Super Bowl 60 Longshots: Can Jayden Daniels & Commanders Take The Next Step?
Super Bowl betting is open for 2025-26. These early Super Bowl odds could still move significantly as teams add talent in free agency and the draft, making the early board an ideal time to hunt for longshots.
So, which longshots could have value for Super Bowl 60 betting? The prominent teams have opened as favorites, but we’ll see if we can dig up any potential gems further down the board. Here, I define longshots as teams at 20-1 or longer.
Super Bowl 60: Full Odds Board
Possible Longshot Bets For Super Bowl 60
Washington Commanders Washington Commanders +1900 on FanDuel
Throughout this article, you’ll notice a theme: all three of my early longshot looks hail from the NFC. If any team comes out of nowhere, it will be from the NFC. With their elite QBs and infrastructures, the top AFC powers seem much more difficult to dislodge.
Speaking of teams that come out of nowhere and elite QBs, the Commanders fit the bill on both fronts. Jayden Daniels enjoyed an incredibly promising debut in leading his team to the brink of a Super Bowl appearance. If he isn’t already a top-five quarterback, it seems only a matter of time before he gets there.
Playing in the same division as Philly is problematic, but the Eagles have had down years before after prior Super Bowl runs. Jalen Hurts isn’t the sort of quarterback who guarantees a high floor. Several key pieces leave on defense, as does offensive coordinator Kellen Moore.
Washington has a ton of free agents, but none of them look irreplaceable. LB Bobby Wagner, TE Zach Ertz, and WR Dyami Brown were some of the most impactful.
Entering the offseason third in effective cap space per Over The Cap, the Commanders will have a chance to do what Houston did last year: spend big to put an immediate contender around a dynamic young QB. They’ll hope whatever signings they make pan out a bit better.
With an elite young QB and what looks like a promising coaching staff, there’s a lot to like here. Priorities will be adding pass catchers and defensive talent to a group that ranked in the bottom 10 in EPA/play and DVOA.
Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons +7500 on DraftKings
Another team with a promising young QB, the Falcons, promoted Michael Penix Jr. to the starting job late in the season when Kirk Cousins proved a poor offseason investment.
While Penix Jr. didn’t light it up like his fellow rookie Daniels, he still landed a respectable 18th out of 46 qualified QBs in EPA+CPOE composite (min. 120 plays). His arm talent passed the eye test. At this juncture, he looks like a more polished Anthony Richardson as far as the strong arm and preference for throwing downfield (10.5 aDOT was second only to Richardson).
Atlanta returns its entire offense, meaning Penix Jr. will have ample support. Historically, betting on second-year coaches and second-year quarterbacks has also borne fruit.
That’s the bull case.
The bear case is that this was one of the worst defenses in the NFL last year (26th in DVOA), and the team is $14 million over the projected cap. Cutting Cousins isn’t attractive from a cap standpoint, so the Falcons will hope to find a trade partner. Cousins has a no-trade clause, so the situation is complicated.
What’s clear is that Atlanta desperately needs to improve its defense up front. It desperately needs pass rushers (30th in PFF grade), and the run defense wasn’t good, either. All available resources must be focused on improving that gaping roster hole.
Still, the Falcons play in the right division, and the offense could be potent.
Seattle Seahawks Seattle Seahawks +7000 on DraftKings
Last year in this space, I tabbed the Seahawks at 80-1 as a team to watch. I didn’t wind up betting on them, but many sharper people did with various angles.
Those folks wound up a bit disappointed. It certainly wasn’t a bad bet, as Seattle had a shot but ultimately fell short of the Rams.
The NFC West certainly looks winnable. San Francisco finally began to fray. Key pieces continue to age, several defensive stalwarts are unrestricted free agents, and the offensive weaponry looks less scary, with Deebo Samuel reportedly a trade candidate and Brandon Aiyuk having to return from major knee surgery. Arizona is still working on rebuilding. The Rams have a huge question mark at quarterback, with Matthew Stafford’s future unclear.
The Seahawks won’t make significant additions since they’re $16 million over the cap.
A big change is bringing in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak. It’s hard not to be intrigued by that move, considering the Saints looked like the most dynamic offense in the NFL for a hot second before everything fell apart in 2024.
The defense raised its level of play considerably under Mike Macdonald. Another leap could have it among the league’s best next year.
Adding receiving depth is a must, but Seattle’s biggest hole continues to be the interior offensive line. Seattle has stubbornly refused to invest in the position, to its continued detriment. If it finally addresses that, it won’t be a glaring weakness.
I can’t reconcile the Rams’ price of around +2800 with the Seahawks’ price after a season in which DVOA had them very close.
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