Spain vs. Argentina Odds, Picks & Predictions - Final Match, July 19

The 2026 World Cup is in its final weekend and it brings us the championship match with a marquee matchup as Argentina takes on Spain Sunday afternoon and we have you covered with our Argentina vs. Spain prediction. Argentina downed England 2-1 in their semifinal tilt Wednesday in their previous match. Spain beat France 2-0 in their semifinal clash Tuesday in their previous match.

These sides have met just once previously in World Cup play. In that match, Argentina picked up a 2-1 victory in a Group 2 matchup on July 13, 1966. Don’t forget to check out all the World Cup odds as the tournament progresses!

Argentina Seeking to Defend Title

Argentina in the World Cup

In 2026, Argentina makes their 19th World Cup appearance here and their 14th consecutive, dating back to 1974. La Albiceleste seeks to defend their championship after winning in 2022. Argentina owns a record of 54 wins, 17 draws and 24 losses in World Cup play. La Albiceleste is the top-ranked team in the FIFA rankings entering the World Cup. In group play, Argentina finished with a perfect record of three wins, no draws and no losses to easily win Group J.

Argentina Last Match

Argentina needed a late rally but broke through to take down England in a tough semifinal clash. La Albiceleste dominated possession by a 64% to 36% margin in the match. In addition, Argentina held a 1.59 to 0.53 margin in terms of expected goals while owning a 5-2 advantage in terms of shots on goal in the match. The first half saw plenty of physical play but not much of the offensive fireworks that one was used to seeing from the two sides in the tournament. There were no shots on target by either side but a combined 19 fouls showed the physicality. Meanwhile, the match was scoreless at intermission.

In the second half, Argentina battled but found themselves down late, as they did with Egypt, before rallying. La Albiceleste gave up the first goal of the match in the 55th minute of play to trail 1-0. Nico González had Argentina’s best chance of the opening 70 minutes when he was thwarted by Jordan Pickford on a header in the 69th minute. That seemed to wake Argentina up from there. Alexis Mac Allister hit the left post in the 76th minute while González fired just wide a minute later. Enzo Fernández finally evened the score in the 85th minute off an assist from Lionel Messi. Lautaro Martinez gave Argentina the lead in the 92nd minute as he converted a feed from Messi with a header. La Albiceleste held on from there to earn the victory.

Emiliano Martinez makes his 15th career World Cup start between the sticks in this contest. He has a record of 11 wins, two draws and one loss with five clean sheets on his ledger. Make sure you keep track of the Argentina World Cup odds as they progress through the tournament.

Spain Shooting for Second World Cup Crown

Spain in the World Cup

In 2026, Spain makes their 17th appearance in the World Cup here as they chase their first title since 2010. La Roja has an all-time record of 37 wins, 18 draws and 19 losses in World Cup play entering this run. They enter the World Cup ranked second in the FIFA world rankings, trailing only Argentina. La Roja is one spot ahead of France. Spain finished group play with a record of two wins, one draw and no losses for seven points to win Group H.

Spain Last Match

Against France, Spain bounced back from conceding their first goal of the tournament to eliminate Les Bleus. That sent them to the title match as they seek their second World Cup title and their first since 2010. La Roja owned a slim 51% to 49% margin in terms of possession in the match. In addition, Spain owned a 1.63 to 0.31 advantage in terms of expected goals while losing shots on goal by a 3-2 margin. After a slow start, Spain grabbed the lead in the 22nd minute of play. After Lamine Yamal drew a penalty in the box, Mikel Oyarzabal scored on the penalty kick to give La Roja a 1-0 advantage. That was the score at the half.

In the second half, Spain controlled play early and it paid dividends. Pedro Porro scored in the 58th minute off an assist from Dani Olmo. That gave La Roja a 2-0 advantage and put them comfortably ahead. Yamal found the net in the 61st minute but the goal was nullified as he was ruled offside. Spain neutralized what had been an explosive France attack and went on for the victory. Unai Simón projects to make his 12th World Cup start in this contest. He has a record of seven wins, three draws and one loss in the World Cup. Simón has eight clean sheets in World Cup play. Make sure you keep track of the Spain World Cup odds as they progress through the tournament.

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Argentina vs. Spain Predictions

Draw at the End of Regulation (+200, DraftKings)

While the third-place game between France and England was wide open, pedal to the metal for 90 minutes, this is going to be the opposite. Both teams have hefty goal differentials (+12) and have held the opposition in check. Spain has allowed just one measly goal all tournament, which came against Belgium in the quarterfinals. Four of the last five World Cup finals were level at the end of regulation and it’s hard to see this one being any different. Spain controls possession and keeps Argentina from having the dangerous chances they’re accustomed to in this contest. As a result, bank on the draw and lean toward this one being settled either in extra time or penalty kicks.

Under 2.5 Goals (-175, Betr)

We talked about how close to the vest this match is likely to be, which likely impedes Messi’s chances at the Golden Boot. Spain has given up just one goal in seven matches entering this final match. Argentina has allowed seven goals in seven matches. Meanwhile, they conceded at least one goal in each of their last five matches. Spain hasn’t given up much in the way of shot attempts, much less shots on goal, in this tournament. Expecting much in the way of offensive fireworks here doesn’t seem to be in the cards. Take the under in this contest as a result.

Mikel Oyarzabal, Spain Anytime Goal Scorer (+170, DraftKings)

Oyarzabal has five goals and an assist in his six matches in the World Cup. After getting blanked in the last two matches, we’re banking on a return to form here. He has 22 shot attempts on the board across the five matches, logging at least one attempt in each match. In addition, he has 11 shots on goal, recording at least one shot on target in six of the seven matches. Oyarzabal has 18 goals and eight assists to his credit in his last 20 matches for Spain entering this match. Look for him to find the net again in this contest.