Senegal vs. Norway Odds, Picks & Predictions - Group I, 06/22

Written By Chris Kubala | Published at June 22, 2026
June 16, 2026; Foxborough, Massachusetts, U.S.; Norway's Erling Haaland scores their first goal. Mandatory Credit: Paul Rutherford-Imagn Images

The second round of matches of group play in the 2026 World Cup continues with a Group I matchup as Senegal takes on Norway Monday night and we have you covered with our Senegal vs. Norway prediction. Senegal fell 3-1 to France in their group play opener in their previous match Tuesday afternoon. Norway dropped Iraq 4-1 in their group opener in their last match Tuesday. This marks the first time that the two sides have met in World Cup play. Let’s break down this Senegal vs. Norway matchup.

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Senegal Trying to Even Mark in Group Play

Senegal makes their fourth World Cup appearance this year and their third consecutive. They try to bounce back from a loss to France in their group play opener. Their best run was that 2002 run when they reached the quarterfinals. Les Lions de la Teranga has an all-time record of five wins, three draws and five losses in World Cup play. Senegal entered the World Cup 15th in the FIFA world rankings.

Against France, Senegal struggled to contain the French attack and didn’t have the firepower to keep up. Les Lions de la Teranga lost the possession battle by a 53.4% to 46.6% in the match. In addition, Senegal lost the shot attempts battle 11-6 and the shots on goal by an 8-2 margin. Senegal had most of the good scoring opportunities in the opening half of the match. Nicolas Jackson saw a shot ring off the post in the 25th minute providing the best chance. In the second half, Les Lions de la Teranga saw France turn up the pressure and score the match’s first goal in the 66th minute. Senegal trailed 2-0 after giving up a marker in the 82nd minute of play before making a move.

Ibrahim Mbaye got Les Lions de la Teranga and gave them life with a goal. That marker, which came in the fifth minute of stoppage time, was assisted by Iliman Ndiaye. Senegal’s momentum was short-lived as they gave up a goal in the next minute to close the scoring. Édouard Mendy projects to make his sixth career World Cup start between the sticks here. He has a record of two wins, no draws and three losses in those matches. Mendy failed to record a clean sheet in any of those contests.

Norway Primed to Start Group Play 2-0

Norway cruised into the World Cup as they won UEFA Group I with a record of eight wins, no draws and no losses. The Landslaget pummeled the opposition by a collective margin of 37-5 to win the group. Norway makes their fourth World Cup appearance overall and their first appearance since 1998. The Landslaget enter this match holding a record of three wins, three draws and three losses. They look to start group play 2-0 after downing Iraq in their opener. Norway enters this match ranked 31st in the FIFA rankings.

Against Iraq, Norway controlled most of the match and earned a comfortable victory. The Landslaget owned better than a three-to-two margin in terms of possession in the match. Meanwhile, Norway held a 12-11 edge in shot attempts and a 5-1 advantage in shots on goal in the match. Erling Haaland opened the scoring in the 29th minute of play for a 1-0 Norway lead. David Møller Wolfe drew the assist with a cross. After Iraq knotted the match in the 39th minute, Haaland restored the Landslaget’s advantage with his second goal of the match in the 43rd minute. That gave Norway a 2-1 lead at the half. In the second half, Leo Østigård gave Norway a 3-1 lead with his goal in the 76th minute. Martin Ødegaard drew the assist off a cross.

During stoppage time, Norway’s final tally came on an own goal by Iraq. That came in the sixth minute of stoppage time. Ørjan Nyland makes his second World Cup appearance in this contest for the Landslaget. He made 14 appearances in the World Cup qualifying round in his career. Nyland has a record of 11 wins, two draws and one loss in those outings. In addition, he logged seven clean sheets in those contests.

Senegal vs. Norway Prediction

Senegal battled with France but ended up falling short. Les Lions de la Teranga had a tough time stopping Kylian Mbappé, who scored twice. Now they have to contend with the always dangerous Haaland, who scored 27 goals in the Premier League for Man City. In addition, he followed that up with a brace in his first career World Cup matchup. Senegal has the deeper team and they have something to prove after falling to France. Meanwhile, this one seems safe to play the draw here and backing both teams to score is also a sound play in this contest.

Our Prediction: Draw (DraftKings, +255)

Our Prediction: Both Teams to Score (DraftKings, -145)

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