Christmas Eve SGP Strategy: Bengals At Patriots NFL Week 16

Written By Derek Wagner on December 24, 2022
sgp

The Cincinnati Bengals (10-4) visit the New England Patriots (7-7) at 1:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, Dec. 24. The Bengals are spread favorites and on the moneyline. The point total is set at points. This article will go over Bengals at Patriots same game parlay strategy, including general SGP pointers and game specific picks.

BENGALS AT PATRIOTS SAME GAME PARLAY STRATEGY

When piecing together same game parlays, it’s important to choose legs that correlate with one another. Certain outcomes increase the probability of other legs cashing and will boost your mathematical probability of cashing your parlay. For example, betting Bengals -3.5 and under their 22.5 team total comes out to a juicy +525, but those legs conflict.

Instead, if you want to take Bengals -3.5, it’s best to pair with over their team total, but the price for that is only +150. In order to satisfy odds requirements, adding an anytime touchdown scorer would be an option to consider. The Patriots have allowed the second-most touchdowns (9) to the tight end position this season.

If Hayden Hurst is unable to play in this matchup due to his calf injury, consider adding Mitchell Wilcox anytime touchdown score to get the odds up. Wilcox was on the field for 91% of the team’s offensive snaps against the Buccaneers in Week 15 and caught a touchdown pass. For reference, he was priced around +400 or higher in some spots for an anytime touchdown in Week 15.

Since FanDuel’s SGP insurance requires four legs add in a Bengals alternate line shorter than the -3.5 you already have in your parlay. FD currently allows bettors to do this and, while it doesn’t change the odds, a Bengals -2.5 automatically wins if the -3.5 does.

Another SGP Strategy from Brett Gibbons

Books are offering +EV plays taking the Bengals moneyline at -155 (-3 spread conversion suggests a line around -164). Although the juice isn’t exciting by itself, it’s a strong leg to include in the SGP. The Bengals are 9-0 when they score more than 21 points and 1-4 when they’re held to fewer than 22 points, so adding over Bengals team total of 21.5 is a strong pairing with their moneyline leg. Conversely, if you’re taking the Patriots to win outright, you should include the Bengals under 21.5 points since there’s such a strong correlation on the season.

To satisfy minimum leg and odds requirements, the Patriots have allowed the fewest touchdowns to receivers on the season, which extends Ja’Marr Chase’s TD props to plus money (+115). However, only Keenan Allen has seen more Red Zone targets over the past few weeks than Chase (eight). He’s also found pay dirt in each of the last two games.

Conversely, the Patriots have allowed the third-most TDs to the tight end position, but Hayden Hurst has been in and out of lineups and has zero targets inside the 10 yard line over the last five weeks. So, I’m making Chase anytime TD as my final leg here.

NFL Christmas Eve SAME GAME PARLAY PROMOS

FanDuel Sportsbook Same Game Parlay Insurance

Place a 4+ leg SGP at FanDuel Sportsbook and if it settles as a loss, you’ll be refunded in free bets! The amount varies and will be listed for you under the promos section in your app. Minimum $25 SGP and minimum +400 odds are required to be eligible for this promo. However, it’s not limited to new users – existing players can take advantage of this bet insurance, as well. Simply select the SGP insurance under the promos tab.

BetMGM Risk-Free One Game Parlay

BetMGM offers a risk-free one game parlay up to $25 with their current SGP promo. To be eligible, opt-in under the Promos, then place a four-leg or longer SGP (max. 10 legs), and if your parlay fails by one leg, BetMGM will refund it in free bets. Visit the BetMGM promotions tab to view all eligibility requirements. If you don’t have a BetMGM account, now is a great time to create one and lock in this fantastic offer.

DraftKings Sportsbook SGP Profit Boost

Visit the promos section on DraftKings Sportsbook to claim this bonus. Once there, click the opt-in button and the promotion will be activated. All users receive up to 100% profit boost token for a SGP with 3+ legs with a max wager of $50.

The minimum odds per leg are -300 or longer (-200, +300, etc). The minimum total SGP odds of +100 or longer (+300, +600 etc). The more legs added, the higher percentage profit boost will be.

  • Join our NFL Discord channel to receive an immediate notification when any of our staff members places a bet. Sign up under the #roles server and join our growing community of more than 4,000 sports fans.

Bengals at Patriots Player Props

Search for a player in our NFL Player Props Search tool below by typing their name in the search bar. To place a bet, simply click on the odds in the table.

Bengals vs. Patriots Injury Report, Offense vs. Defense Stats

Head over to our Bengals at Patriots preview for the injury report on both sides, along with offense vs. defense matchup stats.

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