Sweet 16 Odds: UCLA vs. Gonzaga March Madness Betting Guide

Written By Evan Scrimshaw on March 25, 2023
sweet 16 odds

A rematch of the thrilling 2021 Final Four overtime classic closes the Thursday night schedule, with UCLA and Gonzaga squaring off for a spot in the Elite 8 of the West Regional. The market has made the 2-seed Bruins a  spread favorite in Sweet 16 odds, with the third-seeded Bulldogs   on the moneyline to win the game. The total is .

This game tips off Thursday, March 23rd at 9:25 p.m. EDT. We’ll breakdown the matchup below and help you find the best odds in your state to help make the best bet possible. Click on any of the odds below to bet now.

GONZAGA VS. UCLA ODDS

Use the dropdown menu in this table to shop for the best available prices for spread, moneyline and total.

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GONZAGA VS. UCLA PLAYER PROPS

College basketball player props for Sweet 16 odds are only available in CT, DC, IA, IL, IN LA, MD, NJ, OH, WA, WV, and WY; however, CT IA, IL, and NJ do not allow you to bet player props for players on in-state teams. 

UCLA MARCH MADNESS FUTURES

GONZAGA MARCH MADNESS FUTURES

Gonzaga vs. UCLA Betting Insights

Jay Bilas Analysis On The Outside Shots Podcast

Offense vs. Defense Stats

For a look at the numbers when each team possesses the ball, plus more betting insights and key player notes, head to our March Madness stats post for this game.

Reasons UCLA Can Cover

UCLA has the advantage of having two top top-25 units in this game – second by KenPom’s defensive metrics and 21st in offensive efficiency. With UCLA being so much more balanced, there are multiple paths to their victory, which isn’t true of Gonzaga. As the Northwestern game showed, they can lock down when they have to, as the late-game run of only conceding three points in four minutes showed.

The other reason to be optimistic if you’re a UCLA fan is Gonzaga’s defense – 75th in the nation, it’s the worst unit in this game by far. With Gonzaga being a one-trick pony – playing at high pace and trying to win high-scoring games – the Bruins should be able to score enough against their defense, while Gonzaga doesn’t have quite the trump card on the other side of the ball.

Reasons Gonzaga Can Cover

Gonzaga won in the Round of 32 while shooting worse on 3FGs than their opposition, while UCLA got through in large part because they shot 40% while their opposition shot sub-30%. If the Zags can win while not getting their shots to fall, they have offensive upside they didn’t show in the last round.

Their best chance to win has to be pacing up this game – with UCLA 244th in KenPom’s adjusted pace metrics and Gonzaga 40th, they have to try and maximize the number of possessions. The more possessions, the better chance their No. 1 in the nation offense can get into a rhythm and score efficiently.

Lastly, UCLA injuries are a question. The Bruins are still only six games into life without Jaylen Clark. UCLA’s third-leading scorer suffered a season-ending Achilles injury after playing 30 games this season with him. They missed him in their Pac-12 Championship loss to Arizona and could again against Gonzaga. In the second round, Adem Bona aggravated his shoulder injury and David Singleton was helped off the court with an ankle injury with 20 seconds left leaving his status in doubt. Head Coach Mick Cronin would only say Tuesday they’re both day-to-day.

FINAL THOUGHTS

Defense travels in the tournament, and that, combined with the fact that Gonzaga has the worst unit on the court, makes UCLA, if healthy, an attractive proposition. They’re favorites for a reason – Gonzaga has not shown a reliable or consistent ability to get stops, and that could sink them. Best of luck betting Sweet 16 odds.

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