Steelers vs. Eagles: NFL Betting Preview – October 11, 2020

Posted By Staff on October 9, 2020

The AFC North-leading Pittsburgh Steelers (3-0) square off against the NFC East-leading Philadelphia Eagles (1-2-1) on Sunday, October 11 at Heinz Field. Pittsburgh is a touchdown favorite in the matchup. The over/under is set at 44.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 8, 2020, 7:41 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings.com.

Betting Information

Injury Report

Steelers:

OLB T.J. Watt: Questionable (Knee); G Stefen Wisniewski: Out (Chest); FB Derek Watt: Questionable (Hamstring); OT Zach Banner: Out (Torn ACL); FS Marcus Allen: Questionable (Foot)

Eagles:

WR DeSean Jackson: Questionable (Hamstring); OT Jason Peters: Out (Foot); DE Vinny Curry: Out (Hamstring); G Brandon Brooks: Out (Torn Left Achilles); WR Alshon Jeffery: Questionable (Foot); G Isaac Seumalo: Out (Knee); SS Will Parks: Out (Hamstring); CB Trevor Williams: Out (Ribs); TE Josh Perkins: Out (Upper Body); DE Daeshon Hall: Out (Knee); TE Dallas Goedert: Out (Ankle); CB Avonte Maddox: Questionable (Ankle); CB Craig James: Out (Thigh); OT Andre Dillard: Out (Biceps); WR Jalen Reagor: Out (Thumb); FS Rodney McLeod: Questionable (Hamstring); OT Lane Johnson: Questionable (Ankle); SS Rudy Ford: Out (Hamstring); ILB T.J. Edwards: Out (Hamstring)

Total Facts

  • Steelers games have gone over 44.5 points on two of three occasions this season.
  • In three of four games this season, the Eagles have combined with their opponents to go over 44.5 points.
  • The total for this matchup is 3.2 points fewer than the combined scoring average of the two teams (47.7).
  • These two teams yield a combined 46.1 points per game– 1.6 higher than the total for this matchup.
  • Steelers games average 46 total points per game this season, 1.5 points higher than this over/under.
  • This season, Eagles games have resulted in an average scoring total of 47.8, which is 3.3 points higher than the over/under.
  • The Eagles are the league’s 26th-highest scoring team this season compared to the 12th-ranked Steelers.
  • This outing features the NFL’s 20th-ranked (Philadelphia) and fifth-ranked (Pittsburgh) scoring defenses.

Steelers Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has compiled a 2-1 record against the spread this season.
  • Pittsburgh’s games have hit the over in two out of three games this season.

Eagles Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has a losing 1-3 record against the spread.
  • Philadelphia’s games have gone over the point total in two out of four opportunities this season.

When the Steelers Have the Ball

  • The Eagles defense allows 26.8 points per game this season, close to the same amount as the 26.7 the Steelers have scored.
  • In games where Pittsburgh score at least 26.7 points this season, they are 1-0 overall and 1-0 against the spread.
  • When the Philadelphia defense allows 26.8 points or fewer this year, the Eagles have a 1-0-1 overall record and a 1-1 record against the spread.
  • The Steelers hold a 29.8-yard advantage in total yards gained versus total yards allowed compared to the Eagles defense this season (382 to 352.2). The Steelers average 5.6 yards per play while the Eagles give up 5.1 per play.
  • In contests where the Pittsburgh offense totals at least their average yard output this season, they are 1-1 against the spread and 2-0 overall.
  • When Philadelphia allows fewer total yards to opposing offenses than their season average, they are 0-2 against the spread and 0-1-1 overall this season.
  • The Eagles allow 108.8 rushing yards per game, compared to the 139.7 yards the Steelers average on the ground.
  • In games where Pittsburgh rushes for at least their season average, they are 2-0 overall and 2-0 against the spread.
  • When Philadelphia limits teams to 108.8 rushing yards or fewer this year, they are 0-2 against the spread and 0-1-1 overall.
  • This season, the Eagles have forced an average of one turnover per game. The Steelers turn the football over once each contest.
  • When Pittsburgh turns the football over one time or fewer this season, they are 2-0 overall and 2-0 against the spread.
  • Philadelphia’s record this season when they force more than one turnover: 1-1 ATS, 1-1 overall

When the Eagles Have the Ball

  • The Eagles score 21 points per game. The Steelers allow 19.3 points per game.
  • Philadelphia is 1-1 against the spread and 1-0-1 overall when they record at least 21 points.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has a 1-0 record against the spread and a 1-0 record overall in games when it holds opponents to 26.7 or fewer points.
  • The Eagles collect 29 more yards per game (319), than the Steelers allow per matchup (290). On average, the Eagles gain 4.5 yards per play, while the Steelers give up 4.8 per play.
  • Pittsburgh has a 1-0 record ATS and a 1-0 record overall when holding its opponents to 290 yards or less.
  • This season, the Eagles rush for 57.5 more yards per game (111.5) than the Steelers allow per contest (54).
  • When Philadelphia runs for at least 111.5 yards, it had a 0-2 ATS record and a 0-1-1 overall record.
  • This season, Pittsburgh is 2-0 against the spread and 2-0 overall when holding opponents to no more than 54 yards on the ground.
  • This year, the Eagles turn the ball over 2.2 times per game– 0.5 more turnovers per game than the 1.7 the Steelers force on average.
  • Philadelphia has a 1-1 record against the spread and a 1-0-1 record overall when it turns the ball over 2.2 times or less.
  • When it forces 1.7 or more turnovers, Pittsburgh has a 1-1 record against the spread and a 2-0 record overall.

Steelers Players to Watch

  • Ben Roethlisberger has thrown for 777 yards (259 yards per game), seven touchdowns, and one interception on 67% completion (73-of-109) in three games.
  • James Conner has taken 40 attempts for 224 rushing yards (74.7 yards per game) and two touchdowns in three games. He’s also caught eight passes for 63 yards (21 receiving yards per game).
  • In three games, Benny Snell Jr. has rushed for 129 yards on 29 carries (43 ypg).
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster has reeled in 17 passes for 160 yards and three touchdowns. He has been targeted 19 times and averages 53.3 yards per game.
  • Rookie Chase Claypool has added 151 yards on six catches and a touchdown. He has been targeted nine times and puts up 50.3 receiving yards per game.
  • This season, Diontae Johnson has caught 14 passes on 25 targets for 149 yards and one touchdown, averaging 49.7 receiving yards per game.
  • T.J. Watt leads the Steelers with 3.5 sacks, five TFL, nine tackles, and one interception in three games.
  • Mike Hilton has totaled 20 tackles, four TFL, two sacks, and one interception.

Eagles Players to Watch

  • Carson Wentz has 930 passing yards yards while completing just 60.6% of his passes (97-of-160), with four touchdowns and seven interceptions in four games this year (232.5 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 19 times for 111 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 27.8 yards per game.
  • Miles Sanders has taken 51 carries for 236 rushing yards (78.7 yards per game) and a touchdown in three games. He’s also caught nine passes for 78 yards (26 receiving yards per game).
  • This season, Greg Ward has 18 catches (26 targets) to lead the team with 146 yards (36.5 per game) while scoring one touchdown in four games.
  • Zach Ertz has added 19 catches for 139 yards and a touchdown in four games. He averages 34.8 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 29 times.
  • DeSean Jackson has caught 10 passes on 20 targets for 121 yards, averaging 40.3 yards per game in 2020.
  • Brandon Graham has collected a team-leading three sacks, while adding five TFL and seven tackles over four games.
  • Nathan Gerry has totaled 33 tackles and three TFL so far this year.

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