Ghana vs. Croatia Odds, Picks & Predictions - Group L, 06/27
After all the hoopla and the run up, the 2026 World Cup continues their third round of group play games with a Group L matchup as Ghana takes on Croatia Saturday afternoon and we have you covered with our Ghana vs. Croatia prediction. Ghana battled England to a scoreless draw in the second round of group play in their previous match Tuesday. Croatia slipped past Panama 1-0 in their second round of group play in their previous match Tuesday. This marks the first time that the two sides have met in World Cup action. Let’s break down this Ghana vs. Croatia matchup.
Don’t forget to check out all the World Cup odds as the tournament progresses!
Ghana Looking to Advance to Round of 32
Ghana in the World Cup
In 2026, Ghana makes their fifth World Cup appearance and their second consecutive here. The Black Stars enter this match owning a record of six victories, four draws and seven losses in World Cup play. Ghana entered the World Cup ranked 73rd in the FIFA world rankings, a one-spot jump from the previous rankings. The Black Stars own a record of one win, one draw and no losses in the group. They are tied for the top spot with England though the Three Lions own the advantage on goal differential. In group play, Ghana beat Panama 1-0 before drawing England in their previous match. A win or draw secures their spot in the round of 32.
Ghana Last Match
Ghana was in a defensive struggle with England in their previous match and their work in that end of the field secured a point. The Black Stars lost possession by a massive four-to-one margin in the contest. In addition, Ghana lost the expected goals by a 1.30 to 0.17 margin and the shots on goal by a 3-1 margin in the match. In the first half, neither side had much in the way of offensive threats and the teams went to the half scoreless.
The second half at least saw opportunities. Ghana’s best effort came in the 79th minute but Prince Adu’s shot was handled. The Black Stars nearly surrendered the go-ahead goal in stoppage time but managed to avoid disaster. Kojo Peprah Oppong cleared the ball off the goal line in the 94th minute. That came shortly after Nico O’Reilly hit the bar in the 89th minute. Ghana fortunately came away with the draw as a result. Benjamin Asare makes his third World Cup appearance between the sticks here for Ghana. He has a record of one win and one draw with a pair of clean sheets to his credit in World Cup play.
Croatia Trying to Secure Their Place in Knockout Rounds
Croatia in the World Cup
In 2026, Croatia makes their seventh World Cup appearance overall and their fourth consecutive here. The Vatreni hold an all-time record of 14 wins, eight draws and 10 losses in World Cup action. They look to follow up their recent runs after finishing as the runner-up in 2018 and in third p\ace in 2022. Croatia entered the World Cup ranked 11th in the latest FIFA world rankings. The Vatreni fell 4-2 to England in their opener before beating Panama. That gave them a record of one win, no draws and one loss in group play. They are third in Group L as a win here puts them in the knockout round while a draw likely gets them in as one of the better third-place sides.
Croatia Last Match
Croatia had their struggles against Panama in their previous match but managed to come up with the offense necessary to earn the victory. The Vatreni owned a 58% to 42% advantage in terms of possession in the match. Croatia had a massive 1.65 to 0.55 margin in expected goals despite owning just a 2-1 edge in shots on goal in the match. The Vatreni didn't do much in the opening half and went to halftime scoreless. Their best chance came in the first minute of extra time but the shot was turned aside by Panama goalkeeper Orlando Mosquera.
In the second half, Croatia played better coming out of the break and that helped them pull out the win. Ante Budimir scored in the 54th minute of play off an assist from Josip Stanisic to give the Vatreni a 1-0 advantage. Croatia nearly added another goal three minutes later but Marco Pasalic couldn’t beat Mosquera. The Vatreni held off Panama’s attempts to equalize and came away with a victory. Meanwhile, the loss eliminated Panama from contention. Dominik Livaković makes his 10th career start between the sticks for Croatia in World Cup p\ay here. He has a record of three wins, four draws and two losses with three clean sheets to his credit.
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Croatia is the better side of the two here and they have better depth to lean on in this match. With that said, Ghana knows that a draw gets them through to the round of 32 without issue. We saw the Black Stars stymie England’s high-octane attack. Just three of the 19 shots attempted by the Three Lions were actually on target in that match as Ghana held England scoreless. Meanwhile, Ghana hasn’t surrendered a goal in their two matches. With the way the Black Stars play defensively and Croatia up and down, playing the draw is the best option here.
Our Prediction: Draw (DraftKings, +230)
Expecting a ton of offensive production in this match is foolhardy. While Croatia surrendered four goals to England in their first group play match, they don’t face an attack like that here. Ghana allowed zero goals in their first two matches while having just one of their own to their credit. The likelihood of a scoreless or 1-1 draw in this match is relatively high. Taking the under in this match is a sound option here as the teams are conservative.
Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals (BetMGM, -160)
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