Switzerland vs. Argentina Odds, Picks & Predictions Quarterfinals, July 11

After all the hoopla and the run up, the quarterfinal round of the knockout stages of the 2026 World Cup comes to a close with a matchup as Switzerland takes on Argentina Saturday night and we have you covered with our Switzerland vs. Argentina prediction. Switzerland downed Colombia 4-3 on penalty kicks after battling to a scoreless draw in their round of 16 clash their last time out Tuesday. Argentina downed Egypt 3-2 in their round of 16 clash their last time out Tuesday. Let’s break down this Switzerland vs. Argentina matchup.

In World Cup play, Argentina won both previous meetings between the squads. That includes a 1-0 triumph in extra time in the round of 16 in the most recent meeting on July 1, 2014. Don’t forget to check out all the World Cup odds as the tournament progresses!

Switzerland Seeking to Continue Run

Switzerland in the World Cup

In 2026, Switzerland takes part in their 13th World Cup tournament overall and their sixth consecutive one. The Nati owns a record of 17 wins, 10 draws and 19 losses in World Cup action. Switzerland entered the World Cup ranked 19th in the FIFA rankings. The Nati finished group play with a record of two wins, one draw and no losses. They finished with seven points and won Group B by three points over Canada by virtue of their head-to-head win.

Switzerland Last Match

Against Colombia, Switzerland battled in a defensive struggle and managed to escape with the win as they prevailed on penalty kicks. Switzerland owned a narrow 53% to 47% advantage in terms of possession in the match. In addition, the Nati lost the shots on goal by a 3-2 margin while falling by a 1.09 to 0.39 margin in terms of expected goals. Switzerland didn’t see much in the way of great chances in the first half but didn’t give many up either. Dan Ndoye had the best opportunity in the 33rd minute but was turned aside by Camilo Vargas. As a result, both sides went to halftime with the match scoreless.

In the second half, Switzerland had the better opportunities but couldn’t get one past Vargas. That left the match even at the end of regulation. In extra time, Colombia hit the crossbar in the 99th minute and had another chance stopped by Gregor Kobel in the 101st minute. Switzerland answered with a chance in the 104th minute as Zeki Amdouni was stopped by Vargas. Those were the prime chances and the match finished extra time scoreless. In penalties, the teams traded goals in the opening round. Switzerland took a 2-1 lead after the second round but found themselves even at two at the end of the third round. The Nati led 3-2 after the fourth round and saw Luis Díaz tie the match in the fifth round. However, Ruben Vargas tallied the winner with his fifth round attempt to send Switzerland on to the quarters.

Kobel makes his seventh career World Cup start here. He has a record of four wins, two draws and no losses in World Cup play. In addition, Kobel owns a pair of clean sheets in his World Cup career. Johan Manzambi (knee) is out for the second straight match here.

Argentina Hoping for More Complete Showing

Argentina in the World Cup

In 2026, Argentina makes their 19th World Cup appearance here and their 14th consecutive, dating back to 1974. La Albiceleste seeks to defend their championship after winning in 2022. Argentina owns a record of 52 wins, 17 draws and 24 losses in World Cup play. La Albiceleste is the top-ranked team in the FIFA rankings entering the World Cup. Argentina finished group play with a perfect record of three wins, no draws and no losses to easily win Group J.

Argentina Last Match

In their round of 16 matchup, Argentina needed a late rally against Egypt though they seemed dead in the water in the late stages. La Albiceleste dominated possession by a 64% to 36% margin in the match. In addition, Argentina held a 2.84 to 0.89 margin in terms of expected goals while owning a 7-2 advantage in terms of shots on goal in the match. Argentina gave up an early goal as Egypt tallied in the 15th minute to trail 1-0. La Albiceleste had a chance to tie the match in the 21st minute but Lionel Messi missed a penalty kick. Messi later hit the post in the 30th minute and Julián Álvarez was stopped in the 39th minute. That left Argentina down 1-0 at the half.

In the second half, Argentina nearly went down 2-0 in the 58th minute but the goal was disallowed by a foul by Egypt. La Albiceleste ended up trailing by a pair as Egypt tallied a goal that wasn’t overturned in the 67th minute. At that point in time, it seemed that Argentina was dead in the water. With the odds against them, Cristian Romero got La Albiceleste on the board in the 79th minute off an assist from Lionel Messi to make it 2-1. Messi evened the score in the 83rd minute as Messi scored off a feed from Gonzalo Montiel. Meanwhile, in stoppage time, Enzo Fernández gave Argentina the lead off a header in the 92nd minute with Lautaro Martínez assisting on the goal. La Albiceleste held on the rest of the way for the victory.

Emiliano Martinez makes his 13th career World Cup start between the sticks in this contest. He has a record of nine wins, two draws and one loss with five clean sheets on his ledger. Make sure you keep track of the Argentina World Cup odds as they progress through the tournament.

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

Bet Now BetMGM Promo

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (Available in the US) 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. Promotional offers not available in Mississippi, New York, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.

Switzerland vs. Argentina Predictions

Argentina to Win in Regulation (-152, Betr)  

Losing Manzambi is a huge blow to Switzerland, especially when it comes to creativity and playmaking offensively. He had three goals and two assists to his credit in 199 minutes of action. Switzerland’s offense falls off a cliff when he’s not on the pitch. We saw that in the match against Colombia, as the Nati mustered only two shots in their 120 minutes of action. Argentina can’t dig a hole as they did against Egypt or they could find themselves out of the tournament. Switzerland is a sound defensive side and their low block can be difficult to penetrate. La Albiceleste has the weapons to take the lead and earn a victory in this one.

Under 2.5 Goals (-150, DraftKings)  

While we’ve seen Switzerland score nine goals in the World Cup, it’s tough to trust them scoring much here. The Nati are a capable offensive side normally but that’s when Manzambi is on the field. Switzerland scored eight goals with him on the field and he had a hand in five of them. Meanwhile, the Nati put up one goal when he isn’t on the field. That came on a Breel Embolo penalty kick against Qatar in the opener of group play. Meanwhile, Argentina has 14 goals so far in the World Cup. Still, they’ll be challenged by Switzerland’s defensive work. This match winds up falling short of the number.

Lionel Messi Anytime Goal Scorer (-105, FanDuel)  

Sure, this one is a no-brainer given how dangerous Messi is offensively. He has at least one goal in each of the five matches in this World Cup. In addition, he has an assist to go with his eight goals and has 17 shots on target to this point of the tournament. Messi owns 21 goals and seven assists in 31 World Cup appearances in his career. Strangely, he’s converted just four of eight penalty kicks in the World Cup. Still, one knows how dangerous he is at any given moment, even at his advanced age. Messi gets some chances and that pays dividends as he finds the net again.