Carolina Panthers Odds Shift After Baker Mayfield Trade

Written By Eli Hershkovich on July 6, 2022
Panthers Odds

Deshaun Watson’s status for the 2022-23 NFL season remains unknown, yet the Browns continued to make quarterback headlines on Tuesday. After generating plenty of drama within the organization, Cleveland has shipped Baker Mayfield to Carolina for a 2024 conditional fifth-round pick. So how did Panthers odds change as a result?

Click on any of the Panthers odds below to place a wager.

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Panthers Odds Movement Post-Mayfield Deal

At BetMGM Sportsbook, the Panthers Super Bowl odds went from +15000 to +12500 while Caesars altered their futures from +12500 to +10000. Their NFC South odds were also shortened from +1200 to +1000 at BetMGM.

There’s been slight movement in the win totals market too. Before the acquisition, Carolina sat at O/U 5.5 wins ⁠— with the over set at -130. Although it went up Tuesday, there’s -125 vig in the direction of under 6.5 wins. BetRivers is offering over 7.5 wins at +230, producing an implied probability of 30.3%.

Oddly enough, the Panthers traded more for rookie signal caller Matt Coral than they did in the Mayfield trade. In that move, they sent a fourth-round selection and a 2023 third-round pick in return for the No. 94 overall selection, in which they nabbed the Ole Miss product.

Week 1: Browns vs. Panthers Odds

Assuming Mayfield beats out Sam Darnold for the starting job, he’ll square off against his former team in Week 1. A multitude of sportsbooks pulled down those NFL odds following the trade. FanDuel Sportsbook was the first one to repost them, shortening the line from Cleveland -2.5 to -1. Their moneyline odds were adjusted to -118.

Moreover, the Browns opened as 4.5-point road favorites when the initial odds were released, so we’ve already seen quite a shift because of Watson’s uncertainty while facing four civil suits.

Over the course of their respective careers, Mayfield owns a 4.8% touchdown rate, which is a tad higher than Darnold (3.3%). Despite Darnold recording one more turnover (17) than Mayfield last season, both QBs dealt with their fair share of injuries — highlighted by Mayfield playing through a torn labrum in his left shoulder.

With that in mind, the four-year starter is listed at to win the 2022 Comeback Player of the Year award.

Inadvertently, Carolina possesses a pair of top-3 picks from the 2018 draft. Cleveland selected Mayfield with the No. 1 overall selection, and the Jets snagged Darnold two picks later.

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Eli Hershkovich Avatar
Written by
Eli Hershkovich

Eli Hershkovich is a lead sports betting writer with TheLines and Catena Media, formerly with Audacy and The Action Network. His goal is to provide you with data and information to lead you to winning bets. Eli is an avid college basketball gambler — among many other sports — and still hasn't forgiven Virginia for ruining his 2018-2019 Texas Tech futures.

View all posts by Eli Hershkovich