Steelers vs. Ravens: NFL Betting Preview – December 2, 2020

Posted By Staff on December 1, 2020

The 10-0 Pittsburgh Steelers are favorites in their matchup against the AFC-North rival Baltimore Ravens (6-4) on Wednesday, December 2 at Heinz Field. The point total is set at . Here is more Steelers vs Ravens betting information.

Steelers vs Ravens betting odds

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Steelers vs Ravens betting breakdown

The Steelers opened as 2.5-point favorites for their 2020 rematch with the rival Ravens. The initial line movement came after Week 11 results which saw the Ravens lose 30-24 in overtime at home to the Tennessee, Titans while the Steelers dropped the Jacksonville Jaguars by a 27-3 count on the road. Those results further entrenched the Steelers atop the AFC North with the Ravens dropping into third place behind the Cleveland Browns.

The lines continued to shift toward the Steelers through the week as reports of COVID-19 cases in Baltimore piled up. The game originally scheduled as the nightcap of the traditional Thanksgiving triple-header was moved from Thursday to Sunday last Wednesday evening. Rumors, reports, and finally, official news saw the spread fluctuate from -3.5 to -5.5 and back to -4.5 by Thursday morning.

The biggest change to the odds came over the weekend with the game bumped from Sunday afternoon to Tuesday night, as the Steelers jumped to 8-point favorites. As of Monday evening, with the game having been pushed again to Wednesday night, the Steelers were favored at -10 or -10.5.

The Over/Under dropped from a high of 46.5 to a low of 40.5 by Monday. Those on the COVID list and most affecting that drop include Ravens QB Lamar Jackson and TE Mark Andrews, and Steelers RB James Conner.

With the bulk of the COVID cases on the Ravens’ side, bettors have been strongly attracted to the Steelers. Through Monday afternoon, 79% of against the spread tickets and 81% of the ATS betting handle were on the hosts at FanDuel Sportsbook. The rising moneyline price for Baltimore was drawing in more attention with the Steelers getting just 51% of tickets and 59% of the handle on the ML. Eighty-three percent of Over/Under tickets were on the Over.

Steelers Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh’s games have hit the over in six out of 10 opportunities this season (60%).
  • Pittsburgh has put together an 8-2 record against the spread this season.
  • The Steelers have an ATS record of 4-2 when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.

Ravens Betting Insights

  • Baltimore has a losing 4-5-1 record against the spread.
  • The Ravens have an ATS record of 3-3-1 when an underdog by at least 4.5 points.

Steelers vs Ravens: Head to Head

Steelers vs Ravens: Last 3 Meetings
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
11/1/2020 Ravens Ravens -4.00 44.00 -200 +175 457-221 BAL 28-24 PIT
12/29/2019 Steelers Ravens -1.5 35 -127 +112 304-168 BAL 28-10 BAL
10/6/2019 Ravens Steelers -3 44 -175 +150 277-269 BAL 26-23 BAL

When the Steelers Have the Ball

  • The Steelers have put an average of 29.8 points per game on the scoreboard this season, 10.3 more than the 19.5 the Ravens have surrendered in each contest.
  • In games where Pittsburgh score at least 29.8 points this season, they are 3-0 overall and 3-0 against the spread.
  • When the Baltimore defense allows 19.5 points or fewer this year, the Ravens have accumulated a 5-0 overall record and a 4-0-1 record against the spread.
  • The Ravens defense has given up an average of 333 yards per game this season, just 14.8 yards fewer than the 347.8 the Steelers offense has averaged. The Steelers pick up 5.3 yards per play while the Ravens allow 5.2 per play.
  • When the Pittsburgh offense puts together a game with at least their 2020 average in yardage, they are 8-0 overall and 6-2 against the spread this season.
  • When the Baltimore defense allows less than their season average for total yards this season they are 3-2 against the spread and 3-2 overall.
  • The Ravens defense has given up an average of 116 yards per game to opposing running games this season. That is 13.8 more yards than the Steelers have gained running the football in 2020 (102.2).
  • When Pittsburgh rushers gain at least a combined 102.2 yards this season, they are 6-0 overall and 5-1 against the spread.
  • When Baltimore holds opposing teams to 116 rushing yards or fewer this year, they are 3-1-1 against the spread and 4-1 overall.
  • The Steelers have turned the ball over 0.9 times per game this season, while the Ravens have averaged 1.5 takeaways per contest.
  • When Pittsburgh doesn’t turn the football over this season, they are 4-0 overall and 3-1 against the spread.
  • Baltimore’s record this season when they force more than 1.5 turnovers: 4-0 ATS, 4-0 overall

When the Ravens Have the Ball

  • The Ravens rack up 9.4 more points per game (26.8) than the Steelers give up (17.4).
  • When Baltimore records at least 26.8 points, it is 3-1-1 against the spread and 5-0 overall.
  • Pittsburgh has a 3-0 record against the spread and a 3-0 record overall in games when it allows opponents to score 29.8 points or less.
  • The Ravens collect 36.6 more yards per game (343.5), than the Steelers give up per contest (306.9). On average, the Ravens pick up 5.5 yards per play, while the Steelers allow 4.9 per play.
  • Pittsburgh has a 5-0 record ATS and a 5-0 record overall when holding its opponents to 306.9 yards or less.
  • This season, the Ravens run for 56.7 more yards per game (160.1) than the Steelers allow per contest (103.4).
  • When Baltimore rushes for at least 160.1 yards, it recorded a 2-2 ATS record and a 3-1 overall record.
  • Pittsburgh is 6-0 against the spread and 6-0 overall when holding opponents to 103.4 rushing yards or less.
  • This year, the Ravens turn the ball over 1.2 times per game, only 0.9 fewer turnovers per game than the 2.1 the Steelers force on average.
  • Baltimore is 4-4 against the spread and 5-3 overall when it turns the ball over 1.2 or fewer times.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has a 2-0 record against the spread and a 2-0 record overall when it forces at least 2.1 turnovers.

Lineup changes

The Ravens activated four players from the COVID list Monday but added another four, including Andrews, to keep the total at 19. The biggest hit came Friday with reigning MVP Jackson added to the COVID reserve list. Backup and former No. 2 overall draft pick Robert Griffin III will make his first start since leading the Ravens to a 28-10 victory over the Steelers in Week 17 of last season.

Griffin threw for 96 yards with no touchdowns and one interception while completing 11 of 21 passes. He rushed eight times for 50 yards. Ravens RB Gus Edwards rushed 21 times for a game-high 130 yards and TE Hayden Hurst, now with the Atlanta Falcons, had a team-high 35 receiving yards as the playoff-bound Ravens rested many key starters against the all-but-eliminated Steelers and third-string QB Devlin Hodges.

Ravens veteran RB Mark Ingram and rookie J.K. Dobbins were among the first Ravens to test positive for COVID last week, but they’ll reportedly be eligible to play Wednesday as a boost for the visitors. Conner will be the most notable absence for Pittsburgh and he’ll be replaced by the tandem of Benny Snell and rookie Anthony McFarland.

Steelers Players to Watch

  • Ben Roethlisberger has thrown for 2,534 yards while completing 67.1% of his passes (255-of-380), with 24 touchdowns and five interceptions (253.4 yards per game).
  • This season, Benny Snell has run for 195 yards on 57 carries (19.5 ypg), with three rushing touchdowns.
  • In his rookie season, Chase Claypool has 39 catches (on 65 targets) for 559 yards (55.9 per game) and eight touchdowns.
  • Diontae Johnson has added 537 yards on 49 grabs with four touchdowns. He has been targeted 81 times and averages 59.7 receiving yards per game in nine matchups this year.
  • Over 10 games in 2020, JuJu Smith-Schuster has caught 58 passes on 75 targets for 535 yards and five touchdowns, averaging 53.5 receiving yards per game.
  • T.J. Watt has collected a team-leading nine sacks, while adding 14 TFL, 32 tackles, and one interception.
  • Avery Williamson has totaled 60 tackles and one interception so far this year.
  • Minkah Fitzpatrick has a team-high four interceptions and has tacked on 48 tackles and six passes defended 10 in games this season.

Ravens Players to Watch

  • Gus Edwards leads the team with 376 rushing yards on 85 carries (37.6 yards per game), with three touchdowns on the ground.
  • Marquise Brown has added 32 catches for 431 yards and two touchdowns in 10 games this year. He has been targeted 58 times and puts up 43.1 receiving yards per game.
  • Yannick Ngakoue has registered a team-leading five sacks, while adding five TFL and 18 tackles.
  • Patrick Queen has collected 70 tackles, five TFL, and two sacks in his rookie season.

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