of college and pro football. These incredible moments caused a swing in money at sportsbooks, resulting in jubilation — and plenty of pain — for bettors everywhere.
Texas A&M 74, LSU 72
Line: Texas A&M -3/LSU ML +125
This game was so crazy there’s not enough time to recap everything. It involves a first down that appeared not to be a first down, an interception that wasn’t an interception, seven overtimes and the losing coach getting a Gatorade bath. Yes, there was a lot going on in this one.
Let’s go to Texas A&M’s final drive in the fourth quarter where it looked like LSU had won the game on back-to-back plays. The first came on 3rd-and-18 when Texas A&M quarterback Kellen Mond appeared to throw a game-ending interception with 20 seconds remaining. LSU players thought the game was over and even dumped Gatorade on head coach Ed Orgeron.
Yup, LSU just lost a game in which their Head Coach received a Gatorade bath and they scored 72 points. College football!pic.twitter.com/kLkK06z5h2
— FantasyPros (@FantasyPros) November 25, 2018
However, the play was reviewed and it turned out that Mond’s knee actually touched before he got the pass off. A big break for the Aggies and an image Orgeron would later regret.
On the very next play, Mond connected with Quartney Davis for 20 yards on 4th-and-18. It was called a first down but judging by the yellow line on TV, Davis was clearly short. Turns out, The SEC Network’s yellow first down line was incorrect, so the play was never reviewed and the Aggies had a first down with 15 seconds on the clock.
For the record, the call was correct. It was a 1st down.
The first down TV line was incorrect and was on the 41, not the 43 yard line that it should have been. https://t.co/qeDKlBhJDd
— Peter Burns (@PeterBurnsESPN) November 25, 2018
It came down to one final play from the LSU 19-yard line. Even after the interception that wasn’t an interception and the non-first down that was a first down, LSU moneyline bettors needed just one stop to cash. Not on this night. It what turned out to be of the wildest games in college football history, Mond hit Davis for a 19-yard touchdown on the final play of regulation to send the game into overtime.
KELLEN MOND in the CLUTCH 🔥 pic.twitter.com/kTtKKpjOma
— SEC Network (@SECNetwork) November 25, 2018
Both Texas A&M and LSU bettors had multiple opportunities to cover in the seven overtimes but neither defense could make a stop. The game finally ended in the seventh overtime. Following an LSU touchdown and missed two-point conversion, Mond found Davis again from 17-yards out to tie the game at 72. The Aggies converted the two-point conversion when Mond hit Kendrick Rogers to end the instant classic.
The winning play.pic.twitter.com/S1ffdeS5fh
— Sporting News (@sportingnews) November 25, 2018
After all that, it wasn’t a bad beat for those on LSU +3 because they eventually covered the spread in the end. Although, the game was so crazy and had so many potential endings that it was a tough beat for just about everyone else. Unless you had the UNDER. It’s hard to argue a bad beat when the OVER hits by 100 points.
Boise State 33, Utah State 24
Spread: Utah State +2.5
There were a lot of bad beats on Saturday that deserved to make this list. However, this one isn’t being talked about as much because it happened while many people were sleeping off their turkey comas. Make no mistake about it though, this was a brutal beat for Utah State backers.
Utah State trailed 26-17 in the fourth quarter after a Boise State touchdown and missed a two-point conversion. The failed conversion was big because it meant an Aggies touchdown would be covering the spread. Utah State backers got that touchdown with 3:12 remaining to cut the lead to 26-24. Now Boise State runs out the clock and Aggies bettors go home happy.
Utah State kicked the ball off deep, but disaster struck when Broncos running back Alexander Mattison broke off a 59-yard run to set up Boise State with a 1st-and-goal at the 10-yard line. Now here’s the thing: Utah State still had one timeout left. They called it after a second down run with 55 seconds remaining in the game. That stoppage meant Boise couldn’t just take a knee and run out the clock.
Guess what happened next? On 4th-and-goal from the 1, Mattison busted into the end zone with just four seconds on the clock to give the Broncos a 33-24 win. Before the play, the ESPN announcer said, “A lot of people interested in what happens here based on the closeness of this contest.” That’s right. One touchdown in the final seconds of a Mountain West football game impacted many people, both good and bad.
Alexander Mattison in for his 3rd TD of the night…what a performance from #22 #BoiseState (10-2) beats #14 Utah State (10-2) 33-24…Broncos are headed back to the Mountain West Championship game!
Next Saturday on The Blue against Fresno State pic.twitter.com/UZYtpnkgnJ
— Will Hall (@WillHallKTVB) November 25, 2018
It was a tough pill for Utah State bettors to swallow. The 59-yard run by Mattison turned into a bad beat for those on the Aggies +2.5.
Seattle Seahawks 30, Carolina Panthers 27
Line: Panthers -3
This was a close, back-and-forth game throughout but the Panthers really imploded in the fourth quarter when they had a chance to win and cover.
Carolina took a 27-20 lead with 6:57 remaining following a Christian McCaffrey touchdown. On the ensuing drive, Seattle faced a 4th-and-3 from the Panthers’ 35-yard-line with just over three minutes left in the game.
A stop and Carolina is likely one first down away from a seven-point victory. Panthers bettors didn’t get the stop. Instead, Russell Wilson threw a 35-yard touchdown pass to David Moore to tie the game at 27.
— FanDuel (@FanDuel) November 25, 2018
The Panthers weren’t dead yet though. Cam Newton drove Carolina to the 36-yard-line, setting up Graham Gano for a 52-yard field attempt to give Carolina the lead and potential PUSH. However, Gano pushed the kick right and Seattle got the ball back with 1:45 on the clock.
With the game still tied, Russell Wilson hit Tyler Lockett for a big 43-yard gain on third down to set up the Seahawks at the 10-yard line. Sebastian Janikowski nailed a 31-yard game-winning field goal in the final seconds to give Seattle the 30-27 win and cover as a three-point dog.
Tyler Lockett with another big play!
— Pro Football Focus (@PFF) November 25, 2018
A touchdown on fourth down, a missed field goal and 43-yard gain by Seattle on 3rd-and-7 all in the final three minutes combined to give Panthers bettors a tough loss on Sunday.
Each week, TheLines takes a look back at some of the worst sports betting “bad beats” from the weekend of college and pro football. These incredible moments caused a swing in money at sportsbooks, resulting in jubilation — and plenty of pain — for bettors everywhere.
Vanderbilt 36, Mississippi 29
Line: Ole Miss +3
Vanderbilt and Ole Miss may be at the bottom of the SEC standings but they played a wild game on Saturday that ended in controversy when a potential game-tying touchdown in overtime was ruled incomplete.
This game was tight the entire way. Vanderbilt took a 26-23 lead with 5:20 left in the fourth quarter. At that point, the game was pushing the 3-point spread but Ole Miss and OVER backers got new life when the Rebels tied it on a Luke Logan 32-yard field goal with just 40 seconds on the clock. Interesting note: the field goal came on 4th-and-1. Ole Miss coach Matt Luke opted to tie the game and go into overtime instead of going for the win in regulation, despite the Rebels being 5-5 at the time.
With the game headed to overtime, the OVER was in play and Ole Miss bettors could end up with a win instead of a push. Vanderbilt got the ball first in overtime and scored to take a 36-29 lead. If Ole Miss answers and kicks the extra point, OVER bettors would cash.
Ole Miss answered. At least it appeared they did. A.J. Brown hauled in a third-down pass from Jordan Ta’amu, then was brought down by Vanderbilt cornerback Randall Haynie in the end zone for a touchdown. However, the touchdown was reviewed and overturned when it was determined that after initially making the catch in the end zone and maintaining control as he fell, the ball was jostled out of Brown’s hand when he hit the ground.
Ole Miss loses at Vandy 36-29 in OT after this pass was ruled incomplete on third down.
(The fourth down pass fell incomplete) pic.twitter.com/Tt4kAjXRjf
— Yahoo Sports College Football (@YahooSportsCFB) November 18, 2018
Vanderbilt ended up stopping Ole Miss on fourth down and winning the game 36-29, making it a tough beat for those on either the Rebels or the OVER.
While the ending was tough to take for Ole Miss bettors, it doesn’t even tell the entire story. The Rebels had three potential touchdowns called back or overturned in the game, including the one in overtime. The Rebels were inside the red zone six times and came away with just one touchdown. Those missed opportunities, a questionable decision to kick a field goal late, and a missed touchdown by inches in overtime all added up to give Ole Miss bettors one of the toughest beats of the weekend.
Wyoming 35, Air Force 27
Line: Air Force +3
Our condolences go out to anyone who had Air Force +3 on Saturday. It’s hard to say any one loss is the worst beat of the year but this game is certainly in the running.
The Falcons took a 27-14 lead with 8:44 left in the game. Air Force had to settle for a 21-yard field goal after failing to score a touchdown in the red zone. Still, Air Force bettors were in good shape up 13 points. Or so they thought.
A Wyoming touchdown with 4:32 left cut Air Force’s lead to 27-21. No problem. Air Force backers could still give up another touchdown and cover. After the Falcons went three and out, Wyoming got the ball back and took the lead with 1:09 on the clock when Tyler Vander Waal hit Austin Conway for a 22-yard touchdown.
Air Force bettors just needed nothing crazy to happen and they get out of here with a win. Then something crazy happened. Logan Wilson picked off Air Force quarterback Donald Hammond III with just over a minute left in the game. On third down, just trying to run out the clock, Wyoming running back Xazavian Valladay broke loose for a 27-yard touchdown run.
Wait, there’s a flag down. Holding on Wyoming. Bring it back. Whew, that was a close call for Air Force bettors. The only problem is Air Force declined the penalty so they could get the ball back down 35-27.
— Mountain West (@MountainWest) November 18, 2018
It was the right decision because that’s the only chance the Falcons had to tie the game and send it into overtime. For Air Force bettors, it was a crushing defeat. How many times in your lives have you lost a bet on a touchdown that’s going to get called back but the team declines the penalty?
Wyoming scored 21 points in the final 4:32 to erase a 13-point deficit and cover the three-point spread. That’s a tough loss to swallow if you had Air Force plus the points.
Pittsburgh Steelers 20, Jacksonville Jaguars 16
Line: Jaguars +4
The wildest finish of the day Sunday came in the Steelers/Jaguars game. Pittsburgh was laying up to 5.5 points earlier in the week but closed -4 at most sportsbooks.
Jacksonville was absolutely dominating this game, leading 16-0 late in the fourth quarter. Gamblers have to feel good when they bet an underdog up 16 late in the third quarter. They feel even better when the other team has yet to score a point.
The Steelers finally got on the board with 1:31 left in the third quarter but failed on the two-point conversion. However, the Jaguars still led 16-6 with under five minutes remaining in the game.
That’s when Ben Roethlisberger went to work, leading Pittsburgh on an 80-yard drive that was capped off with a touchdown to tight end Vance McDonald. The Steelers trailed by just three with 2:28 on the clock.
Steelers backers needed a stop and a touchdown to get out with a PUSH. Unfortunately for Jacksonville backers, the Jaguars ran only 46 seconds off the clock before punting the ball back to Roethlisberger and the Steelers.
Big Ben led Pittsburgh down the field again but it appeared the comeback would fall short when D.J. Hayden intercepted Roethlisberger in the end zone. Hayden was called for a facemask penalty though, so the Steelers got another life. Following another Hayden penalty on the next play, Roethlisberger took matters into in his own hands, diving into the end zone from one-yard out for the game-winning touchdown with eight seconds remaining. The extra point made the game a PUSH.
Ben Roethlisberger crashes into the end zone to complete the comeback 😤
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) November 18, 2018
For Steelers bettors, it was a PUSH that felt like a win. For Jaguars bettors, it was a PUSH that felt like a devastating loss. The late touchdown also saved many teasers and moneyline parlays that included the Steelers.
LSU 24, Arkansas 17
Line: LSU -13.5
Remember two weeks ago when Todd Gurley broke the Internet by taking a knee instead of scoring a touchdown to cover the spread in the final minute against the Packers? Well, it looks like Gurley has started a trend.
Let’s go to the wild ending in the LSU/Arkansas game. The Tigers were in a tough spot laying 13.5 points after getting drilled by Alabama last week. Still, LSU was in control with a 24-3 lead heading into the fourth quarter. Then the wheels fell off for LSU backers.
Arkansas scored to cut the LSU lead to 24-10 early in the fourth quarter and then got within seven points after another touchdown with just 5:27 remaining in the game. In what looked like a laugher for LSU bettors was now a one-possession game.
LSU got the ball back and drove to the Arkansas 23-yard line. It appeared the Tigers had put the game away after a Nick Brossette’s 16-yard run set up LSU with a first down at the 7-yard line. With the clock ticking and Arkansas unable to stop it, LSU could take a knee and send Tigers bettors home with a bad beat.
Then LSU head coach Ed Orgeron inexplicably handed the ball off to Brossette with just over a minute to go. Brossette broke free, but instead of scoring, he slid down at the 1-yard line, similar to Gurley two weeks earlier. The touchdown would have all but given LSU bettors the win, but it was Arkansas that got the cover with two fourth-quarter touchdowns.
Another moment sports bettors will never forget
Spread: LSU -13pic.twitter.com/EqYms3yEMU
— The Action Network (@ActionNetworkHQ) November 11, 2018
While it was a bad beat for LSU backers, Orgeron should have never been running the ball in the first place. What if Brossette fumbled and it got returned for a tying touchdown? If you think that can’t happen, give ex-Baylor coach Kevin Steele a call. Steele once did the same thing up 24-20 and just as his running back was about to score, he fumbled with four seconds left. UNLV’s Kevin Thomas returned the fumble 100-yards to score a touchdown with no time remaining, giving the Rebels a 27-24 win.
It was a tough beat for LSU bettors when a running back took a knee to impact the spread for the second time in three weeks. You can’t blame Orgeron though. He gave LSU backers hope. But Brossette put his awareness on display. And he even took a question about the gambling impact of his decision after the game.
— Jacques Doucet (@JacquesDoucet) November 11, 2018
Texas A&M 38, Mississippi 24
Line: Ole Miss +13
Wow. If you had Ole Miss +13, words really don’t do this loss justice. Last week, Texas A&M was on the other end of a bad beat when they allowed Auburn to score twice late and cover. On Saturday, it was the Aggies scoring two late touchdowns to give Ole Miss backers the worst beat of the day.
Ole Miss was covering this game the entire way until the very end. Texas A&M kicked a field goal to go up 31-21 with 4:36 remaining. Until that kick, the biggest lead either team had all day was seven points. Trailing by ten, the Rebels drove down to the Aggies’ 7-yard line, but Ole Miss coach Matt Luke opted to kick a 24-yard field goal on fourth down with 1:51 left in the game to pull within seven.
The Rebels lined up for an onside kick but Ole Miss backers were looking good because if A&M recovered, they would just try to run out the clock. The Aggies recovered the kick. They tried to run out the clock. Texas A&M running back Trayveon Williams didn’t get the memo. On the first play after the onside kick, Williams bolted 46 yards for a touchdown to give the Aggies a 14-point lead. It was the first time all game Texas A&M was covering the spread.
Ole Miss got the ball back with 1:39 remaining and a shot to still get a backdoor cover. Amazingly, the Rebels went on a 15-play drive in the final 1:39 but were unable to score on 4th-and-21 from the Texas A&M 33-yard line on the game’s last play.
Let’s add it all up. The Rebels fumbled in the red zone with a chance to go up 21-7 in the second quarter. Ole Miss missed a 22-yard field goal with 7:18 left that would have tied the game. Following the missed field, the Aggies scored two touchdowns in the final 4:36, including a 46-yard run when they were trying to run out the clock.
Sometimes bettors are on the right side and still lose. On Saturday, Ole Miss was the right side until just over a minute to go in the game. Tough beat.
Indianapolis Colts 29, Jacksonville Jaguars 26
Line: Jaguars +3
There weren’t any really bad beats on Sunday, so we’ll have to settle for a PUSH from Jaguars bettors when it looked like they were headed for a win.
The Jaguars trailed 29-13 in the third quarter and fought back to within three, 29-26, late in the fourth quarter. It appeared the Jaguars were going to complete the comeback and get a victory over their AFC South rivals. Jacksonville had moved into field goal range but with just over one minute to go, Rashad Greene lost the ball while going to the ground after a catch.
It was originally ruled Greene was down by contact, giving the Jaguars a first down at the Colts’ 23-yard line. However, after a review, the call was overturned and ruled a fumble. The Colts took over and ran out the clock.
Jaguars bettors will live with a PUSH after trailing all game long but they got a bit unlucky on the close fumble. Jacksonville had all the momentum and just 23 yards to go for a game-winning touchdown. Even though both sides ended up with a PUSH, you know when the call got reversed to a fumble, it felt like a win to Colts bettors and a loss for gamblers on the Jaguars.
West Virginia 42, Texas 41
Line: West Virginia -1
In one of the wildest games of the college football season that saw nine lead changes, West Virginia defeated Texas 42-41 when Dana Holgorsen opted to go for the win with a two-point conversion after the Mountaineers scored with just 16 seconds left in the game.
West Virginia trailed 41-34 late in the fourth quarter but quarterback Will Grier led the Mountaineers on a 75-yard game-winning drive. Grier capped off the drive with a beautiful throw while being pressured to receiver Gary Jennings Jr. who beat two Texas defenders for a 33-yard touchdown in the back of the end zone.
— FOX Sports (@FOXSports) November 3, 2018
Instead of playing for overtime, Holgorsen went for the win. It appeared as though West Virginia had taken the lead when Grier connected with David Sills V for the two-point conversion but Texas coach Tom Herman called a timeout just before the snap, nullifying the conversion. It didn’t matter. After the timeout, Grier ran a quarterback draw into the end zone for the win.
Will Grier for the win! pic.twitter.com/FUe5jWenNS
— No Huddle NCAA (@NoHuddleNCAA) November 3, 2018
The outcome for bettors was all over the place for this game because of the line movement. The spread opened Texas -2.5 before closing at West Virginia -1. So, depending on which line you got, it was either a win, loss or push on the late score and two-point conversion.
The successful two-point conversion didn’t result in a huge swing for sportsbooks as money was mostly even on this game. Again though, not everyone got the Longhorns at +1.
Auburn 28, Texas A&M 24
Line: Texas A&M +3.5
Texas A&M imploded so badly in this game, Aggies backers must still be wondering how they lost the bet.
Texas A&M was cruising in this one when it went up 24-14 early in the third quarter. The Aggies had two opportunities to extend their lead but came away short both times. Seth Small missed a 36-yard field goal in the third quarter that would have given Texas A&M a 13-point lead and prevented two touchdowns by Auburn from covering the spread.
The big blow though came when Texas A&M quarterback Kellen Mond threw an interception at the Auburn 29-yard line with 7:14 remaining in the game. A score there would have not only been big for the spread but the turnover completely swung the momentum of the game. Following the turnover, Auburn drove down the field in two minutes to score a touchdown, cutting the Aggies’ lead to 24-21.
Texas A&M was trying to run out the clock but head coach Jimbo Fisher opted to throw the ball on third down with 2:10 remaining. A first down and the game is over. The pass fell incomplete and Fisher was forced to punt from his own 45-yard line. The Tigers got the ball back. This time it took Auburn just two plays to find the end zone when Jarrett Stidham hit Seth Williams for an 11-yard touchdown to give Auburn the lead.
Passe parfaite de QB Jarrett Stidham. Réception non moins parfaite de WR Seth Williams et les Tigers d'Auburn passent en tête à 2 mns de la fin !
Auburn 28, Texas A&M 24 pic.twitter.com/0oxEKSGBZM
— TBP College Football (@thebluepennant) November 3, 2018
A&M bettors were left needing a missed an extra to avoid the improbable loss. Auburn kicker Anders Carlson hit not one, but both uprights, on the extra point attempt but the ball still went through to give the Tigers a 28-24 come-from-behind win.
A missed field goal, an interception, two touchdowns in the final 5:14 and an extra point ping-ponging through the uprights all add up for a terrible beat if you had Texas A&M +3.5.
Chargers 25, Seahawks 17
It was a weird Sunday of NFL games with not many close games or awful beats. The Broncos missing a last-second field goal impacted some bettors but Denver closed at -1.5 at most books, so a one-point win wouldn’t have made a difference.
The most frustrating loss gambling-wise was probably the OVER in the Chargers/Seahawks game. The total closed at 48 or 48.5 depending on the book and there were plenty of chances for the game to go OVER.
The biggest reason the game didn’t go OVER was Chargers kicker Caleb Sturgis. Actually, he may be the Chargers former kicker by the time you read this article. Sturgis missed two extra points and a 42-yard field goal on Sunday. Because of Sturgis’ first missed extra point, Los Angeles went for a two-point conversion after its second touchdown. Sturgis is personally responsible for leaving six points off the board, which would have pushed the total at 48 for OVER bettors.
Despite Sturgis’ dreadful performance, OVER bettors still had a shot to cash late in the game. Down by eight points, Seattle had the ball with a chance to tie. Russell Wilson drove the Seahawks to the Chargers’ 20-yard line with five seconds left in the game. Time for one final pass into the end zone.
Wilson’s pass to Tyler Lockett fell incomplete but Chargers cornerback Michael Davis was flagged for pass interference in the end zone. Seattle got one untimed down from the one. Well, make it the six after a false start penalty, but OVER bettors were still alive.
On the final play, Wilson threw a dart to receiver David Moore in the back of the end zone. The ball hit Moore right in the hands but he dropped it. If Moore hangs on, OVER 48 bettors push at worst. Seattle would have obviously gone for two and the tie, which could have given OVER backers at both 48 and 48.5 the win.
— Samuel Gold (@SamuelRGold) November 5, 2018
It wasn’t the worst beat of the season but a kicker costing bettors six points and a drop in the end zone on the final play is still a tough one for OVER backers to swallow. Sportsbooks came out ahead on Moore’s drop with 65 percent of tickets and 60 percent of the money wagered on the OVER. It was one of the few bright spots for the books on Sunday.
Los Angeles Rams 29, Green Bay Packers 27
Line: Rams -7.5
Bad beats happen every week in college and pro football. Then there are beats that are all-timers. Beats so bad they will be talked about by gamblers and in Las Vegas forever. On Sunday, we had one of those beats.
I’m sure you’ve seen the play by now. The Rams led 29-27 with just over a minute to go in the game when Todd Gurley broke free for what looked like a 21-yard touchdown run. The score would have not only covered the spread for many Rams bettors (the line opened at 9.5), it also would have put the game OVER the total.
Todd Gurley doesn't care about your fantasy team, the spread, or the over/under. pic.twitter.com/xNoc42LdyB
— NFL Update (@MySportsUpdate) October 28, 2018
First, let’s state the obvious: Gurley absolutely did the right thing by not scoring. Forget about gambling or your fantasy team, it makes no sense for Gurley to score in that situation. Would the Rams win the game up nine points with less than a minute left? Most likely. The difference is they are guaranteed to win the game if Gurley doesn’t score. While the odds may not be high, the Packers still have a mathematical chance to win the game if they get the ball back down nine points. They have zero chance to win the game if Gurley takes a knee and the clock runs out.
Now let’s get to the gambling fallout of Gurley’s decision. The Rams/Packers matchup was the most bet game on Sunday at most sportsbooks. In other words, there was a lot of money riding on the game and Gurley’s decision was the difference between winning and losing for many people.
The line opened at 9.5 and that was the number used in the Westgate SuperContest where Green Bay was the most popular pick. However, the number closed at Rams -7.5 and close to 60 percent of bets were on the Packers, although 60 percent of the money wagered was on the Rams. Obviously, Gurley’s decision not to score was a huge swing for many people.
The total is a different story with a majority of the money coming in on one side. With two high-scoring teams facing each other, it’s not surprising that 75 percent of bets and 83 percent of the money wagered was on the OVER. That’s the toughest beat of the game because the play happened on 3rd and 10. If Gurley just gets stopped, there’s a possibility the Rams kick a field goal and the game goes OVER 57. The fact that Gurley broke free for a touchdown and decided to take a knee instead was a crushing blow to OVER bettors.
Also crushing? Gurley trolling bettors and fantasy players on Twitter after the game.
— Todd Gurley II (@TG3II) October 29, 2018
No matter what side you were on, the Gurley non-score is a play that won’t soon be forgotten in the gambling community.
Nebraska 45, Bethune-Cookman 9
Line: Nebraska -41
Did you have Nebraska laying 41 points on Saturday? If so, you suffered one of the worst beats of the college football season.
As expected, the Cornhuskers were cruising at home. Nebraska scored early in the fourth quarter to make it 45-3 then called off the dogs. The problem for Nebraska bettors is they needed one more score to prevent Bethune-Cookman from sneaking in the back door.
It didn’t look like it would be an issue because the Wildcats couldn’t do anything on offense. Bethune-Cookman got the ball with 7:08 remaining. The Wildcats just wanted to take their check and go home, so they started running the ball. In one of the most unbelievable drives you’ll ever see to cover a spread, Bethune-Cookman held the ball for 10 plays and went 82 yards. Nine of those plays were runs.
Bethune-Cookman had no desire to score a touchdown. They even got a delay of game on 3rd and 1 and then ran the ball for 11 yards on 3rd and 6. It’s really one of the most amazing final drives for a bad beat in the history of football.
On the final play of the game with the clocking ticking down, Bethune-Cookman handed the ball off again to running back Alfred Adams, who crossed the goal line for a 5-yard touchdown with no time left to cover the spread. Oh yeah, it was Adams’ first career touchdown too and he’s a senior. Can’t make it up.
Alfred Adams gets his first career TD and gets the Cats their first TD of the game. pic.twitter.com/Wy4qQFLJ4i
— 🏈 #BeatNebraska 🐱 (@BCUGridiron) October 27, 2018
A 10-play drive. Nine runs. Bethune-Cookman marched down the field to score with zeros on the clock. That’s a tough beat.
Iowa State 40, Texas Tech 31
Line: Texas Tech +5.5
This was an entertaining, back and forth game. Until the very end, it was the kind of game where you were nervous laying points because from the second quarter on, no team had more than a touchdown lead. That held true right up until the last couple of minutes.
Texas Tech trailed 31-24 entering the fourth quarter but the Red Raiders tied things up when Iowa State quarterback Brock Purdy fumbled in the end zone and Dakota Allen fell on the ball for a touchdown.
Texas Tech backers had to feel like they were in good shape when the Red Raiders had the ball with 4:39 remaining in a tie game. This time though, it was Texas Tech quarterback Alan Bowman who got sacked in the end zone for a safety, giving Iowa State a 33-31 lead and the ball.
Now, with just over four minutes remaining, even an Iowa State field goal doesn’t cover the spread. Unfortunately for Texas Tech bettors, a touchdown did.
Iowa State faced a 3rd and 9 from the Texas Tech 48-yard line. A first down and the game is essentially over because Iowa State could run out the clock. Instead, Purdy hit Hakeem Butler for a 48-yard touchdown to give the Cyclones a 40-31 lead and Texas Tech bettors a punch to the gut.
A HUGE play as Hakeem Butler pulls in a great catch off a Brock Purdy pass.
Cyclones lead the Red Raiders 40-31 pic.twitter.com/lHOBT5lvA4
— Barstool Big 12 (@BarstoolBig12) October 27, 2018
The Red Raiders did have just over two minutes left to score a “meaningless” touchdown and cover the spread. It wasn’t meant to be though as Bowman was intercepted with 1:40 left, ending any hope for a late cover.
The touchdown by Iowa State marked the first time since 13:35 in the second quarter that either team led by more than one possession. The sportsbooks took a hit on the late score by the Cyclones with around 60 percent of the money coming in on Iowa State.
Purdue 49, Ohio State 20
We say it every week: it’s hard to bet UNDERs in college football.
The latest example came on Saturday night in Purdue’s upset over Ohio State. In a surprising one-sided butt kicking, Purdue led the close to two-touchdown favorite Buckeyes 21-6 after three quarters. The total wasn’t even halfway to the OVER with only 15 minutes to play. Again though, a college football UNDER is never safe.
In a wild fourth quarter, the teams combined for 42 points, including three touchdowns in the final 4:40. After David Blough hit Rondale Moore for a 43-yard touchdown with 3:37 left to put the Boilermakers up 42-20, a once-promising UNDER bet was looking dicey.
Rondale Moore with the DAGGER
— SI College Football (@si_ncaafb) October 21, 2018
UNDER bettors likely would need one final defensive stand from a Purdue defense that had played well most of the night, limiting the high-powered Ohio State offense to just 20 points. Unfortunately for UNDER bettors, Purdue’s defense got more than just a stop.
Markus Bailey stepped in front of a Dwayne Haskins pass and returned it 41 yards for the touchdown. An unbelievable bad beat for UNDER bettors, as Bailey’s score marked the sixth straight possession that ended in a touchdown.
— collegefootball.com.br (@collegefootbr) October 21, 2018
The two teams scored 28 points in a four-minute span to shock UNDER bettors.
Houston 49, Navy 36
Line: Navy +12
This was a wild game that went from looking like an easy cover for the Midshipmen to an easy cover for Houston and ending in a gut-wrenching loss for Navy bettors in the final two minutes.
Navy’s offense was rolling in the first half. The Midshipmen scored three touchdowns and took a 24-21 lead into the locker room. Not a bad spot to be in getting 12 points at home.
Unfortunately for Navy backers, the Midshipmen didn’t bring their offense back onto the field with them for the second half. Houston kept scoring at will, while Navy’s option couldn’t get anything going. When Nick Watkins returned an interception 50 yards for a score, it gave the Cougars four straight touchdowns in the second half and a commanding 49-24 lead.
Navy went down the field with Houston playing a prevent defense and finally scored its first touchdown since 5:18 remaining in the second quarter with just under two minutes left in the game. It didn’t seem like a big deal at the time but Navy decided to go for two instead of kicking the extra point to make it a 17-point game. Apparently Navy head coach Ken Niumatalolo was under the impression the Midshipmen had enough time to score two more touchdowns and kick a field goal. The two-point conversion failed and Navy trailed 49-30.
After Houston recovered the failed Navy onside kick, it looked like the Cougars would just run out the clock. However, for some reason, Houston was still throwing the ball and backup quarterback Bryson Smith got picked off with 1:57 remaining. It was a miracle. Navy bettors had hope.
At this point, Navy backers would take a push. Then it happened. A 50-yard pass got the Midshipmen down to the 15-yard-line. One play later Navy was back in the end zone to make it 49-36. Two touchdowns in the final 1:58!
Okay, Navy bettors had to settle for a push because of the ridiculous two-point conversion attempt but they’ll take it at this point. Just need the extra point. Wait, where’s the kicker? Oh no. Navy was going for two points again with just six seconds left in the game for reasons no one on earth can understand. It failed again, and Houston bettors hung on for the cover. Two-point conversion. With six seconds left down by 13. You can’t make it up.
Navy backers got a miracle in the final minutes that ended up not being a miracle because Niumatalolo opted to go for two. Twice. Brutal.
Kansas City Chiefs 45, Cincinnati Bengals 10
Taking OVER 56.5 in an NFL game is never a gimme. However, if you told bettors that one team would score 45 points, they would have to like their chances. Unless that team has Andy Dalton as its quarterback.
One of the concerns when betting a high OVER with the Bengals is that Dalton could put up one of his stinkers, especially in primetime where he’s struggled in his career. On Sunday night, Dalton put up a stinker, completing just 15 of 29 passes for 148 yards with one touchdown and an interception against the NFL’s last-ranked defense.
Luckily for OVER bettors, Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs’ offense looked like they were going to do all the heavy lifting themselves. Kansas City scored early in the fourth quarter on a Mahomes pass to Tyreek Hill to take a commanding 45-10 lead. An OVER is always dicey in a blowout because the game flow changes. But with 12:50 remaining and just needing a field goal, things were looking good.
Tyreek Hill touchdown. Tyreek Hill fall. Tyreek Hill revival. Tyreek Hill backflip. pic.twitter.com/JxiLArTAqt
— Tyler Greever (@WIBWTyler) October 22, 2018
It started to become obvious though that the Chiefs would need to do all the scoring, as the Bengals’ offense went completely in the tank after halftime, managing just three points. Oh yeah, Marvin Lewis kicked a field goal down 38-7 to cut Kansas City’s lead to 28 midway through the third quarter. Really.
While Lewis was settling for field goals, Mahomes was still throwing the ball up 35 in the fourth quarter. It appeared the Chiefs were going to save OVER bettors when they went on a 12-play drive and faced 3rd-and-6 from the Bengals’ 7-yard line. Even if Kansas City doesn’t get into the end zone, a field goal puts the game OVER. Thanks for nothing Cincinnati.
The only problem with that theory is OVER bettors forgot Andy Reid is a nice guy. Instead of kicking an easy field goal on fourth down, Reid opted to run the ball. Spencer Ware was stopped two yards short of the first down and the Bengals took over. Reid didn’t want to “run up the score” by kicking a field goal in that situation, giving OVER bettors one of the worst beats of the NFL season. Where’s Bill Belichick when you need him?
Sportsbooks applauded Reid’s decision to pass up a field goal as around 75 percent of bets and money wagered were on the OVER. Meanwhile, OVER bettors were left wondering how they lost a bet where one team scored 45 points and piled up 551 yards of total offense.
Falcons 34, Buccaneers 29
Line: Buccaneers +3
Sometimes gamblers can do everything right but circumstances and luck decide the outcome. That was the case when the Buccaneers played the Falcons on Sunday. In a matchup between the NFL’s two worst defenses, it was all offense as anticipated, although the spread would be decided by a kicker.
The Falcons closed as three-point favorites at most Las Vegas and New Jersey sportsbooks and early on it looked like it would be a laugher for Atlanta. The Falcons jumped out to a 21-6 lead and led 24-13 at halftime.
However, with the Falcons’ defense, no lead is safe. The Buccaneers rallied in the second half, cutting Atlanta’s lead to 31-29 after a failed two-point conversion could have tied the game with 3:47 remaining.
The Falcons got the ball back and were content to just run out the clock. If successful, it would give Buccaneers backers a hard-fought cover. Atlanta faced a third-and-two with 1:53 remaining and Tampa Bay out of timeouts. A first down and the game is over. Falcons running back Tevin Coleman got stuffed for no gain on third down, setting up a dramatic win for some gamblers and a gut-wrenching loss for others.
Instead of punting, Atlanta kicker Matt Bryant emerged to give Falcons bettors a glimmer of hope and those on the Bucs +3 a panic attack. Bryant drilled a 57-yard field goal. He injured himself on the kick but Atlanta bettors were probably too busy celebrating to even notice. The kick gave the Falcons a 34-29 lead and likely cover.
Matt Bryant nails the 57 yarder. $$$ pic.twitter.com/FxfA2QQYdv
— Carlton (@SlopingGiraffe) October 14, 2018
Buccaneers bettors weren’t dead yet though. Jameis Winston drove the Bucs down the field and came within a couple of yards of scoring on a wild final play where Winston lateraled the ball to Adam Humphries, who lateraled to Mike Evans, who lateraled to DeSean Jackson inside the five. Tampa Bay came up just short though.
Jameis Winston and the Bucs almost pull off a crazy last second play to win. DeSean Jackson is kicking himself
— 🇨🇦Rory Calhoun🏀 (@DFSBBallGuy) October 14, 2018
The final two minutes went from a bad beat for Falcons bettors to a bad beat for Bucs bettors thanks to a third down stop and 57-yard field goal.
Florida 37, Vanderbilt 27
Line: Vanderbilt +9.5
This was a sandwich game for Florida after upsetting LSU last week and facing rival Georgia on Oct. 27. Those who took Vanderbilt thinking the Gators might come into the game flat were looking good after the Commodores stormed out to a 21-3 lead in the second quarter.
Unfortunately for Vanderbilt backers, the Gators woke up. Florida scored 24 unanswered points to take a 27-21 lead early in the fourth quarter. After a Vanderbilt field goal, Florida’s Freddie Swain caught an 11-yard touchdown pass with 8:07 left in the game to give the Gators a 10-point lead. More importantly, Florida was covering the spread after falling behind by 18 points early.
The game would be a bad beat for Vandy bettors if it ended there but it was only just beginning. The last eight minutes is where the real gambling roller coaster started. Vanderbilt stalled on a 14-play drive, forcing the Commodores to settle for a 53-yard field goal attempt with 3:55 remaining.
Those three points were obviously huge because Vanderbilt went from outside the number to inside with a successful kick. The problem: Vanderbilt kicker Ryley Guay had already missed a 25-yard field goal earlier in the game and his long for the season was 42 yards. But Guay calmly stepped up and drilled the 53-yarder to give the Commodores a potential cover.
Vanderbilt kicker Ryley Guay just nailed a 53 yd FG. He missed a 25 yd FG earlier. There's a head scratcher
— Jason Hurst (@JHurstSports) October 13, 2018
Florida just needed to run out the clock and go home. The Gators faced a third-and-one from the Vanderbilt 25-yard line with just over a minute on the clock. Vanderbilt bettors were one yard away from victory. One yard for the Gators and the clock runs out. But Lamical Perine took the handoff and got met by a wall of Vanderbilt defenders, losing two yards. Florida opted to kick and Evan McPherson connected on a 43-yard field goal to give the Gators a 37-27 win and half-point cover.
— InAllKindsOfWeather.com (@AllKindsWeather) October 13, 2018
It’s bad enough to lose a game when you were up 21-3 and getting 10 points. It’s even worse when you’re one yard away from victory and don’t cash.
According to Sports Insights, William Hill took a beating with the Florida cover as 81 percent of bets and 76 percent of the money were on the Gators.
Michigan 38, Wisconsin 13
Wisconsin vs. Michigan. It just screams a low-scoring, defensive battle. That’s the way it was shaping up for much of the game to the delight of UNDER bettors. Right up until a wild fourth quarter where the two teams combined for 23 points.
Michigan led Wisconsin 13-7 at the half, so for those bettors expecting a low scoring game, everything was going to plan with two quarters to go. The Wolverines scored the only touchdown in the third and after a successful two-point conversion, Michigan took a 21-7 lead into the final quarter.
Here’s where the wheels came off for UNDER bettors. Michigan began to blow the game open after Lavert Hill returned an interception 21 yards for a touchdown to give Michigan a commanding 31-7 lead with 9:55 remaining. There was some good news for UNDER bettors though. They could still give up a touchdown and Michigan put its backups in the game on offense.
Now for the bad news. Backup quarterback Dylan McCaffrey ripped off a 44-yard touchdown run with 5:16 left in the game to make it 38-7 Wolverines.
— Wolverine Corner (@WolverineCorner) October 14, 2018
With UNDER bettors still clinging to a win, Wisconsin put the nail in their coffin on the next possession. After getting shut down all night long, the Badgers marched down the field to score a “meaningless” touchdown and put the game OVER.
UNDER bettors were left to swallow a loss where Wisconsin’s Alex Hornibrook completed just seven passes and neither quarterback threw for more than 125 yards.
Bengals 27, Dolphins 17
Line: Bengals -6
The NFL season is only five weeks old but we have a strong contender for Bad Beat of the Year. In a game that looked like an easy winner, the fourth quarter turned out to be a nightmare for Dolphins bettors.
Miami dominated the first half, leading the Bengals 14-0 at halftime. After the two teams exchanged field goals, Miami entered the fourth quarter up 17-3. With the Bengals’ offense struggling and a 14-point cushion, Miami backers had to feel good about the Dolphins +6 with only one quarter to go.
The feeling wouldn’t last long.
After a Joe Mixon touchdown cut the lead to 17-10, Cincinnati’s defense took over. Bengals defensive end Michael Johnson scored on a 22-yard interception return after the ball rebounded off another player’s back into Johnson’s waiting arms.
This almost seems impossible. What an awful break for Dolphins. pic.twitter.com/ySdtXGcx6A
— Will Manso (@WillManso) October 7, 2018
With the score now tied, the Miami meltdown was only beginning.
The Bengals were driving to take the lead late in the fourth quarter. Luckily for Miami backers, the Dolphins held on third-and-goal, forcing the Bengals to settle for a field goal to make it 20-17.
Trailing by three and still covering, Dolphins bettors just needed to avoid disaster. Then the Bengals’ defense struck again. Miami quarterback Ryan Tannehill was stripped by defensive end Carlos Dunlap. Sam Hubbard scooped up the ball and returned it 19 yards for a touchdown with 2:37 on the clock. It was the first time all game the Bengals were covering the spread.
Miami’s chance for a backdoor cover ended with another Tannehill interception, securing the ATS win for Cincinnati.
According to numberFire (see right), the Dolphins were nearly 80% to win the game before Johnson’s pick-six. But the Bengals put up 24 fourth quarter points, including two defensive scores, to cover the six-point spread and send Miami bettors home with one of the worst beats of the season so far.
Texas A&M 20, Kentucky 14
Line: Texas A&M -5.5
Arguably the worst defeat a gambler has to swallow is when they take an underdog and lose the cover in overtime. It’s even worse when the team has the ball first OT and doinks a field goal.
This was an ugly offensive game. After scoring to take a 7-0 lead in the first quarter, the Kentucky offense disappeared. Texas A&M wasn’t much better on offense but a touchdown with 10:13 left in the game gave the Aggies a 14-7 lead. With the way Kentucky was moving the ball, that looked like it might be enough to cover.
Then Kentucky backers caught a break. The offense couldn’t get out of its own way, so the Wildcats’ defense took matters into their own hands. Darius West returned a fumble 40 yards for the tying touchdown with just 4:17 left in the game.
The game went into overtime and Kentucky got the ball first. The ideal situation for Wildcats bettors would be a field goal followed by a stop or Texas A&M touchdown to lose by three.
Things were going according to plan when Kentucky quarterback Terry Wilson was sacked on third down to set up a 31-yard field goal. The plan blew up though when kicker Miles Butler hit the crossbar on a 43-yard field goal attempt.
All wasn’t lost for Kentucky backers yet. An A&M field goal and everyone goes home happy. The only problem is Aggies running back Trayveon Williams had a different plan. Williams busted through the Kentucky defense for a game-winning touchdown.
NOTHING was stopping Trayveon Williams on this overtime TD 😤
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) October 7, 2018
The line closed at 5.5 at most Las Vegas and New Jersey books, giving those who took the underdog a tough half point loss. Although, bettors at the Wynn went home happy, as Kentucky closed at +6.5 there.
North Carolina State 28, Boston College 23
Line: NC State -6.5
Every week it feels like spread and totals are being decided by blocked punts. On Saturday, a blocked punt struck again much to the dismay of NC State bettors.
The Wolfpack held a commanding 28-3 lead with 2:57 left in the third quarter. NC State was cruising and looked on its way to an easy cover.
Then a minute and a half later the BC comeback began with a Ben Glines 21-yard touchdown run. Glines followed that up with a touchdown reception early in the fourth quarter. Now things were getting tight for NC State backers with the Wolfpack’s lead cut to 28-17.
It looked like NC State would need to make one final defensive stop when they lined up to punt with 3:33 remaining in the game. Just get the kickoff and it was on NC State’s defense to seal the deal.
The Wolfpack defense never got an opportunity to close the game out and cash for NC State backers. Instead, Travis Levy blocked the NC State punt and returned it for the Eagles’ third straight unanswered touchdown.
Big-time punt block for @BCFootball.
We've got a game in Raleigh. pic.twitter.com/oVtBEpBLK9
— FOX Sports South (@FOXSportsSouth) October 6, 2018
Boston College missed the two-point conversion but the damage had been done. NC State ran out the clock to win 28-23, giving Boston College the late cover.
The Eagles closed the game on a 20-0 run capped off by the blocked punt for a touchdown to break the hearts of NC State -6.5 bettors.
Each week, TheLines will take a look back at some of the worst sports betting “bad beats” from the weekend of college and pro football. These incredible moments caused a swing in money at sportsbooks, resulting in jubilation — and plenty of pain — for bettors everywhere.
West Virginia 42, Texas Tech 34
An UNDER in a Big 12 game is never safe but bettors had to feel pretty good when West Virginia led Texas Tech 35-17 heading into the fourth quarter.
UNDER bettors could still allow three touchdowns and Texas Tech was down to their third-string quarterback, Jett Duffey. Duffey wasn’t expected to make a big impact in this game but he ended up being an OVER bettor’s best friend by the end of it.
— The QB Paul Blake (@TheQBPaulBlake) September 29, 2018
That ridiculous run, straight out of a video game, set up a field goal to make it 35-20 West Virginia. Duffey then scored on a 3-yard run with 7:50 remaining to make the score 35-27 — still 13.5 points short of the total. The Red Raiders got the ball back for one final drive late in the fourth quarter with a chance to tie. As long as the game didn’t go into overtime, UNDER bettors were safe — or so it appeared.
Then Duffey did the one thing UNDER backers couldn’t have happen. He threw a pick-six with 2:58 left in the game. Not only did that give West Virginia a commanding 42-27 lead, it set up for a backdoor cover for OVER bettors.
With West Virginia playing soft on defense, Duffey led Texas Tech down the field on a nine-play drive that was capped off by a Ta’Zhawn Henry 1-yard run with 38 seconds left to put the nail in the coffin for UNDER bettors.
It took 24 fourth quarter points and two touchdowns in the final three minutes for the game to go OVER. To make matters worse, the total opened at 77 at most books and dropped to 75.5, meaning gamblers who hit the OVER early lost as well. The sports books also took a hit on the late score with 72 percent of the bets and 75 percent of money wagered coming in on the OVER.
Texas 19, Kansas State 0 (First Half)
Bettors who had the OVER 24 in the first half of the Texas/Kansas State suffered a bad beat that has to be seen to be believed.
Texas dominated the first half even though either team produced much on offense. The Longhorns scored on a 90-yard punt return and added a safety for nine of their 19 points. Kansas State was completely shut down by Texas’ defense until the Wildcats finally came alive on their last drive of the half.
Kansas State faced a fourth-and-goal with just two seconds remaining in the half. OVER bettors could care less about a field goal and luckily, Kansas State head coach Bill Snyder agreed. He decided to go for the touchdown, to the delight of everyone who bet OVER 24 points.
Kansas State fullback Adam Harter was wide open in the end zone for an easy touchdown. Quarterback Alex Delton sailed the ball high and Harter couldn’t bring it in. The game stayed UNDER 24 points and as you can see from the video below, OVER bettors must still be sick to their stomachs.
Here's how Kansas State ended the first half. Yikes pic.twitter.com/kQrVTgT2VQ
— New Account (@ftbeard_17) September 29, 2018
Texans 37, Colts 34
Line: Texans -1
Where do we begin with one? In a game that was a roller coaster of emotions for bettors, it will forever be remembered for a coach’s decision not to punt.
The Indianapolis Colts opened as a one-point favorite but the game closed Houston -1. The Texans took an eight-point lead after a Ka’imi Fairbairn field goal put them up 31-23 with just 2:58 remaining in the game. Texans backers needed just one stop or an unsuccessful two-point conversion if the Colts scored. They got neither.
Andrew Luck hit running back Nyheim Hines for a nine-yard touchdown with only 45 seconds left and converted the two-point conversion to send the game into overtime. After a Colts field goal, the Texans tied the game with 1:50 remaining in the extra stanza.
Were we headed for another tie? Not if Colts head coach Frank Reich could help it. Indianapolis faced a fourth-and-four from its own 43-yard line with just 24 seconds remaining. Colts bettors just needed a punt and the game would end in a tie. Indy +1 cashes. Just the punt the football.
Reich had other ideas.
The Colts lined up to go for it, obviously just trying to draw the Texans offsides. No one is crazy enough to go for it in this situation, right? Then, to the surprise of almost everyone, Luck snapped the ball. His pass to Chester Rogers fell incomplete. Colts bettors were left stunned.
Houston needed just one play to get into field goal range. Fairbairn connected from 37 yards out to give the Texans a 37-34 win.
— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) September 30, 2018
There were a lot of tough beats on Sunday. The Browns losing in overtime by three as a 2.5-point dog stung, but none were worse than the Colts failing to cover. One punt away from victory, Indy bettors will be re-telling the story about the time Reich went for it from his own 43-yard line in overtime for years.