Staff Bets: Is There Any Value In Super Bowl Futures This Season?

Written By Eli Hershkovich on August 17, 2022
Super Bowl Odds

We’re less than 25 days away from the kick off of NFL Week 1 odds, as the defending champion Los Angeles Rams square off against the Buffalo Bills. That means you’re gifted with another week of the TheLines’ staff delivering its futures bets. This time around, we’ll share our favorite Super Bowl 57 odds.

Click on any of the odds below to place a wager.

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Super Bowl Odds

These are the best available prices for Super Bowl odds in your state, along with the betting history over the last decade.

Super Bowl Odds: Betting History

YearTeamPrevious Season's ResultOdds
2021Los Angeles RamsLost in Division Round+1200
2020Tampa Bay BuccaneersMissed Playoffs+1000
2019Kansas City ChiefsLost in AFC Championship Game+600
2018New England PatriotsLost in Super Bowl+600
2017Philadelphia EaglesMissed Playoffs+4000
2016New England PatriotsLost in AFC Championship Game+600
2015Denver BroncosLost in Divisional Round+900
2014New England PatriotsLost in AFC Championship Game+650
2013Seattle SeahawksLost in Divisional Round+800
2012Baltimore RavensLost in AFC Championship Game+1800

Eli Hershkovich

A pair of common traits are lost in the shuffle of the Philadelphia Eagles longshot winner in 2017-18 season ⁠— thanks in large part to Nick Foles’ heroics ⁠— and Tom Brady claiming his seventh Lombardi Trophy in his first season in Tampa Bay.

The rest of Super Bowl odds that have cashed over the last decade are +1800 or shorter, proving that it’s unlikely that a team arises from the longshot range to win it all, and the notion that personnel and coaching continuity is vital.

With that in mind, I broke down my lone wager on Super Bowl odds here.

 

Related: 5 NFL Betting Tips For 2022 Season

Stephen Andress

I don’t see a ton of value in this market. The lone Super Bowl futures ticket I have in my account right now is the New Orleans Saints at +5000 (currently ), which was made during the DeShaun Watson sweepstakes.

However, I locked this price in feeling that New Orleans could make some noise in the NFC with or without Watson. That price felt inaccurate for a team that had brutal injury luck offensively in 2021 — highlighted by four different starting quarterbacks, the fewest snaps with its top offensive line unit in the league and down a premier pass catcher in Michael Thomas.

If Jameis Winston and his linemen stay healthy, the wide receiver unit should see a major upgrade after dropping from top five to bottom five in success rate when targeting WRs from 2020 to 2021. Thomas is a stud when healthy, first-round pick Chris Olave is a dynamic, route-running master, and Jarvis Landry is a solid veteran for a WR3.

On top of that, Alvin Kamara is pretty damn good as a pass catcher — to say the least. If I’m going to take a shot at a Super Bowl longshot, it’s going to be in the NFC, as I do not believe the Bills, Los Angeles Chargers, Kansas City Chiefs, Denver Broncos, Indianapolis Colts and Cincinnati Bengals leave much room for anybody else to emerge in the AFC.

Considering the aging Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ group, the WR-less Green Bay Packers’ roster, a Rams bunch lacking depth, and a massive question at QB for the San Francisco 49ers may create a path for somebody else in the NFC. A top-10 easiest schedule by opponent win totals doesn’t hurt New Orleans, either.

Matt Brown

When picking a Super Bowl champion, I immediately gravitate to the NFC. I absolutely LOVE the Chargers on paper.

With that said, I am fully aware their path to the big game is exponentially harder than any team residing in the AFC. So where can we find some preseason value on a team from the easier conference?

Enter the Minnesota Vikings at . The team gets an instant boost with Kevin O’Connell at the helm instead of Mike Zimmer. He brings with him Wes Phillips, the ex-Rams passing game coordinator, to overhaul a pass offense that was dead last in 11-personnel formation (35% below league average!) last season.

Plus, Kirk Cousins is actually good. The nine-year veteran positioned himself as Pro Football Focus’ sixth-highest graded QB last season, and he gets the luxury of throwing to PFF’s fourth-rated wideout in Justin Jefferson. The running back tandem is one of the best in the league, and the offensive line should be at least above league average.

On the defensive side of the ball, Minnesota added edge rusher Za’Darius Smith, DT Harrison Phillips, and LB Jordan Hicks in free agency. It also has the luxury of returning one of the league’s premiere pass rushers in Danielle Hunter, who played in just seven games in 2021. This unit will face one of easiest slates of offenses in the NFL in 2022 as well.

The schedule isn’t a killer for the Vikings, and they play in a division where you get the Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions twice each. They also get games with the New Giants, Washington Commanders, New York Jets, and the are-they-gonna-be-good-or-not New England Patriots, Miami Dolphins, and Stephen’s Saints. Combine all these factors with the long odds, and I think you have a ticket you’ll be glad you have in your account come January.

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Eli Hershkovich Avatar
Written by
Eli Hershkovich

Eli Hershkovich is a lead sports betting writer with TheLines and Catena Media, formerly with Audacy and The Action Network. His goal is to provide you with data and information to lead you to winning bets. Eli is an avid college basketball gambler — among many other sports — and still hasn't forgiven Virginia for ruining his 2018-2019 Texas Tech futures.

View all posts by Eli Hershkovich