Steelers vs. Browns: NFL Betting Preview – October 18, 2020

Posted By Staff on October 13, 2020 - Last Updated on October 16, 2020

The undefeated Pittsburgh Steelers face the 4-1 Cleveland Browns on Sunday, October 18 at Heinz Field. Pittsburgh is a 3.5-point favorite in the contest and the contest has an over/under of 51.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 16. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings.com.

Betting Information

Total Facts

  • Steelers games average 51.2 total points per game this season– 0.2 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • This season, Browns games have resulted in an average scoring total of 61– 10 points higher than this over/under.
  • Steelers games have gone over 51 points once this season (out of four games).
  • In four out of five games this season, the Browns have combined with their opponents to go over 51 points.
  • These two teams score a combined average of 60.7 points per game– higher than the total for this matchup by 9.7 points.
  • The Browns are the NFL’s fourth-highest scoring team this season, compared to the 10th-ranked Steelers.
  • These two teams combine to yield 51.6 points per game– 0.6 points more than the total for this matchup.
  • Pittsburgh is the NFL’s sixth-ranked scoring defense while Cleveland is the 25th-ranked.
Claim Your $520 At DraftKings DFS
1
$520
Total Bonus Offer
$20 Free Play On First Deposit
Plus 20% deposit match up to $500
#1 in Daily Fantasy Sports
To Claim: Click Play Now

Steelers Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh’s games have hit the over three out of four times this season.
  • Pittsburgh is 3-1 against the spread.
  • The Steelers are 3-1 ATS when favored by at least 3.5 points.

Browns Betting Insights

  • Four of Cleveland’s five games this year have gone over the point total.
  • Cleveland has a 3-2 record against the spread.
  • The Browns have an ATS record of 1-1 when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.

When the Steelers Have the Ball

  • The Steelers average 29.5 points per game, while the Browns allow 29.8 points per game this year.
  • In games where Pittsburgh score at least 29.5 points this season, they are 1-0 overall and 1-0 against the spread.
  • Cleveland is 2-0 overall and 2-0 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 29.8 points.
  • The Browns defense give up an average of 382.6 yards per game this season, 4.4 yards more than the Steelers offense averages (378.2).
  • The Steelers pick up 5.6 yards per play and the Browns allow 5.6 per play.
  • When Pittsburgh hits their season average in yardage, they are 2-0 overall and 1-1 against the spread this season.
  • When the Cleveland defense allows less than their season average for total yards, they are 2-2 against the spread and 3-1 overall.
  • The Browns allow opponents to rush for 86.2 yards per game. The Steelers rush for 138.8 yards per game.
  • When Pittsburgh rushes for at least their season average, they are 2-0 overall and 2-0 against the spread.
  • This season, when the Cleveland defense allows less than 86.2 yards on the ground, they are 2-1 against the spread and 3-0 overall.
  • The Browns force 1.4 more turnovers in each game this season (2.4) than the Steelers commit (one).
  • When Pittsburgh turns the football over one time or fewer this season, they are 3-0 overall and 3-0 against the spread.
  • Cleveland is 2-0 against the spread and 2-0 overall this season when they force at least 2.4 turnovers in a game.

When the Browns Have the Ball

  • The Browns score 31.2 points per game– 9.4 more than the Steelers give up per contest (21.8).
  • Cleveland is 3-1 against the spread and 4-0 overall when they score at least 31.2 points.
  • Pittsburgh has a 1-0 record against the spread and a 1-0 record overall in games when it allows 29.5 points or less.
  • The Browns average 85.1 more yards per game (386.6), than the Steelers give up per outing (301.5).
  • On average, the Browns pick up 5.8 yards per play, while the Steelers give up just 5 per play.
  • In games Pittsburgh allows to 301.5 or fewer yards, it has a 2-0 record ATS and a 2-0 record overall.
  • This season, the Browns rush for 124.4 more yards per game (188.4) than the Steelers allow per contest (64). The Browns lead the NFL in rushing.
  • When Cleveland rushes for at least 188.4 yards, it recorded a 1-1 ATS record and a 2-0 overall record.
  • Pittsburgh is 2-0 against the spread and 2-0 overall when holding opponents to 64 rushing yards or less.
  • This year, the Browns turn the ball over 1.2 times per game– 0.6 fewer turnovers per game than the Steelers force on average (1.8).
  • Cleveland is 2-1 against the spread and 3-0 overall when it turns the ball over 1.2 or fewer times.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has a 2-1 record against the spread and a 3-0 record overall when it forces at least 1.8 turnovers.

Steelers Players to Watch

  • Ben Roethlisberger has thrown for 1,016 yards, 10 touchdowns, and just one pick this season (254 yards per game).  He is completing 69.9% of his passes (100-of-143).
  • James Conner has 268 rushing yards on 55 carries (67 yards per game) and three touchdowns in four games. He also averages 20.5 receiving yards per game– grabbing 11 passes for 82 yards.
  • Benny Snell Jr. has added 148 yards on 36 carries (37 ypg) this year.
  • Chase Claypool has grabbed 13 passes for 261 yards and four touchdowns (all came last week). He has been targeted 20 times and averages 65.3 yards per game.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster has 188 yards on 21 catches and three touchdowns. He has been targeted 24 times and averages 47 receiving yards per game.
  • Eric Ebron has caught 14 passes on 20 targets for 156 yards and a touchdown, averaging 39 yards per game.
  • T.J. Watt has 4.5 sacks, eight TFL, 12 tackles, and one interception over four games.
  • Mike Hilton has recorded 28 tackles, five TFL, three sacks, and one interception so far this year.
  • Steven Nelson leads the Steelers with two interceptions and has added on 14 tackles and three passes defended four in games.

Browns Players to Watch

  • This year, Baker Mayfield thrown for 976 yards (195.2 yards per game), nine touchdowns, and four interceptions while going 93-for-152 (61.2% completion percentage).
  • Kareem Hunt has taken 70 carries for 347 rushing yards (69.4 yards per game) and three touchdowns in five games. He also has 11 receptions for 63 yards and three touchdowns.
  • D’Ernest Johnson has added 132 rushing yards on 22 carries (26.4 yards per game) in two games this year.
  • This season, Odell Beckham Jr. has 21 catches (39 targets) for 294 yards (58.8 per game) and three touchdowns in five games.
  • Jarvis Landry has added 21 catches for 279 yards, but no touchdowns. He averages 55.8 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 28 times.
  • Austin Hooper has caught 17 passes (27 targets) for 153 yards and one touchdown in his first year with the Browns. He averages 30.6 yards per game.
  • Myles Garrett leads the NFL with six sacks, and has also recorded three TFL and 15 tackles over five games.
  • In five games, B.J. Goodson has totaled 35 tackles and an interception.
  • Malcolm Smith has one interception, 21 tackles, one TFL, and two passes defended five in games this season.

Powered By Data Skrive using data from

Staff Avatar
Written by
Staff

View all posts by Staff