Morocco vs. Germany Odds, Picks & Predictions - 06/29
After all the hoopla and the run up, Day 2 of the knockout stages of the 2026 World Cup continues with a matchup as Morocco takes on the Netherlands Monday night and we have you covered with our Morocco vs. the Netherlands prediction. Morocco beat Haiti 4-2 in their group stage finale Wednesday in their previous match. The Netherlands dropped Tunisia 3-1 in their group stage finale Thursday in their previous match. These sides have met just once previously in World Cup play, a 2-1 win for the Netherlands in a Group F matchup on June 29, 1994.
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Morocco Seeking to Earn Berth in Round of 16
Morocco in the World Cup
In 2026, Morocco makes their seventh World Cup appearance and their third consecutive showing in the field. The Atlas Lions own a record of seven wins, eight draws and 11 losses in World Cup action. Morocco enters this match ranked seventh in the latest FIFA rankings. The Atlas Lions finished group play with a record of two wins, one draw and no losses. Morocco finished tied with Brazil for the top spot in Group C though Brazil took the top spot on goal differential. They were the first African team to make the semifinals of the World Cup in 2022.
Morocco Last Match
Morocco got more than they bargained for from Haiti in their group finale but managed to earn the victory. The Atlas Lions owned a massive 69% to 31% advantage in terms of possession in the match. Meanwhile, Morocco dominated in terms of expected goals (3.76 to 0.67) and shots on goal (11-2) in the contest. Still, the Atlas Lions found themselves trailing on a Yassine Bounou own goal in the 10th minute of play. After a couple near misses, Morocco tied the score in the 39th minute on a goal by Achraf Hakimi. That didn’t hold for long as Haiti regained the lead in the 43rd minute. Undeterred, Ismael Saibari scored in the first minute of extra time to knot the score at two at the half.
In the second half, Morocco saw the teams play complacent through the hydration break. After a flurry of substitutions for both sides, Soufiane Rahimi gave Morocco a 3-2 lead in the 78th minute. Chadi Riad drew the assist on that goal. Maintaining their pressure, Gessime Yassine scored in the 89th minute to give the Atlas Lions a 4-2 advantage. Rahimi assisted on that goal. That was the final goal of the match, sending Morocco to the win. Yassine Bounou, who was between the sticks for Morocco’s 2022 run, projects to start in net. He makes his ninth appearance here, posting a 4-3-2 mark. In addition, Bounou recorded four clean sheets.
Netherlands Looking to Stay Hot
Netherlands in the World Cup
In 2026, Oranje made their 12th all-time appearance in World Cup play and their second straight showing in the field. The Netherlands own an all-time record of 32 wins, 15 draws and 11 losses in World Cup play. Oranje is still seeking their first World Cup title, having finished as the runner-up on three occasions. The Netherlands entered the World Cup ranked eighth in the FIFA rankings. Oranje finished group play with a record of two wins, one draw and no losses. They earned the top spot in Group F and outscored the opposition by a 10-4 margin in group play.
Netherlands Last Match
Against Tunisia, the Netherlands took advantage of a side that was playing for nothing but pride and earned the victory. Oranje controlled the possession in the match by a 71% to 29% margin. In addition, the Netherlands controlled expected goals by 1.84 to 0.62 margin and finished with a 7-4 advantage in shots on goal in the match. Oranje struck early as an own goal off the foot of Tunisia’s Ellyes Skhiri in the third minute gave them the advantage. Not long after, Brian Brobbey made it a 2-0 score in the seventh minute. Virgil Van Dijk assisted on the goal. That was the score at halftime.
Early in the second half, the Netherlands struggled to get going and it cost them. Tunisia scored in the 54th minute to narrow the margin to 2-1. Oranje got that goal back in the 62nd minute when Jan Paul van Hecke scored on a header. Tijjani Reijnders drew the assist on that goal to give the Netherlands a 3-1 advantage. Reijnders hit the crossbar in the 66th minute and missed another chance in the 69th minute before being subbed out. The Netherlands held Tunisia at bay the rest of the way to earn the win. Bart Verbruggen makes his fourth career World Cup appearance in this contest. He’s still seeking his first clean sheet in the World Cup.
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days Morocco vs. Netherlands PredictionBoth sides tend to be more defensively oriented. Now, looking at their recent group play matches might make one think differently as Morocco scored six goals in group play. Meanwhile, the Netherlands scored 10 goals in group play. Still, these sides, with so much at stake, are likely to play conservatively and wait for the other to make a mistake. Oranje has the ability to shut down opposing sides though Verbruggen needs a better showing. Morocco is good at holding teams down, as we saw them limit a powerful Brazil squad to a single goal. Take the under in this contest as a result.
Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals (BetMGM, -145)
As we said, both teams are likely to be conservative. Oranje hasn’t lost a match in regulation in the World Cup in 15 matches, dating back to 2010 when they lost the final to Spain. Meanwhile, Morocco doesn’t lose in international fixtures very often either. This match likely takes extra time, if not penalty kicks, to determine a winner. As a result, take the draw at the end of regulation in this one.
Our Prediction: Draw (DraftKings, +210)
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