How Betting Against Patrick Mahomes As An Underdog Has Left Bettors Broke
Among Super Bowl 58 odds, some bettors lean heavily on trends for the point spread, moneyline, total, and player props. The significance is a debate in its own right, but one that has made headlines (including this article) revolves around Patrick Mahomes’ underdog record — both straight-up and ATS. So let’s dive into the specifics for 49ers vs. Chiefs Part II.
Super Bowl 58: Chiefs Vs. 49ers odds
Explanation Of Betting Trends
For those unaware, team or player-centric betting trends account for performances that are directly correlated with betting outcomes. For instance, how did Eagles odds perform ATS down the stretch? If you’re looking for a hint, it’s pretty horrifying. Another one pertains to how often Chiefs odds went under the total in second halves this season. For reference, they went an absurd 18-2.
Back Mahomes Underdog Trend?
We won’t keep you anticipating any longer. Including this year’s AFC title game against the Ravens, lined at Kansas City +4.5, Mahomes is 10-1-1 ATS (90.9%) as an underdog. He’s also 9-3 straight up (75.0%). Basically, he’s elite when the market underestimates him.
If you’re auto-betting Mahomes at in the Super Bowl because of this trend, how can we blame you?
Counting the Week 18 backup-fest against the Chargers, the Chiefs went 3-0 ATS as underdogs this season. The other instance came in the divisional round, with Mahomes & Co. dominating to the point where they didn’t punt until their last true offensive possession.
Additionally, Kansas City won outright as two-point underdogs in Super Bowl 57, fending off the aforementioned Eagles. It was favored in the other two appearances of the Mahomes and Andy Reid era, including against the 49ers in Feb. 2020. Therefore, these spots aren’t necessarily a rarity in the playoffs.
If you believe Mahomes will continue this level of success, he’s ironically favored to win his third Super Bowl MVP at . The rest of the odds for this award are listed below.
Super Bowl 58 MVP Odds
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