Why Seattle Seahawks Odds Are Worth Betting To Win NFC West
After trading Russell Wilson to Denver last offseason, Seattle was arguably the biggest surprise of the 2022 NFL campaign. Thanks to Geno Smith’s otherworldly resurgence, the Seahawks blew past their win total of 5.5 — en route to nine victories before falling to the 49ers in the wild-card round. They’re set at in that same market this time around, along with a price tag among NFC West odds. So how should bettors gauge Seattle Seahawks odds in 2023?
reloading for a run
For starters, the Seahawks inked Smith to a three-year, $105 million contract in March. Granted, the 10-year signal caller could undergo some regression after finishing with more dropped interceptions than any quarterback with at least 300 pass attempts. But their skill-position prowess helped negate Smith’s turnover-prone tendencies, along with a shaky offensive line. Improvements have also arrived in both departments.
Seattle reeled in Ohio State product Jaxon Smith-Njigba, arguably the most talented wideout in the 2023 NFL Draft. Smith-Njigba is an inside-outside threat who will line up in the slot between D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. Outside of the Bengals, Smith has the NFL’s top receiving core at his disposal if Smith-Njigba lives up to the hype.
Up front, Evan Brown carries over his 15th-rated run-blocking skillet from brief stint with the Lions (via Pro Football Focus). Expecting one of their second-year tackles in Charles Cross, who allowed only three sacks in final 10 games of 2022, or Abraham Lucas to take a step forward is a realistic notion. Just consider the second-year leaps we’ve seen of late — a la Giants left tackle Andrew Thomas last season.
After ranking No. 26 in EPA allowed, Seattle kicked off the draft with corner Devon Witherspoon with the fifth-overall pick. At Illinois, Witherspoon gave up a 34.9% completion percentage into his coverage and racked up 20 forced incompletions without giving up a single touchdown.
Merge his upside with top-35 cornerback Tariq Woolen, plus Quandre Diggs and a soon-to-be healthy Jamal Adams at safety, and the Seahawks possess a secondary with an extremely high ceiling.
In free agency, the Seahawks brought back Bobby Wagner, who was PFF’s top-rated linebacker in 2022. In particular, Wagner is elite at stopping the run, which represented their biggest Achilles’ heel on this side of the ball. Nose tackle Jarran Reed, who also returns to the Emerald City following stints in Kansas City and Green Bay, should assist in that regard too.
The Pete carroll factor
Carroll has gone 8-4-1 to the over on NFL win totals in 13 years with Seattle. To boot, he’s never tallied fewer than seven wins. Eyeing their alternative win total is worth a look if your power ratings are high on this team.
Seahawks 2023 Schedule Analysis
Last season, Seattle took on the lowest percentage of QBs who were backups or amassed the No. 30 or worse dropback EPA ranking. John Wofford, Mike White, and Baker Mayfield were the lone outliers. This path will set up more in their favor, especially given the state of the Cardinals and Rams — two of their inter-divisional opponents.
Moreover, 49ers signal-caller Brock Purdy and his protection are both very much a question mark. Purdy was the only name within PFF’s top-16 graded QBs with a higher turnover-worthy play rate than a big-time throw rate. Anticipate some negative variance to head in Purdy’s direction after San Francisco’s offense posted the league’s second-highest EPA from Week 13 onward.
Then there’s All-Pro left tackle Trent Williams, who turned 35 years old in July and hasn’t played a full season since 2013. Per PFF, San Francisco’s three projected interior offensive linemen (Aaron Banks, Jon Feliciano, and Spencer Burford) failed to grade in the mere 40th percentile at their respective positions in 2022.
Similar to the table above, click on any of the following Seahawks odds to bet. You can also shop NFL Week 1 odds on TheLines.com.
CONCLUSION ON seahawks odds
Kyle Shanahan’s team is slightly overvalued to claim the NFC West crown (). While my ratings show value in Seattle going over its win total, the divisional market is a more attractive option at plus money. My NFL futures card is below. Best of luck on how you decide to bet Seahawks odds.
|NFL Futures Wagers||Odds||Units|
|Ravens To Win Super Bowl 58||+2500||0.75|
|Dennis Allen To Win 2023 NFL Coach of the Year||+2500||0.15|
|Cowboys To Win NFC East||+195||1.00|
|Bengals Under 11.5 Wins||-120||1.20|
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