2024 Super Bowl MVP Odds: Who Is The Favorite To Win?

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Written By Mo Nuwwarah | Last Updated
NFL Super Bowl MVP 2024

Super Bowl MVP is probably the most popular prop bet associated with the biggest sporting event of the year. It brings an extra boost of glory, and theoretically, everyone is live as some really under-the-radar players have taken home the honors over the years. How will 2024 Super Bowl MVP odds shake out, and who will be the favorite to win?

Expect markets for Super Bowl MVP odds to open not long after the final whistle blows on Week 18. To bet it that early, you’ll have to correctly predict the teams in the game; however, doing so will reward those with very long odds versus those that bet into it after conference championship games. Until then, we can do some speculating on how things might look.

Super Bowl MVP History

Here’s a look at the history of the award. The table below is sortable, most valuable for a quick breakdown of winners by position.

YearMVPPositionTeam
2023Patrick MahomesQuarterbackKansas City Chiefs
2022Cooper KuppWide receiverLA Rams
2021Tom BradyQuarterbackTampa Bay Buccaneers
2020Patrick MahomesQuarterbackKansas City Chiefs
2019Julian EdelmanWide receiverNew England Patriots
2018Nick FolesQuarterbackPhiladelphia Eagles
2017Tom BradyQuarterbackNew England Patriots
2016Von MillerLinebackerDenver Broncos
2015Tom BradyQuarterbackNew England Patriots
2014Malcolm SmithLinebackerSeattle Seahawks
2013Joe FlaccoQuarterbackBaltimore Ravens
2012Eli ManningQuarterbackNew York Giants
2011Aaron RodgersQuarterbackGreen Bay Packers
2010Drew BreesQuarterbackNew Orleans Saints
2009Santonio HolmesWide receiverPittsburgh Steelers
2008Eli ManningQuarterbackNew York Giants
2007Peyton ManningQuarterbackIndianapolis Colts
2006Hines WardWide receiverPittsburgh Steelers
2005Deion BranchWide receiverNew England Patriots
2004Tom BradyQuarterbackNew England Patriots
2003Dexter JacksonSafetyTampa Bay Bucs
2002Tom BradyQuarterbackNew England Patriots
2001Ray LewisLinebackerBaltimore Ravens
2000Kurt WarnerQuarterbackSt. Louis Rams
1999John ElwayQuarterbackDenver Broncos
1998Terrell DavisRunning backDenver Broncos
1997Desmond HowardWide receiverGreen Bay Packers
1996Larry BrownCornerbackDallas Cowboys
1995Steve YoungQuarterbackSan Francisco 49ers
1994Emmitt SmithRunning backDallas Cowboys
1993Troy AikmanQuarterbackDallas Cowboys
1992Mark RypienQuarterbackWashington Redskins
1991Ottis AndersonRunning backNew York Giants
1990Joe MontanaQuarterbackSan Francisco 49ers
1989Jerry RiceWide receiverSan Francisco 49ers
1988Doug WilliamsQuarterbackWashington Redskins
1987Phil SimmsQuarterbackNew York Giants
1986Richard DentDefensive endChicago Bears
1985Joe MontanaQuarterbackSan Francisco 49ers
1984Marcus AllenRunning backLos Angeles Raiders
1983John RigginsRunning backWashington Redskins
1982Joe MontanaQuarterbackSan Francisco 49ers
1981Jim PlunkettQuarterbackOakland Raiders
1980Terry BradshawQuarterbackPittsburgh Steelers
1979Terry BradshawQuarterbackPittsburgh Steelers
1978H, Martin, R. WhiteDefensive end/tackleDallas Cowboys
1977Fred BiletnikoffWide receiverOakland Raiders
1976Lynn SwannWide receiverPittsburgh Steelers
1975Franco HarrisRunning backPittsburgh Steelers
1974Larry CsonkaRunning backMiami Dolphins
1973Jake ScottSafetyMiami Dolphins
1972Roger StaubachQuarterbackDallas Cowboys
1971Chuck HowleyLinebackerDallas Cowboys
1970Len DawsonQuarterbackKansas City Chiefs
1969Joe NamathQuarterbackNew York Jets
1968Bart StarrQuarterbackGreen Bay Packers
1967Bart StarrQuarterbackGreen Bay Packers

Needless to say, quarterbacks have largely dominated, winning more often (32 times in 57 years) than all other positions combined. However, the proliferation of passing offenses has boosted the wide receiver position as well, with five awards since 2005. Running backs used to win with regularity, but Terrell Davis in 1998 kicked off a drought that persists to date.

Eight defensive players have won, so it hasn’t been all offense. That includes players at all three levels, with both sack artists and off-ball defenders who secured big turnovers mixed in.

Even a player who primarily contributed on special teams (Desmond Howard) has an MVP.

Essentially, bettors can’t rule anyone totally out, which is part of the appeal of the award. Anything can happen in a one-game situation, which makes the award quite different from handicapping NFL MVP odds, where a quarterback is nearly assured of winning.

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Who Might Win Super Bowl MVP in 2024?

When thinking about how might win 2024 Super Bowl MVP, bettors should naturally start by thinking about which teams will find their way to the Super Bowl.

Thankfully, betting markets can give us strong hints about this. With the Ravens () and 49ers () pretty strong favorites to represent their respective conferences, we can infer their players will be at the top of the board if any multi-way markets open before the matchup is set.

Since favorites are quarterbacks, that means Lamar Jackson and then Brock Purdy, in all likelihood. Purdy’s team figures to be favored, but Jackson figures to be the more central player in any Ravens win.

Generally speaking, quarterbacks will open with slight plus-money, depending on their team’s market price. For example, both Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts were around +125 in 2023. In some cases, such as the Patriots’ Super Bowl appearances as big favorites, they’ll be favored over the field.

If the 49ers make the Super Bowl, Christian McCaffrey won’t find himself far behind Purdy in the markets. The touchdown savant is generally a big favorite to score in any given game. A multiple-TD effort would help him build a strong case.

Consult Super Bowl odds to build your own prediction model and set expectations for 2024 Super Bowl MVP odds.

Updated Board: 2024 Super Bowl MVP Odds After Divisional Round

With just eight teams remaining heading into divisional playoffs, the 2024 Super Bowl MVP picture has come into focus a bit. Gone are big names like Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb and Jalen Hurts. Shooting up the board are the likes of Jordan Love, CJ Stroud and Jared Goff. The former two authored impressive upsets, while Goff helped power another impressive game from Detroit’s offense.

Taking a look at some of the markets, be aware that some truly terrible bets exist. For example, the aforementioned Love sits at +3400. With the Packers at to win the Super Bowl, parlaying that with Love winning MVP gives a far bigger price.

Thus, if you want to take a shot on a Packers player, someone like Aaron Jones at monstrously long odds makes more sense.

CJ Stroud and the Texans are in much the same situation.

A team like the Lions might be a good one to target for longer shots with actual equity. Unlike the Ravens, Bills, or Chiefs, for example, the quarterback isn’t all but guaranteed to hog a disproportionate amount of the credit in a potential Super Bowl win. Guys like Amon-Ra St. Brown and even Aidan Hutchinson would have a real shot.

Remember that splash plays are king. To continue with the Lions example, a consistently productive gainer like David Montgomery makes for a less attractive punt than Jahmyr Gibbs.

Check Your Sportsbook Rules

One final addendum: be sure to check your sportsbook rules on these early Super Bowl MVP markets. It’s advisable to bet into markets that either don’t become action if the player’s team doesn’t make it, or have odds that do reflect this reality.

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