SEC Tournament Preview: Kentucky Or Auburn The Best Value?

Written By Staff on March 9, 2022
2022 SEC Tournament odds

The SEC has reigned supreme over most college basketball conferences. Auburn emerged as a legitimate Final Four contender, and perennial powerhouse Kentucky returned to the elite tier of college basketball rankings. That makes 2022 SEC Tournament odds are more intriguing than ever.

Below, we will take a look at the field, TV schedule, bracket, and metrics in hopes of unearthing betting value.

2022 SEC Tournament Odds

Here is the SEC men’s bracket. The top-four seeds earn a double bye into the quarterfinals.

Game
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
Kentucky
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+190
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+190
Auburn
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+260
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+260
Tennessee
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+330
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+350
Arkansas
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+750
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+800
LSU
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+1000
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+1000
Alabama
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+1500
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+1800
Florida
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+4000
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+4000
Miss St.
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+5000
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+4000
Texas A&M
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+7000
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+7500
South Carolina
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+10000
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+10000
Vanderbilt
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+25000
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+10000
Georgia
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+50000
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+25000
Ole Miss
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+50000
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+20000
Missouri
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+50000
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+25000

More College Basketball Conference Tournament Previews

SEC Tournament Preview

Key Players to Watch 

The 2022 SEC tournament will feature many of the top players in the country. A great place to start is with No. 1 seed Auburn.

The Tigers front court is arguably the best in the nation. Leading the way for the Tigers is potential 2022 NBA Draft No. 1 overall pick and 6’9″ freshman forward Jabari Smith. In the 2021-22 regular season, Smith put up an impressive 17 points per game, in addition to seven rebounds and two assists. Jabari is the heart and soul of this Auburn team, and it is likely that the Tigers’ SEC fate will be decided upon his offensive production.

Alongside Smith in the front court is Forward Walker Kessler. Kessler averaged nearly 12 points per game with eight rebounds.

Perhaps the conference’s most dominant player is 6’9″ Kentucky forward Oscar Tshiebwe. The Congolese superstar is considered by many to be the most physically dominant player in the entire country, consistently putting up 17 point, 15 rebound per game numbers.

In addition to the SEC’s dominant bigs, the tournament will also feature some very elite guard play. Leading the charge for No. 2 seed Tennessee is star point guard Kennedy Chandler. In the SEC regular season, Chandler put up impressive 14/3/5 numbers.

Upon highlighting some of the SEC’s most talented backcourts, we must look no further than the No. 3 seed Kentucky, who has a plethora of athletic 2-way guards. Starting for the Wildcats is Freshman point guard TyTy Washington who averaged 12 points per game over the course of the regular season, in addition to four rebounds and four assists. Alongside Washington are Kentucky’s wings Kallan Grady & Sahvir Wheeler, who both put up great numbers for the Wildcats in SEC conference play this season.

Arkansas guard JD Notae will also play a very significant role if the Razorbacks are to challenge the top 3 SEC powerhouses for a conference title.

Where is the value in 2022 SEC Tournament odds?

The favorites in the market to take home the Southeastern Conference title sit-side-by-side in the AP Poll  at No. 4 and No. 5 in the country. The No. 1 seed Auburn sits behind 3-seed Kentucky in futures.

Is the love for Kentucky in the market justified, or are the No. 1-seeded Tigers not getting enough respect Also, is +800 enough value on Arkansas to win the SEC? To answer such questions, we’ll take a look at some efficiency ratings within the conference. Specifically, we’ll compare the Adj SQ amongst the SEC Tournament’s top teams.

According to Shot Quality, the Adj SQ rating measures the adjusted shot quality differential between a team’s offense and their defense. Furthermore, the Adj SQ rating represents the efficiency to which a team conducts their half court offense in relation to their defensive prowess, or the efficiency of its shot quality allowed on defense.

Upon examining these metrics, it is evident that the top-two rated teams in the market – Auburn and Kentucky, have Adj SQ values of 0.3 or higher, which is well above the conference average (well below 0.2). Aside from Tennessee and Arkansas, whose metrics sit at 0.25 & 0.22, respectively, every other team in the conference has a rating 0.2 or lower.

According to these efficiency metrics, Auburn and Kentucky are ranked far above the rest of the field, indicating that despite being the top-two favorites, the value to win the SEC title is atop the market. That said, Auburn’s price to win the SEC most definitely has sufficient value to warrant a wager among 2022 SEC Tournament odds.

2022 SEC Tournament Schedule

All times for the tournament are eastern, with every game being played at Amalie Arena in Tampa Bay, Florida.

Wednesday, March 9

Game 1: No. 12 Missouri vs. No. 13 Ole Miss, 6 p.m.
Game 2: No. 11 Vanderbilt vs. No. 14 Georgia, 8:30 p.m.

Thursday, March 10

Game 3: No. 8 Texas A&M vs. No. 9 Florida, 12 p.m.
Game 4: No. 5 LSU vs. Game 1 winner, 2:30 p.m.
Game 5: No. 7 South Carolina vs. No. 10 Mississippi State, 6 p.m.
Game 6: No. 6 Alabama vs. Game 2 winner, 8:30 p.m.

Quarterfinals

Game 7: No. 1 Auburn v Game 3 Winner, 12 p.m.
Game 8: No. 4 Arkansas v Game 4 Winner, 2 p.m.
Game 9: No. 2 Tennessee v Game 5 Winner, 6 p.m.
Game 10: No. 3 Kentucky v Game 6 Winner, 8 p.m.

Semifinals and Final

Semifinals: Saturday, March 12; 1 and 3:30 p.m.
Championship Game: Sunday, March 13; 1 p.m.

How To Watch

First and second-round games will be broadcast on the SEC Network. In the quarterfinals, the two early-window games will be on ESPN, with the evening window back on SEC Network. Both semifinals and the championship game will be on ESPN.

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