Spain vs. Portugal Odds, Picks & Predictions 1/16, July 6

After all the hoopla and the run up, day 3 of the round of 16 of the knockout stages of the 2026 World Cup kicks off with a matchup as Spain takes on Portugal Monday afternoon and we have you covered with our Spain vs. Portugal prediction. Spain advanced as they defeated Austria 3-0 in their round of 32 match Thursday in their previous contest. Portugal downed Croatia 2-1 Thursday in their round of 32 clash Thursday in their previous match. Let’s break down this Spain vs. Portugal matchup.

These sides have met just twice previously in World Cup play with Spain owning a record of one win, one draw and no losses. That includes a 3-3 draw in a Group B matchup in the most recent meeting between the sides June 15, 2018. Don’t forget to check out all the World Cup odds as the tournament progresses!

Spain Shooting to Roll into Quarterfinals

Spain in the World Cup

In 2026, Spain makes their 17th appearance in the World Cup here as they chase their first title since 2010. La Roja has an all-time record of 34 wins, 18 draws and 19 losses in World Cup play entering this run. They enter the World Cup ranked second in the FIFA world rankings, trailing only Argentina. La Roja is one spot ahead of France. Spain finished group play with a record of two wins, one draw and no losses for seven points to win Group H.

Spain Last Match

Against Austria, Spain got their offense in gear and that carried them to a victory in the round of 32. La Roja owned a 64% to 36% margin in terms of possession in the match. In addition, Spain owned a 2.80 to 0.32 advantage in terms of expected goals while dominating shots on goal by a massive 10-0 margin. In the opening half, Spain was pressuring from the jump and controlled much of the match. Marc Cucurella had a goal taken off the board in the 29th minute due to a foul. Mikel Oyarzabal got Spain on the board in the 36th minute off an assist from Cucurella. Lamine Yamal had a chance in extra time before the half but came up empty. That left Spain up 1-0 at the half.

In the second half, Pedro Porro gave La Roja a 2-0 advantage with his goal in the 66th minute. Álex Baena assisted on the marker, setting up Porro’s header. Yamal had another good chance in the 85th minute but came up empty right before being substituted. Oyarzabal tallied his second of the match in the 89th minute to give Spain a 3-0 advantage. Cucurella assisted on that marker as well. La Roja coasted through stoppage time to earn the victory. Unai Simón projects to make his ninth World Cup start in this contest. He has a record of four wins, three draws and one loss in the World Cup. Simón has six clean sheets in World Cup play. Make sure you keep track of the Spain World Cup odds as they progress through the tournament.

Portugal Seeking to Earn Spot in Final Eight

Portugal in the World Cup

In 2026, Portugal makes their ninth all-time appearance in the World Cup and their seventh straight here. The last time they missed was back in 1998. Portugal has an all-time record of 19 victories, eight draws and 12 defeats in World Cup action entering this match. The Seleção das Quinas entered World Cup play ranked fifth in the FIFA world rankings. Portugal finished group play with one win, two draws and no losses. The Seleção das Quinas finished second in Group K, two points behind Colombia for the top spot.

Portugal Last Match

Against Croatia, Portugal had their hands full and managed to escape with a win thanks to the help of a controversial VAR review. The Seleção das Quinas won possession by a 60% to 40% margin in the match. In addition, Portugal fell 6-3 in shots on goal despite owning a 2.20 to 1.34 advantage in expected goals in the match. During the first half, the two sides traded chances multiple times in the opening 20 minutes with neither scoring. Portugal kept the pressure going after the hydration break but neither side was able to score, leaving the match scoreless at the half.

In the second half, Portugal gave up the match’s first goal in the 53rd minute. The Seleção das Quinas nearly went down 2-0 but a goal for Croatia was wiped off by an offside call. Portugal hit the bar in the 58th minute and then had a Ronaldo goal wiped out by an offside call in the 61st minute. Ronaldo did end up knotting the match in the 68th minute as he converted a penalty kick. The Seleção das Quinas avoided going down again in the 80th minute as Croatia was offside. Gonçalo Ramos ended up giving Portugal a 2-1 lead in the 94th minute off a header that was set up by Rafael Leão. Portugal nearly gave up the equalizer in the 103rd minute but again caught a break on a VAR review that ruled Croatia offside. They managed to hold on for the win from there.

Costa projects as the starting goalkeeper for Portugal as he makes his 10th career World Cup start. He has a record of five wins, two draws and two losses with three clean sheets on the books. Be sure to stay up to date on Portugal’s World Cup odds throughout the tournament.

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Spain vs. Portugal Prediction

Spain to Win in Regulation (DraftKings, -105)

Portugal has to be happy that they are even here as Croatia had three goals wiped off the board by offside calls in the round of 32. The Seleção das Quinas now face a Spain side that hasn’t conceded a goal in their first four World Cup matches in this tournament. La Roja has plenty of weapons offensively and they are very familiar with Portugal. The Seleção das Quinas hasn’t been the same offensively in the World Cup. They were shut down by the DR Congo and Colombia in group play. Spain is more than capable of stifling them as well. Take Spain to win here and move on to the quarters.

Under 2.5 Goals (FanDuel, +108)

We talked already about how Spain has yet to concede a goal in the World Cup entering this match. While Portugal scored five times in their win over Uzbekistan, they have just three goals combined in their other three matches entering this one. The Seleção das Quinas hasn’t generated a ton of offensive chances during the World Cup and sooner or later, Ronaldo’s advanced age is going to be an issue. Spain takes Portugal out of their gameplan and limits their chances. Meanwhile, La Roja puts a goal or two on the board, keeping this one under the number.

Mikel Oyarzabal Anytime Goalscorer (FanDuel, +150)

One thing we’ve seen for La Roja is how dangerous Oyarzabal has been when it comes to creating chances and finishing. He tallied twice against Austria in the round of 32 and has four goals plus an assist in the four World Cup matches Spain has played. That’s on the heels of six goals plus three assists in six World Cup qualifying matches. You know that he’s going to be a force offensively for La Roja here and that pays dividends. Take Oyarzabal to find the net again in this contest to net his fifth of the World Cup with a goal here.