Seahawks vs. Rams: Wild Card Playoff Round NFL Betting Preview – January 9, 2021

Posted By Staff on January 5, 2021 - Last Updated on January 9, 2021

The Los Angeles Rams (10-6) visit the Seattle Seahawks (12-4) in the NFC Wild Card round of the 2020 NFL Playoffs as underdogs on January 9, 2021 at 4:40 PM ET on FOX. The contest has a point total of .

The Seahawks are back in the playoffs for a third straight year after beating the San Francisco 49ers 26-23 in Week 17 and will host the NFC West rival Rams in the NFC Wild Card Round as the conference’s No. 3 seed. Seattle won the NFC West for the fifth time in the last 11 years and earned the right to host a playoff game at Lumen Field.

The Rams return to the postseason after a one-year hiatus. They beat the rival Arizona Cardinals 18-7 at home in Week 17 to secure the NFC’s No. 6 seed. The two teams split their head-to-head series in 2020; the Rams won 23-16 in Los Angeles in Week 10 and the Seahawks won 20-9 at Lumen Field in Week 16. The Rams lead the head-to-head rivalry series 6-4 since returning to L.A. to begin the 2016 season.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of January 5, 2021, 1:41 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Seahawks vs Rams Betting Odds

Seahawks vs Rams Props

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Rams vs. Seahawks game matchup

The Rams’ injury report is sure to dominate headlines for much of the week. It will reportedly be “challenging” for QB Jared Goff (thumb) to play Saturday following thumb surgery. WR Cooper Kupp (COVID-19) also missed the regular-season finale but has a chance to return for the playoffs. RB Darrell Henderson (ankle) is on the Reserve/Injured list, as is OT Andrew Whitworth.

Backup QB John Wolford made his first NFL start in Goff’s place in Week 17 and went 22-for-38 for 231 yards with no touchdowns and one interception in the must-win game against the Cardinals. Rookie RB Cam Akers, a second-round pick out of Florida State emerged late in the season to finish with 145 carries for 625 yards and two scores with another 123 yards and one touchdown coming on 11 receptions through 13 games (five starts).

It will be a Rams defense that ranked No. 1 in the NFL with 281.9 yards allowed per game, 18.5 points allowed per game, and 4.6 yards allowed per play that will be leaned on heavily if L.A. has any hope of advancing to the divisional round. The defense also ranked ninth in ESPN’s Team Pass Rush Win Rate but just 17th in Run Stop Win Rate. The unit was fourth by Football Outsiders’ total DVOA and first in weighted DVOA.

Seattle finished 12th with 5.8 yards per play on offense. After starting the year with 30-plus points scored in seven of their first eight games, the Seahawks finished 17th with 369.5 total yards per game, and eighth with 28.7 points per game. QB Russell Wilson was an MVP frontrunner for the first half of the season and finished 4,212 passing yards and 40 touchdowns tosses against 13 interceptions while adding 513 yards and two scores on the ground.

The Seattle defense improved immensely over the course of the season and finished as FO’s 16th-ranked unit overall. They ranked 12th with 5.5 yards allowed per play. They may have taken a huge hit in Week 17, however, with star S Jamal Adams headed toward a questionable tag for Saturday’s game due to a shoulder injury suffered against the Niners.

Betting breakdown

Both teams covered the spread in their head-to-head win in the regular season. The Rams did so as 3-point favorites and the Seahawks were favored by 1.5 points in the rematch. Both games this season played to the Under on lines of 55.5 and 48 in Games 1 and 2, respectively.

The Seahawks were favored in all but two games in the regular season. They went 8-8 against the spread overall, 6-2 at home, and 7-7 as favorites. As favorites, they faced seven spreads larger than Saturday’s 4.5-point number and went 2-5.

The Rams were 9-7 ATS and covered by an average of 1.1 points per game. They were 4-4 ATS on the road, and 2-2 ATS in just four games as underdogs. They were spotted 1.5, 2, 4, and 1.5 points in those games.

The Over/Under of 42.5 or 43 is the lowest projected total on the wild-card slate. Los Angeles played to the Under in 12 of 16 games for the second-highest percentage of Unders in the NFL and fell an average of 5.4 PPG below the line. Seattle went 7-9 against the O/U but averaged 0.4 PPG more than the projection. The Seahawks played to the Under in seven straight games before hitting the Over against the Niners.

Betting the Total (Over/Under)

  • Seattle and its opponents have combined to score more than 43.0 in 11 games (68.8% of matchups).
  • Los Angeles’ games have gone over 43.0 points on seven occasions (43.8% of games).
  • These two teams score a combined average of 51.9 points per game, higher than the total for this matchup by 8.9 points.
  • The over/under for this game is set at 43.0 points, 1.3 points higher than the two teams’ opponents scoring average.
  • The points total average for Seahawks games this season is 51.9, 8.9 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • Rams games average 41.8 total points, 1.2 fewer than the total for this matchup.
  • The Seahawks score the eighth-most points in the league this season, while the Rams’ offense racks up the 22nd-most.
  • This matchup features the league’s top-ranked (Los Angeles) and 15th-ranked (Seattle) scoring defenses.
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Seahawks Betting Insights

  • Seattle has put together an 8-8 record against the spread this season.
  • The Seahawks are just 3-5 ATS when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.
  • Just nine of Seattle’s 16 games this year have gone over the point total (43.8% of its outings).

Rams Betting Insights

  • Los Angeles has an 8-7 record against the spread.
  • The Rams have an even ATS record of 3-3 when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.
  • Just 12 of Los Angeles’ 16 games this year have gone over the point total (25% of its outings).

Seahawks vs Rams: Head to Head

Seahawks vs Rams: Last 4 Meetings
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
12/27/2020 Seahawks Seahawks -1.5 47.5 -124 +107 334-292 LAR 20-9 SEA
11/15/2020 Rams Rams -2.5 55. -139 +123 389-333 LAR 23-16 LAR
12/8/2019 Rams Rams -1.5 47.5 -118 +104 455-308 LAR 28-12 LAR
10/3/2019 Seahawks Seahawks -1.5 48.5 -121 +106 477-429 LAR 30-29 SEA

Check out TheLines YouTube channel to learn more about betting tips and picks for this week’s NFL action.

When the Seahawks Have the Ball

  • The Seahawks, on average, score 10.2 more points per game this season (28.7) than the Rams allow (18.5).
  • In games where Seattle score at least 28.7 points this season, they are 6-2 overall and 6-2 against the spread.
  • When the Los Angeles defense allows 18.5 points or fewer this year, the Rams have put together a 7-0 overall record and a 5-1 record against the spread.
  • The Seahawks hold an 87.4-yard advantage in total yards gained versus total yards allowed compared to the Rams defense this season (369.5 to 282.1). The Seahawks average 5.8 yards per play while the Rams give up 4.6 per play.
  • In contests where the Seattle offense totals at least their average yard output this season, they are 5-2 against the spread and 5-2 overall.
  • When Los Angeles allows fewer total yards to opposing offenses than their season average, they are 5-1 against the spread and 6-1 overall this season.
  • The Rams have allowed opposing rushing attacks to average 91.4 yards per game in 2020 compared to the 123.2 yards the Seahawks offense has averaged on the ground per contest.
  • When Seattle rushers gain at least a combined 123.2 yards this season, they are 5-1 overall and 3-3 against the spread.
  • This season, when the Los Angeles defense allows opponents to pick up less than 91.4 yards on the ground, they are 3-1 against the spread and 4-1 overall.
  • This season, the Rams have forced an average of 1.4 turnovers per game compared to the 1.1 times Seahawks have turned the football over in each contest.
  • When Seattle turns the football over 1.1 times or fewer this season, they are 12-0 overall and 8-4 against the spread.
  • Los Angeles is 5-3 against the spread and 5-3 overall this season when they force at least 1.4 turnovers in a game.

When the Rams Have the Ball

  • The Rams rack up per game (23.2) than the Seahawks allow (23.2).
  • Los Angeles is 6-1 against the spread and 6-1 overall a season ago when the team records at least 23.2 points.
  • Seattle has a 6-2 record against the spread and a 6-2 record overall in games when it gives up 28.7 points or less.
  • The Rams average just 3.6 fewer yards per game (377), than the Seahawks give up per matchup (380.6). On average, the Rams gain 5.5 yards per play, while the Seahawks allow 5.5 per play.
  • Seattle’s record last season when they racked up at least their season average in total yards: 6-1 overall and 3-2-1 ATS.
  • In games Seattle keeps its opponents to 380.6 or fewer yards, it has a 4-4 record ATS and a 7-1 record overall.
  • This season, the Rams rack up 126.2 rushing yards per game, 30.6 more per game than the Seahawks allow per contest (95.6).
  • When Los Angeles runs for at least 126.2 yards, it had a 5-2 ATS record and a 5-2 overall record.
  • This season, Seattle is 6-4 against the spread and 9-1 overall when holding opponents to no more than 95.6 yards on the ground.
  • This year, the Rams turn the ball over 1.6 times per game, only 0.2 more turnovers per game than the 1.4 the Seahawks force on average.
  • Los Angeles has a 7-4 record against the spread and an 8-3 record overall when it turns the ball over 1.6 times or less.
  • This season, Seattle has a 4-3 record against the spread and a 6-1 record overall when it forces at least 1.4 turnovers.

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Seahawks Players to Watch

  • Russell Wilson leads the team with 4,212 passing yards (263.3 yards per game) and has a 68.8% completion percentage this year (384-of-558) while throwing 40 touchdowns and 13 interceptions in 16 games. He also has 513 rushing yards on 83 carries with two touchdowns, averaging 32.1 yards per game.
  • Chris Carson has rushed for a team-leading 681 yards on 141 attempts (56.8 yards per game) while scoring five touchdowns in 12 games. He also averages 23.9 receiving yards per game, grabbing 37 passes for 287 yards and four touchdowns.
  • D.K. Metcalf has reeled in 83 passes to lead the team with 1,303 yards while scoring 10 touchdowns. He has been targeted 129 times and averages 81.4 yards per game over 16 outings.
  • Tyler Lockett has added 1,054 yards on 100 grabs with 10 touchdowns. He has been targeted 132 times and averages 65.9 receiving yards per game over the course of 16 matchups this year.
  • David Moore has caught 35 passes on 47 targets for 417 yards and six touchdowns, averaging 26.1 yards per game in 16 contests in 2020.
  • Jamal Adams has 9.5 sacks to lead the team, and has also added 11.0 TFL and 84 tackles over 12 games.
  • Bobby Wagner has totaled 136 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and three sacks to lead the team in tackles so far in 16 games over the 2020 campaign.
  • Quandre Diggs has a team-high five interceptions and has tacked on 64 tackles and 10 passes defended 16 in games this season.

Rams Players to Watch

  • This year, John Wolford has recorded 231 passing yards (231.0 yards per game) while going 22-for-38 (57.9% completion percentage) and throwing zero touchdowns and one interception in one game. He has tacked on a 56 rushing yards on six carries, averaging 56.0 yards per game.
  • Cam Akers has taken 145 attempts for a team-leading 625 rushing yards (48.1 yards per game) while scoring two touchdowns in 13 games.
  • Malcolm Brown leads the team with 418 rushing yards on 101 carries (26.1 yards per game), with five touchdowns on the ground over the course of 16 games in 2020.
  • This season, Robert Woods has 90 catches (on 130 targets) to lead the team with 935 yards (58.4 per game) while scoring six touchdowns in 16 games.
  • Josh Reynolds has also tacked on 52 catches for 618 yards and two touchdowns in 16 games this year. He has been targeted 81 times and averages 38.6 receiving yards per game.
  • Tyler Higbee has caught 44 passes on 60 targets for 522 yards and five touchdowns, averaging 34.8 yards per game in 15 contests in 2020.
  • Aaron Donald has 13.5 sacks to lead the team, and has also added 14.0 TFL and 45 tackles over 16 games.
  • John Johnson has racked up 102 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one interception to lead the team in tackles so far in 16 games over the 2020 campaign.
  • Darious Williams has a team-high four interceptions and has tacked on 43 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 14 passes defended 16 in games this season.

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