With the conference championship games approaching, the updated Super Bowl matchup odds market is live for wagering once again. But is there more value with going this route or a moneyline parlay this weekend instead?
Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook and DraftKings Sportsbook, let’s dig into the prices. Click on the odds below to bet now, but first make sure you’re getting the maximum available potential payout.
Super Bowl Correct Matchup Odds: Name The Finalists
*Odds as of Monday, Jan. 24
Would A Moneyline Parlay Pay Out More?
For this exercise, we’ll use the correct matchup/name the finalist odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. Keep in mind the moneyline odds may shift throughout the week, but this process will also show you how to employ it yourself whenever you want.
Chiefs vs. Rams (+100 vs. +104 ML Parlay):
If you were to back both of the home favorites in a two-team, moneyline parlay, that option would be slightly more profitable than the FanDuel Super Bowl matchup odds. So if a bettor wagers $100, the net profit would be $104.48. Although trends are normally worth ignoring, keep in mind that the favorites are 23-11 (67.4%) straight-up in conference championship matchups since 2003.
If you’re eyeing this particular parlay, also consider that the betting market appears to be eyeing the 49ers against the spread early in the week. Were that to continue, the Rams moneyline price would likely increase in value. Meanwhile, bettors immediately jumped on the Chiefs against the spread when it opened at -6.5.
Chiefs vs. 49ers (+220 vs. +219 ML Parlay):
Here, the exact matchup odds and moneyline parlay price are nearly identical. You could wait to see if the San Francisco price dips throughout the week, which would make the betting market even more valuable.
Moreover, Kyle Shanahan’s team appears to be healthier than expected for the NFC Championship game, as wideout Deebo Samuel, tight end George Kittle and left tackle Trent Williams are all on track to be available despite suffering their respective injuries against the Packers.
Bengals vs. Rams (+470 vs. +482 ML Parlay):
This option showcases the biggest discrepancy between the Super Bowl matchup odds and parlay price. The difference is greater at DraftKings Sportsbook, however, where their name the finalist market offers +500.
If you’re a big believer in the Bengals and would rather just ride with the road underdog, FanDuel Sportsbook is offering an alternate line of Cincinnati -6.5 for +500.
Bengals vs. 49ers (+800 vs. +810 ML Parlay):
These odds showcase the second-biggest difference between the two choices, but it’s also the least likely scenario and would need to feature plenty of variance in both games.
DraftKings Sportsbook offers an even bigger potential payout for this outcome at +850.
Although there isn’t a big difference in comparing the potential payouts between moneyline parlays and the exact matchup/name the finalists markets, you never want to get worse value when an alternative is available for the same, exact outcome.
This practice isn’t just for the NFL. It’s one to keep in mind across every sport when similar markets are posted.