England vs. Argentina Odds, Picks & Predictions - Semifinals, July 15

We’ve reached the semifinals of the 2026 World Cup and they kick off with a marquee matchup as England takes on Argentina Wednesday afternoon and we have you covered with our England vs. Argentina prediction. England downed Norway 2-1 in extra time in their quarterfinal tilt Saturday in their previous match. Argentina dropped Switzerland 3-1 in their quarterfinal clash Saturday in their previous match.

These sides have met five times previously in World Cup play with England owning a record of three wins, one draw and one loss in those contests. That includes a 1-0 win for the Three Lions in a Group F matchup of the 2002 World Cup on June 7, 2002. Don’t forget to check out all the World Cup odds as the tournament progresses!

England Primed to Reach Title Match

England in the World Cup

In 2026, England logs their 17th World Cup appearance and their eighth straight as they take the pitch here. They last missed the World Cup back in 1994. The Three Lions own a record of 37 wins, 23 draws and 20 losses in World Cup play entering this contest. England went into the World Cup ranked fourth in the FIFA world rankings. The Three Lions finished with seven points and atop Group L to advance to the knockout stages of the tournament.

England Last Match

Against Norway, England overcame Erling Haaland and needing extra time to earn the victory. The Three Lions owned a narrow edge in terms of possession by a 52% to 48% margin in the match. In addition, England held a 1.04 to 0.68 margin in terms of expected goals while recording an 8-4 advantage in shots on goal in the match. After the teams traded chances, it was Andreas Schjelderup giving Norway a 1-0 advantage in the 36th minute off a feed from Martin Ødegaard. England got the equalizer in the second minute of extra time as Jude Bellingham leveled the score. Anthony Gordon drew the assist on the goal and the teams went to the half even at one.

In the second half, England nearly went down 2-1 in the 55th minute but caught a break when Haaland was called for a foul. That kept the score level at one. The Three Lions saw Norway hit the bar in the 76th minute. Bukayo Saka had England’s best chance in the 87th minute but came up empty. As a result, the match was even at the end of regulation, prompting extra time. After Kane was stopped in the 92nd minute, Bellingham gave England a 2-1 lead in the 93rd minute. The Three Lions kept the pressure up and Norway at bay to preserve the win and advance to the semifinals. Jordan Pickford projects for his 19th start in World Cup play here. He owns a record of 12 wins, two draws and four losses in those contests. In addition, Pickford has five clean sheets in those outings.

Jarell Quansah is in line to miss this match as he serves the second game of a two-game suspension after earning a red card against Mexico. Make sure you keep track of England’s World Cup odds throughout the knockout rounds.

Argentina Hoping to Maintain Shot at Title Defense

Argentina in the World Cup

In 2026, Argentina makes their 19th World Cup appearance here and their 14th consecutive, dating back to 1974. La Albiceleste seeks to defend their championship after winning in 2022. Argentina owns a record of 53 wins, 17 draws and 24 losses in World Cup play. La Albiceleste is the top-ranked team in the FIFA rankings entering the World Cup. In group play, Argentina finished with a perfect record of three wins, no draws and no losses to easily win Group J.

Argentina Last Match

Argentina needed extra time but broke through to take down Switzerland in a tough quarterfinal clash. La Albiceleste dominated possession by a 59% to 41% margin in the match. In addition, Argentina held a 1.94 to 0.47 margin in terms of expected goals while owning a 7-5 advantage in terms of shots on goal in the match. Alexis Mac Allister opened the scoring with a header in the 10th minute of play off a feed from Lionel Messi. That proved to be the lone marker in the first half so La Albiceleste owned a 1-0 advantage at halftime.

In the second half, Argentina gave up the tying goal in the 67th minute. La Albiceleste did catch a break when Switzerland’s Breel Embolo earned a red card in the 72nd minute. That left the Nati with 10 men for the rest of the match. Messi had a couple chances but couldn’t beat Gregor Kobel. Neither could Lisandro Martinez, sending the match to extra time even at one. In extra time, Julián Álvarez gave Argentina a 2-1 lead in the 112th minute off an assist from José Manuel López. Lautaro Martínez made it a 3-1 advantage with his goal in the 121st minute of play to close the scoring.

Emiliano Martinez makes his 14th career World Cup start between the sticks in this contest. He has a record of 10 wins, two draws and one loss with five clean sheets on his ledger. Make sure you keep track of the Argentina World Cup odds as they progress through the tournament.

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England vs. Argentina Predictions

England to Advance (DraftKings, -120)

Argentina has to consider itself fortunate to be here. La Albiceleste struggled to get past Cape Verde and then trailed Egypt 2-0 late before rallying. It took extra time and the fact that Switzerland was a man down for Argentina to prevail in the quarterfinals. England played well so far, bouncing back from a scoreless draw against Ghana in the group stage to reel off four straight wins. The Three Lions have the advantage in depth as Thomas Tuchel can change the way his side plays via substitutions. Meanwhile, Argentina has relied heavily on Messi and it’s bound to take a toll on him. As a result, give the edge to England as they pursue their first title since 1966.

Over 2.5 Goals (Betr, +135)

Entering this match, England scored 13 goals while conceding six. That gives them an average of 3.17 goals per game in the tournament. The Three Lions were blanked in the draw with Ghana but scored at least twice in each of their other five matches. In addition, if you throw the Ghana match out, their average total is 3.80 goals per match in the other five matches. On the flip side, Brazil scored 17 goals while conceding six entering this match. That gives La Albiceleste an average of 3.83 goals per match entering this one. Brazil has scored at least three goals in five of their six matches and twice in the other match. This one goes over the number rather easily.

Both Teams to Score (FanDuel, -122)

We talked about how both teams are productive offensively in this tournament. Both teams scored in four of England’s six matches entering this match. Meanwhile, Brazil has had both teams score in four of their six matches as well. La Albiceleste posted clean sheets in their first two matches but has conceded goals in each of their last four matches. That includes surrendering a pair of goals in two of their contests. Pickford has been shaky at times and we’ve seen Brazil break down defensively in recent matches. Take both teams to find the net in this contest.