FIFA World Cup Same Game Parlay Today 07/05: Kane Scores for England, Match Goes Over the Total
After all the hoopla and the run up, day 2 of the round of 16 of the knockout stages of the 2026 World Cup comes to a close with a matchup as England takes on Mexico Sunday night and we have you covered with our England vs. Mexico prediction. England defeated DR Congo 2-1 in their round of 32 matchup Wednesday in their previous match. Mexico beat Ecuador 2-0 in their round of 32 clash in their previous match Tuesday to advance. Let’s break down this England vs. Mexico matchup.
The two sides have met in World Cup action just once previously, with England taking a 2-0 victory in a Group 1 matchup on July 16, 1966. Don’t forget to check out all the World Cup odds as the tournament progresses!
FIFA World Cup Same Game Parlay Picks (+355, DraftKings)
- Harry Kane Anytime Goal Scorer
- Over 2.5 Goals
- Both Teams to Score – Yes
England hopes that history repeats itself here. The Three Lions beat Mexico in a group match in 1966 en route to their lone World Cup title. They face a stiff challenge here as they have to contend with El Tri playing in their home stadium, Estadio Azteca. Mexico has a fantastic record there since the stadium opened in 1966 with 70 wins, 17 draws and two losses. At 7220 feet, the elevation can take a toll on anyone and that’s something that England manager Thomas Tuchel has expressed concern about already. That’s going to be a major factor in this match as it could wear England’s players down in the match.
Kane Prime Suspect to Score for Three Lions
Harry Kane is a scoring threat for England no matter who the opponent is in this tournament. He has five goals in the four World Cup matches for the Three Lions this year. That puts him tied for third in goals with Norway’s Erling Haaland in the race for the Golden Boot. They are two back of Argentina’s Lionel Messi and France’s Kylian Mbappé for the top spot. In 118 career appearances for the national team, Kane has scored 84 goals. In addition, he has 13 goals and three assists in 15 World Cup appearances. He’s as dangerous a scoring threat as Haaland, Messi or Mbappé. Look for Kane to add another goal to his ledger by tallying here.
Match to Wind Up Over the Number
Mexico hasn’t conceded a goal in four matches in this World Cup but they face a team that is dangerous. England is averaging 2.13 expected goals per match, which puts them sixth overall in the field and fourth among remaining squads. The Three Lions are going to push with Kane, Bellingham and Bukayo Saka among others. Mexico is freewheeling more since they’ve injected Gilberto Mora into the midfield. El Tri continues to be aggressive to try and wear England down. This match ends up as a 2-1 type of match, pushing over the total.
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While Mexico has yet to concede a goal, they’re dealing with an England side that is one of the best remaining offensive sides in the field. El Tri has been a wide-open side of late and isn’t afraid to run with England. Mexico has the advantage of being used to playing at elevation and can feed off the fans as well. The Three Lions can push Mexico and make things interesting with their stars leading the way. Since we’re projecting the match to wind up over the total and it’s unlikely to see one team score three goals, we’re banking on both teams scoring here.
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