Spain vs. France Odds, Picks & Predictions - Semifinals, July 14

We’ve reached the semifinals of the 2026 World Cup and they kick off with a marquee matchup as Spain takes on France Thursday afternoon and we have you covered with our Spain vs. France prediction. Spain downed Belgium 2-1 in their quarterfinal tilt Friday in their previous match. France dropped Morocco 2-0 in their quarterfinal clash Thursday in their previous match.

These sides have met just once previously in World Cup play, a 3-1 win for France in the round of 16 of the 2006 World Cup on June 27, 2006. Don’t forget to check out all the World Cup odds as the tournament progresses!

Spain Looks to Earn Spot in Title Match

Spain in the World Cup

In 2026, Spain makes their 17th appearance in the World Cup here as they chase their first title since 2010. La Roja has an all-time record of 36 wins, 18 draws and 19 losses in World Cup play entering this run. They enter the World Cup ranked second in the FIFA world rankings, trailing only Argentina. La Roja is one spot ahead of France. Spain finished group play with a record of two wins, one draw and no losses for seven points to win Group H.

Spain Last Match

Against Belgium, Spain conceded their first goal of the tournament but did enough offensively to come away with a win. That sent them to the semifinals. La Roja owned a 68% to 32% margin in terms of possession in the match. In addition, Spain owned a 1.96 to 0.34 advantage in terms of expected goals while dominating shots on goal by an 8-2 margin. After a slow start to the match as far as chances, Spain took a 1-0 lead in the 30th minute on a Fabián Ruiz goal. La Roja gave up the tying marker in the 41st minute. As a result, the sides went to the half with the score level at one goal each.

The teams traded chances in the early stages in the second half with both keepers up to the task. That kept the score level at one but an injury that had massive implications on the match occurred right at the hydration break for the second half. Belgium keeper Thibault Courtois had to leave the match with a thigh injury. He was replaced by Senne Lammens. We had another flash of chance as Lamine Yamal was stopped in the 83rd minute while Kevin De Bruyne was stymied a minute later for Belgium. Mikel Merino, who came on in the 86th minute, gave Spain a 2-1 lead in the 88th minute. He capitalized on a miscue by Lammens and found the net. Unai Simón made a couple saves in stoppage time to secure the victory for La Roja.

Simón projects to make his 11th World Cup start in this contest. He has a record of sixth wins, three draws and one loss in the World Cup. Simón has seven clean sheets in World Cup play. Make sure you keep track of the Spain World Cup odds as they progress through the tournament.

France Seeking to Keep Rolling

France in the World Cup

In 2026, France logs their 17th World Cup appearance and their eighth consecutive one. Les Bleus reached the title game in both 2018 and 2022, winning the former and falling in penalties in the latter. France owns a record of 45 wins, 14 draws and 20 losses in World Cup play after their win over Paraguay. Les Bleus entered the World Cup ranked third in the FIFA rankings. Les Bleus finished atop Group I with a record of three wins, no draws and no losses.

France Last Match

Against Morocco, France took advantage of their depth to earn the win in a tight, defensive struggle. That sent them on to the quarterfinals for the fourth straight World Cup. Les Bleus lost the possession metric by a 52% to 48% margin in the match. In addition, France owned an 8-1 advantage in terms of shots on goal and owned the edge in expected goals by a massive 3.69 to 0.14 margin. Kylian Mbappé had an early chance in the fourth minute but was stopped. Mbappé had a penalty kick in the 28th minute but was stopped by Morocco’s Yassine Bounou. Désiré Doué was stonewalled in the 35th minute while Lucas Digne hit the bar in extra time. Instead, the teams went to the half with the match scoreless.

In the second half, France got going offensively and that proved to be the difference in the match. Mbappé, after missing a chance high in the 54th minute, gave France a 1-0 advantage with his goal in the 60th minute. Désiré Doué assisted on that marker. Shortly after, Ousmane Dembélé made it a 2-0 score in the 66th minute as he converted a feed from Mbappé. France nearly conceded an own goal in the 73rd minute that could have made things interesting but avoided disaster. Les Bleus controlled things the rest of the way to earn the victory. Mike Maignan makes his seventh World Cup appearance between the sticks for France in this contest. He owns four clean sheets in the tournament. Make sure you keep track of the France World Cup odds as they progress through the tournament.

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Spain vs. France Predictions

France to Win in Regulation (FanDuel, -148)

While we’ve got the top four teams in the FIFA world rankings in the semifinals, this one is a marquee clash. Spain has conceded just one goal so far in the World Cup but they haven’t faced an attack like France. Mbappé, Doué, Dembélé and company are the point of a devastating attack that has scored 16 goals in the tournament. It’s hard to see Merino bailing out Spain late as he did in each of the last two matches. This one is tight and close but in the end, France’s depth of weaponry proves to be too much for Spain to overcome.

Over 2.5 Goals (Betr, -120)

We’ve seen these teams pile up goals in this tournament. Spain has outscored the opposition 11-1 in the World Cup entering this match. Meanwhile, France has blitzed the opposition by a count of 16-2 in their matches thus far in the tournament. Spain is a little sluggish in terms of speed in their back line. In addition, France is uncertain as to whether Aurélien Tchouaméni can go or how close to 100% he is at this stage. That means that Les Bleus are a little suspect as well defensively. As a result, you have to think that this game winds up 2-1, if not higher, to go over the number.

Both Teams to Score (DraftKings, -165)

Spain has scored in five of their six matches in the World Cup. Their lone exception came in their surprising scoreless draw with Cape Verde in their group opener. Meanwhile, they’ve scored multiple goals four times in the tournament. On the flip side, France has scored in each of their six matches to date. Les Bleus has multiple goals on the board in five of their six matches and at least three goals on the board in four of six. With so much firepower offensively on these two sides, you have to think that both teams find the net at least once in the match.