Spread, Moneyline & Total Moves: What the Lines Are Telling Us about Super Bowl LX
One final game remains in the 2025 NFL season, as Super Bowl LX will be decided between the Seattle Seahawks and the New England Patriots. Very few could have predicted this matchup in the preseason, as the Seahawks opened at +6000 to win it all, while the Patriots, coming off a 4-13 campaign, were +12000.
Yet here we are, and the sportsbooks in Las Vegas will certainly be hoping for a New England Patriots win. According to BetMGM, the Seahawks are the third-largest liability this season, behind the since-eliminated Pittsburgh Steelers and the San Francisco 49ers.
With Super Bowl LX being the most bet event of the season, we'll take you through various Super Bowl line movements and interpret what they mean.
Super Bowl LX Opening Odds
Odds via FanDuel
Date: Feb. 8, 6:30 p.m. ET
How to Watch: NBC, Peacock
Spread: Seahawks -3.5
Money Line: Seahawks (-205); Patriots (+170)
Total: 46.5
Super Bowl LX Current Odds (as of Feb. 5 at 10am ET)
Spread: Seahawks -4.5
Money Line: Seahawks (-225); Patriots (+188)
Total: 45.5
Super Bowl LX Betting Handles
At the moment, the public is hammering the Seattle Seahawks, which has caused the line to move from -3.5 to -4.5 in favor of Seattle, with some sportsbooks offering the Seahawks at -5. However, many of the leading sportsbooks are expecting a flurry of late activity from bettors on New England, as they're currently getting close to +200 and present some fantastic value.
Statistics via bet365
Seattle Seahawks -4.5
- 66% of all bets
- 58% of all handle
Over 45.5 Points
- 54% of all bets
- 40% of all handle
New England ML
- 66% of all bets
- 52% of all handle
Most Bet Super Bowl Props
According to data via Caesars Sportsbook, here are the most bet player props in terms of number of total tickets.
- Rushing Yards: Kenneth Walker under 70.5 yards
- Rushing Attempts: Sam Darnold over 2.5 attempts
- Longest Rush: Kenneth Walker under 15.5 yards
- Rushing & Receiving Yards: Kenneth Walker over 97.5 yards
- Receiving Yards: Kenneth Walker over 20.5 receiving yards
- Receptions: George Holani over 1.5 receptions
- Longest Reception: Hunter Henry over 17.5 yards
Super Bowl LX Prop Bet Movement
Odds via BetMGM
Here are some of the biggest line movements when it comes to prop bets. The public is beginning to grow in both Sam Darnold's arm and Drake Maye's legs. This has caused Kenneth Walker's numbers to drop considerably, while several role players have seen their numbers rise.
- Rashid Shaheed (SEA) Rushing and Receiving Yards: 35.5 Yards ➡️ 29.5 Yards
- Kenneth Walker III (SEA) Rushing and Receiving Yards: 101.5 Yards ➡️ 95.5 Yards
- Drake Maye (NE) Rushing Yards: 32.5 Yards ➡️ 37.5 Yards
- Mack Hollins (NE) Receiving Yards: 30.5 Yards ➡️ 25.5 Yards
- Sam Darnold (SEA) Passing Yards: 226.5 Yards ➡️ 230.5 Yards
- George Holani (SEA) Rushing and Receiving Yards: 19.5 Yards ➡️ 23.5 Yards
- AJ Barner (SEA) Receiving Yards: 28.5 Yards ➡️ 24.5 Yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Rushing Yards: 52.5 Yards ➡️ 49.5 Yards
- Kayshon Boutte (NE) Receiving Yards: 26.5 Yards ➡️ 29.5 Yards
- George Holani (SEA) Receiving Yards: 7.5 Yards ➡️ 10.5 Yards
Vegas on the Hook for Millions
Notably, somebody placed a mammoth $50,000 bet in the preseason for the Seahawks to win it all. He also placed $50,000 on the Seahawks to make the playoffs at +185, securing a $92,500 profit. He also put $50,000 on the Seahawks to win the NFC, which netted him a cool $1,400,000.
Though he'd be able to win $3,000,000 if the Seahawks win the Super Bowl, he has bet $725,000 on the Patriots moneyline at +195 to hedge his bet. So, if Seattle pulls it off, he'll be up nearly $2.3 million more, while if New England pulls off the upset, he'll still pocket over an additional $1,400,000 more to put his total earnings on the Seahawks this season to between $3,000,000 and $3,800,000.
Circa Sports are also on the hook for a pair of large wagers that would pay out seven figures if the Seahawks win the Super Bowl.