Both UConn and St. Mary’s played tight first halves against their respective first round opponents but closed comfortably. The market has made UConn a spread favorite and on the moneyline to win the game. The total is .
This game tips off Sunday, March 19 at 6:10 p.m. EDT. We’ll breakdown the matchup below and help you find the best odds in your state to help make the best bet possible. Click on any of the odds below to bet now.
St. Mary’s vs. UConn Odds
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St. Mary’s vs. UConn Props
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UConn March Madness Futures
Reasons UConn Can Cover
The Huskies are the fourth best team in KenPom, and they’re top 20 in both offense and defense. It’s pretty clear they’re underseeded as a 4 seed, and their dominant second half against Iona suggests they’re in good form going into the second round.
Their lack of discernable weakness means that they can play multiple styles – if this becomes a defensive duel, their defense is good enough to keep them in games even if their Top 10 offense isn’t getting shots to fall.
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Reasons St. Mary’s Can Cover
St. Mary’s won by 12 in the first round despite shooting only 3/17 from 3 (17.6%), a sign that their victory was not built on unsustainable results. If they can run a bit hotter offensively, they should be able to force Connecticut to play against a set defense more often, which will limit the Huskies.
Connecticut did shoot 44% from 3 in their first round matchup, a number that seems ripe for regression, which would help St. Mary’s offense hang with them. St. Mary’s 8th ranked defense will also help keep UConn from the offensive explosion they had in the second half against Iona, which will be key to staying in this game.
Final Thoughts
This game is projected to be a low scoring affair, and that fact benefits St. Mary’s. Both teams are outside the top 200 in pace, and the worst unit on the court is St. Mary’s offense (albeit, still top 50 in the country). If this game paces up, or if Connecticut is able to be more efficient than expected, then St. Mary’s will be in a world of pain. That said, if they can hold UConn’s offense down, then they’re in a great position to advance.
Best available price: UConn