Portugal vs. Colombia Odds, Picks & Predictions - Group K, 06/27

Written By Chris Kubala | Published at June 27, 2026
June 17, 2026; Mexico City, Mexico; Colombia's Daniel Munoz celebrates scoring their first goal. Mandatory Credit: Raquel Cunha-Reuters via Imagn Images

After all the hoopla and the run up, the 2026 World Cup continues their third round of group play games with a Group K matchup as Portugal takes on Colombia Saturday night and we have you covered with our Portugal vs. Colombia prediction. Portugal blasted Uzbekistan 5-0 in their second match of group play Tuesday. Colombia downed the DR Congo 1-0 in their second group play match of the World Cup in their previous match Tuesday. This marks the first time that the two sides have met in World Cup play. Let’s break down this Portugal vs. Colombia matchup.

Don’t forget to check out all the World Cup odds as the tournament progresses!

Portugal Seeking to Snare Top Spot in Group K

Portugal in the World Cup

In 2026, Portugal makes their ninth all-time appearance in the World Cup and their seventh straight here. The last time they missed was back in 1998. Portugal has an all-time record of 18 victories, seven draws and 12 defeats in World Cup action entering this match. The Seleção das Quinas entered World Cup play ranked fifth in the FIFA world rankings. Portugal has one win, one draw and no losses in group play. They are second in the group. A win here gives them the top spot while a draw ensures they finish second and advance to the knockout rounds.

Portugal Last Match

Portugal rebounded from a disappointing draw to the DR Congo by dropping the hammer on Uzbekistan in their previous matchup. The Seleção das Quinas owned a two-to-one advantage in terms of possession in the match. In addition, they dominated in expected goals (2.61 to 0.24) and shots on goal (9-2) in the match. Portugal took command in the match early and didn’t look back. Cristiano Ronaldo opened the scoring in the sixth minute on a volley. João Cancelo drew the assist on that goal. Nuno Mendes made it a 2-0 game in the 17th minute off a free kick. Shortly after an Uzbekistan goal was taken off the board after a VAR review, Ronaldo scored his second goal of the match in the 39th minute for a 3-0 lead. Bruno Fernandes drew the assist on that goal.

With a three-goal lead at the half, Portugal didn’t lie back. They instead pushed the pace and it paid off once again. Off a corner kick, Uzbekistan goalkeeper Abduvohid Nematov scored an own goal in the 60th minute to give Portugal a 4-0 advantage. Rafael Leão closed the scoring in the 87th minute to secure Portugal’s triumph. Diogo Costa projects as the starting goalkeeper for Portugal as he makes his eighth career World Cup start. He has a record of four wins, one draw and two losses with two clean sheets on the books.

Colombia Ready for Knockout Stages

Colombia in the World Cup

In 2026, Colombia makes their seventh World Cup appearance all-time and return to the field after missing in 2022. Los Cafeteros own an all-time record of 11 wins, three draws and 10 losses in World Cup play. Colombia entered the World Cup ranked 13th in the FIFA world rankings. Los Cafeteros enter this match with two wins, no draws and no losses in group play. They clinched a spot in the knockout round. A victory or draw here secures the top spot in the group.

Colombia Last Match

Colombia was in a defensive struggle in their match with the DR Congo but tallied the lone goal in the contest. That proved to be enough to earn the victory. Los Cafeteros owned a near two-to-one advantage in terms of possession in the win. In addition, Colombia won the expected goals by a 0.98 to 0.37 margin and dominated the shots on goal by a 9-1 margin. Colombia had a couple of chances right out of the gate, including a goal waved off for offside by a VAR review in the sixth minute. They had other opportunities but wound up scoreless at the half.

In the second half, Colombia kept pressuring and finally managed to break through with the match’s first goal. Daniel Muñoz scored in the 76th minute off a beautiful feed from Juan Fernando Quintero. That gave Los Cafeteros a 1-0 advantage. Colombia turned the heat up from there and had two goals in the next four minutes disallowed. One came off the board for a foul, the other for an offsides call. Camilo Vargas made a big stop late to secure the win. He projects between the sticks as he makes his third World Cup appearance. Vargas has a record of two wins, no draws and no losses with one clean sheet on the ledger.

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Portugal vs. Colombia Prediction

These two sides are primed to move on to the knockout stages. Colombia seals the top spot in the group with a win or draw. Meanwhile, Portugal needs a win here to earn the top seed, though barring a complete meltdown, they’re advancing. With that in mind, playing a little more conservative is a sound strategy. Colombia shoots to make things difficult for Portugal offensively here and, knowing that a draw is all they need to advance. The best bet here is to back Colombia to win or draw, aka the double chance, in this one.

Our Prediction: Colombia Double Chance (FanDuel, -115)

By the same token, each side knows that a draw takes care of things and sends each team to the knockouts. Portugal can advance with the draw while Colombia locks down the top spot in the group with the win or draw. Each side may play it a little closer to the vest to avoid any potential yellow card accumulation issues. It could also lead to substitutions in order to keep guys fresh for the knockout stages. Therefore, taking the draw here is the smart play.

Our Prediction: Draw (DraftKings, +280)

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