Egypt vs. Australia Odds, Picks & Predictions 1/32, July 3
After all the hoopla and the run up, the sixth and final day of the knockout stages of the 2026 World Cup opens with a matchup as Egypt takes on Australia Friday afternoon and we have you covered with our Egypt vs. Australia prediction. Egypt closed group play with a 1-1 draw with Iran Saturday night in their previous contest. Australia drew Paraguay 0-0 in their group play finale their last time out Friday. This marks the first time that the two sides have met in World Cup play. Let’s break down this Egypt vs. Australia matchup.
Don’t forget to check out all the World Cup odds as the tournament progresses!
Egypt Seeking to Punch Ticket to Round of 16
Egypt in the World Cup
In 2026, Egypt makes their fourth appearance in World Cup play and their first since 2018. The Pharaohs earned their first World Cup victory in group play as they downed New Zealand 3-1 June 21Egypt is 29th in the FIFA world rankings entering the World Cup. They finished group play with a record of one win, two draws and no losses. That put the Pharaohs tied with Belgium for the top spot in Group G with five points but Belgium earned the top spot on a better goal differential (+4 to +2) in those matches. All-time, Egypt has a record of one win, four draws and five losses in World Cup play.
Egypt Last Match
Against Iran, Egypt played rather conservatively and it ended up earning them a draw instead of a victory. The Pharoahs owned a 61% to 39% advantage in terms in possession in the match. In addition, Egypt lost the expected goals by a 1.97 to 0.84 margin while falling 4-3 in terms of shots on goal. Egypt struck early on the match as Mahmoud Saber tallied in the fifth minute to take a 1-0 advantage. Trézéguet drew the assist on that goal. The Pharaohs conceded a penalty kick in the ninth minute but stopped Iran from tying the score. Iran ended up tying the match in the 14th minute. A flurry of yellow cards followed but the match was even at one at the half.
In the second half, Egypt had a couple chances early but had to hang on for dear life late to earn the draw. The Pharoahs gave up a shot that hit the post in the 89th minute. In addition, they gave up what appeared to be the go-ahead goal in the 93rd minute only to earn a reprieve as a VAR review determined that Iran was offside. Egypt survived one final flurry by Iran, who hit the crossbar in the 97th minute, to earn the draw, which sent them to the knockout stages and left Iran going home. Mostafa Shobeir started all three matches in group play. Look for him to be the keeper once again for the Pharaohs.
Australia Look to Survive and Advance
Australia in the World Cup
In 2026, Australia qualified for their seventh World Cup appearance overall and their sixth consecutive showing. The Socceroos own an all-time World Cup record of five victories, five draws and 13 losses. Australia entered the World Cup ranked 27th in the FIFA world rankings. The Socceroos finished group play with a record of one win, one draw and one loss for four points. They finished tied with Paraguay for second but earned the spot based on a better goal differential (even vs. -2) between the two teams.
Australia Last Match
Against Paraguay, Australia played a defensive match, which coupled with Paraguay’s tendencies, led to a match without any goals to speak of. As a result, both sides ended up advancing to the knockout stages. Australia owned a 56% to 44% advantage in terms of possession in the contest. In addition, the Socceroos held a 0.55 to 0.24 advantage in terms of expected goals and a 5-2 advantage in shots on goal in the match. In the first half, Australia had a couple of decent chances right before the halftime break but the match remained scoreless.
The second half saw much of the same with limited opportunities for either side. Australia saw Paraguay turn up the pressure though there weren’t many serious scoring chances for either side. Both teams traded opportunities in stoppage time. Paraguay was stopped on a chance in the 93rd minute by Australian keeper Patrick Beach. Meanwhile, Australia had an opportunity in the 94th minute but could beat Orlando Gill. Shortly, thereafter, the match had its final whistle and went down as a scoreless draw. Beach makes his fourth career World Cup appearance here. He has a record of one win, one draw and one loss while recording two clean sheets in those matches.
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Let’s be perfectly blunt here. Offense isn’t the name of the game for either side here. Australia saw five of their last 11 matches end with just one total goal on the board. Five straight haven’t seen more than two goals on the board. Egypt has seen two goals or less in four of their last six matches and scored one goal or fewer in five of those. Expecting much more than that here is foolhardy. Playing the under is the safe play. You can potentially play under 1.5 goals at plus money but taking the under 2.5 gives you the cushion if the match is 1-1 going to penalties.
Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals (FanDuel, -160)
In a low-scoring affair, anything involving a scoring threat is a dart throw. If one is going to take a shot on someone, backing Mohamed Salah is a solid option. He has one goal and two assists with seven shots (three on goal) in the group stage. That gives him a hand in three of Egypt’s five goals in group play. Salah is a primary option in terms of taking penalties for the Pharaohs and he is also a factor in free kick situations. If Egypt finds the back of the net, expect him to be involved in some form or fashion.
Our Prediction: Mohamed Salah To Score or Assist (FanDuel, +115)
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Egypt vs. Australia Odds, Picks & Predictions 1/32, July 3
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