Egypt vs. Argentina Odds, Picks & Predictions 1/16, July 7
After all the hoopla and the run up, the fourth and final day of the round of 16 of the knockout stages of the 2026 World Cup kicks off with a matchup as Egypt takes on Argentina Tuesday afternoon and we have you covered with our Egypt vs. Argentina prediction. Egypt beat Australia 4-2 on penalties after playing to a 1-1 draw after extra time Friday in their round of 32 matchup in their previous contest. Argentina downed Cape Verde 3-2 after extra time in their round of 32 clash their last time out Friday. Let’s break down this Egypt vs. Argentina matchup.
This marks the first time that the two sides have met in World Cup play. Don’t forget to check out all the World Cup odds as the tournament progresses!
Egypt Seeking to Punch Ticket to Quarterfinals
Egypt in the World Cup
In 2026, Egypt makes their fourth appearance in World Cup play and their first since 2018. The Pharaohs earned their first World Cup victory in group play in this tournament. Egypt is 29th in the FIFA world rankings entering the World Cup. They finished group play with a record of one win, two draws and no losses. They were tied with Belgium for the top spot in Group G but Belgium earned the top spot on a better goal differential. All-time, Egypt has a record of one win, five draws and five losses in World Cup play.
Egypt Last Match
Against Australia, 120 minutes wasn’t enough to determine a winner so it took penalties for Egypt to prevail. The Pharoahs owned a 58% to 42% advantage in terms in possession in the match. In addition, Egypt won the expected goals by a 1.32 to 0.84 margin while owning a 3-1 edge in terms of shots on goal. Egypt got off to a fast start. After surviving a shot off the bar by Australia in the fifth minute, Emam Ashour scored on a header in the 13th minute off a feed from Karim Hafez to give the Pharoahs the advantage. That proved to be the margin at halftime as neither side posed a serious scoring threat from there.
In the second half, Egypt narrowly missed a chance early as Omar Marmoush slammed a shot off the post in the 46th minute. That proved costly when Mohamed Hany directed a header into his own net in the 53rd minute for his second own goal of the tournament. The goal tied the score at one. Egypt had a couple good scoring chances in stoppage time but came up empty, leaving the match even at the end of regulation. Both sides were relatively passive during extra time, sending the match to penalties.
In the penalties, Egypt converted each of their four attempts while Australia misfired on their first and fourth attempts. Hossam Abdelmaguid’s tally in the fourth round gave Egypt their first-ever knockout round win in the World Cup. Mostafa Shobeir started all four matches between the sticks and projects as the keeper again here.
Argentina Looking to Continue Title Defense
Argentina in the World Cup
In 2026, Argentina makes their 19th World Cup appearance here and their 14th consecutive, dating back to 1974. La Albiceleste seeks to defend their championship after winning in 2022. Argentina owns a record of 51 wins, 17 draws and 24 losses in World Cup play. La Albiceleste is the top-ranked team in the FIFA rankings entering the World Cup. Argentina finished group play with a perfect record of three wins, no draws and no losses to easily win Group J.
Argentina Last Match
On Friday, Argentina took care of business against Cape Verde though it was more difficult than expected in their round of 32 matchup. La Albiceleste dominated possession by a 64% to 36% margin in the match. In addition, Argentina held a 2.26 to 0.47 margin in terms of expected goals while owning a 10-5 advantage in terms of shots on goal in the match. After a slow start, Lionel Messi gave Argentina the lead in the 29th minute as he scored off a feed from Lisandro Martínez. That proved to be the lone goal in the opening half of play.
In the second half, Argentina came up empty on a couple chances early and Cape Verde made them pay. Cape Verde scored the equalizer in the 59th minute of play. Argentina turned up the pressure the rest of the second half but couldn’t beat Vozinha, sending the match to extra time even at one. Martínez gave Argentina a 2-1 advantage in the 92nd minute off an assist from Alexis Mac Allister. The lead was short-lived as Cape Verde scored the equalizer in the 103rd minute, setting the match level again. As it turned out, an own goal by Cape Verde’s Diney Borges proved to be the decisive goal. Argentina hung on with a couple key saves down the stretch by Emiliano Martinez to secure the win.
Martinez makes his 12th career World Cup start between the sticks in this contest. He has a record of eight wins, two draws and one loss with five clean sheets on his ledger. Make sure you keep track of the Argentina World Cup odds as they progress through the tournament.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win Egypt vs. Argentina Predictions
Argentina -1.5 (FanDuel, +110)
Give Egypt credit for knocking off Australia on penalties in the round of 32. The Pharoahs earned their first knockout round win in their history but now have to face the top team in the world. Granted, Argentina had their hands full with Cape Verde and that may take a bit of a toll. Messi played 120 minutes in the match against Cape Verde and that may take a toll on his stamina. In the end, La Albiceleste is the better side and they have the talent advantage. Argentina learns from the Cape Verde match and their experience carries them to victory.
Over 2.5 Goals (Betr, -103)
We know Argentina can score goals with Messi and Martínez leading the way. La Albiceleste has nine goals to their credit in their four matches in the World Cup at this point. They have the firepower to take advantage of a weakened Egypt defense group. Meanwhile, Egypt has six goals in their four matches and has scored at least once in each of their matches. If Argentina jumps in front early, it makes Egypt be more aggressive offensively, which creates more scoring opportunities. As a result, this one goes over the number.
Emam Ashour Anytime Goal Scorer (FanDuel, +1000)
While one can chase Messi here, the fact that he comes off at -155 or worse is a lot of juice to give up on a wager like that. That’s doubly so when you consider the fact that he logged 120 minutes against Cape Verde. Instead, we’ll back Ashour, who is a solid scoring threat for Egypt. He has two goals, 10 shot attempts and two shots on target in the four matches. Ashour gets a shot at a La Albiceleste defense that was exploited by Cape Verde. He could find the net here and with solid p\us money behind it, it’s a solid play.
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Egypt vs. Argentina Odds, Picks & Predictions 1/16, July 7
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