2024 Super Bowl MVP Odds: Who Is The Favorite To Win?

Super Bowl MVP is probably the most popular prop bet associated with the biggest sporting event of the year. It brings an extra boost of glory, and theoretically, everyone is live as some really under-the-radar players have taken home the honors over the years. How will 2024 Super Bowl MVP odds shake out, and who will be the favorite to win?

Expect markets for Super Bowl MVP odds to open not long after the final whistle blows on Week 18. To bet it that early, you’ll have to correctly predict the teams in the game; however, doing so will reward those with very long odds versus those that bet into it after conference championship games. Until then, we can do some speculating on how things might look.

Super Bowl MVP History

Here’s a look at the history of the award. The table below is sortable, most valuable for a quick breakdown of winners by position.

Year	MVP	Position	Team
2023	Patrick Mahomes	Quarterback	Kansas City Chiefs
2022	Cooper Kupp	Wide receiver	LA Rams
2021	Tom Brady	Quarterback	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2020	Patrick Mahomes	Quarterback	Kansas City Chiefs
2019	Julian Edelman	Wide receiver	New England Patriots
2018	Nick Foles	Quarterback	Philadelphia Eagles
2017	Tom Brady	Quarterback	New England Patriots
2016	Von Miller	Linebacker	Denver Broncos
2015	Tom Brady	Quarterback	New England Patriots
2014	Malcolm Smith	Linebacker	Seattle Seahawks
2013	Joe Flacco	Quarterback	Baltimore Ravens
2012	Eli Manning	Quarterback	New York Giants
2011	Aaron Rodgers	Quarterback	Green Bay Packers
2010	Drew Brees	Quarterback	New Orleans Saints
2009	Santonio Holmes	Wide receiver	Pittsburgh Steelers
2008	Eli Manning	Quarterback	New York Giants
2007	Peyton Manning	Quarterback	Indianapolis Colts
2006	Hines Ward	Wide receiver	Pittsburgh Steelers
2005	Deion Branch	Wide receiver	New England Patriots
2004	Tom Brady	Quarterback	New England Patriots
2003	Dexter Jackson	Safety	Tampa Bay Bucs
2002	Tom Brady	Quarterback	New England Patriots
2001	Ray Lewis	Linebacker	Baltimore Ravens
2000	Kurt Warner	Quarterback	St. Louis Rams
1999	John Elway	Quarterback	Denver Broncos
1998	Terrell Davis	Running back	Denver Broncos
1997	Desmond Howard	Wide receiver	Green Bay Packers
1996	Larry Brown	Cornerback	Dallas Cowboys
1995	Steve Young	Quarterback	San Francisco 49ers
1994	Emmitt Smith	Running back	Dallas Cowboys
1993	Troy Aikman	Quarterback	Dallas Cowboys
1992	Mark Rypien	Quarterback	Washington Redskins
1991	Ottis Anderson	Running back	New York Giants
1990	Joe Montana	Quarterback	San Francisco 49ers
1989	Jerry Rice	Wide receiver	San Francisco 49ers
1988	Doug Williams	Quarterback	Washington Redskins
1987	Phil Simms	Quarterback	New York Giants
1986	Richard Dent	Defensive end	Chicago Bears
1985	Joe Montana	Quarterback	San Francisco 49ers
1984	Marcus Allen	Running back	Los Angeles Raiders
1983	John Riggins	Running back	Washington Redskins
1982	Joe Montana	Quarterback	San Francisco 49ers
1981	Jim Plunkett	Quarterback	Oakland Raiders
1980	Terry Bradshaw	Quarterback	Pittsburgh Steelers
1979	Terry Bradshaw	Quarterback	Pittsburgh Steelers
1978	H, Martin, R. White	Defensive end/tackle	Dallas Cowboys
1977	Fred Biletnikoff	Wide receiver	Oakland Raiders
1976	Lynn Swann	Wide receiver	Pittsburgh Steelers
1975	Franco Harris	Running back	Pittsburgh Steelers
1974	Larry Csonka	Running back	Miami Dolphins
1973	Jake Scott	Safety	Miami Dolphins
1972	Roger Staubach	Quarterback	Dallas Cowboys
1971	Chuck Howley	Linebacker	Dallas Cowboys
1970	Len Dawson	Quarterback	Kansas City Chiefs
1969	Joe Namath	Quarterback	New York Jets
1968	Bart Starr	Quarterback	Green Bay Packers
1967	Bart Starr	Quarterback	Green Bay Packers

Needless to say, quarterbacks have largely dominated, winning more often (32 times in 57 years) than all other positions combined. However, the proliferation of passing offenses has boosted the wide receiver position as well, with five awards since 2005. Running backs used to win with regularity, but Terrell Davis in 1998 kicked off a drought that persists to date.

Eight defensive players have won, so it hasn’t been all offense. That includes players at all three levels, with both sack artists and off-ball defenders who secured big turnovers mixed in.

Even a player who primarily contributed on special teams (Desmond Howard) has an MVP.

Essentially, bettors can’t rule anyone totally out, which is part of the appeal of the award. Anything can happen in a one-game situation, which makes the award quite different from handicapping NFL MVP odds, where a quarterback is nearly assured of winning.

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Who Might Win Super Bowl MVP in 2024?

When thinking about how might win 2024 Super Bowl MVP, bettors should naturally start by thinking about which teams will find their way to the Super Bowl.

Thankfully, betting markets can give us strong hints about this. With the Ravens () and 49ers () pretty strong favorites to represent their respective conferences, we can infer their players will be at the top of the board if any multi-way markets open before the matchup is set.

Since favorites are quarterbacks, that means Lamar Jackson and then Brock Purdy, in all likelihood. Purdy’s team figures to be favored, but Jackson figures to be the more central player in any Ravens win.

Generally speaking, quarterbacks will open with slight plus-money, depending on their team’s market price. For example, both Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts were around +125 in 2023. In some cases, such as the Patriots’ Super Bowl appearances as big favorites, they’ll be favored over the field.

If the 49ers make the Super Bowl, Christian McCaffrey won’t find himself far behind Purdy in the markets. The touchdown savant is generally a big favorite to score in any given game. A multiple-TD effort would help him build a strong case.

Consult Super Bowl odds to build your own prediction model and set expectations for 2024 Super Bowl MVP odds.

Updated Board: 2024 Super Bowl MVP Odds After Divisional Round

With just eight teams remaining heading into divisional playoffs, the 2024 Super Bowl MVP picture has come into focus a bit. Gone are big names like Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb and Jalen Hurts. Shooting up the board are the likes of Jordan Love, CJ Stroud and Jared Goff. The former two authored impressive upsets, while Goff helped power another impressive game from Detroit’s offense.

Taking a look at some of the markets, be aware that some truly terrible bets exist. For example, the aforementioned Love sits at +3400. With the Packers at to win the Super Bowl, parlaying that with Love winning MVP gives a far bigger price.

Thus, if you want to take a shot on a Packers player, someone like Aaron Jones at monstrously long odds makes more sense.

CJ Stroud and the Texans are in much the same situation.

A team like the Lions might be a good one to target for longer shots with actual equity. Unlike the Ravens, Bills, or Chiefs, for example, the quarterback isn’t all but guaranteed to hog a disproportionate amount of the credit in a potential Super Bowl win. Guys like Amon-Ra St. Brown and even Aidan Hutchinson would have a real shot.

Remember that splash plays are king. To continue with the Lions example, a consistently productive gainer like David Montgomery makes for a less attractive punt than Jahmyr Gibbs.

Check Your Sportsbook Rules

One final addendum: be sure to check your sportsbook rules on these early Super Bowl MVP markets. It’s advisable to bet into markets that either don’t become action if the player’s team doesn’t make it, or have odds that do reflect this reality.

Best Sportsbook Promos For 2024 Super Bowl MVP Odds

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