Scottie Scheffler Odds: How Often In Golf History World No. 1 Wins As Big Favorite

On the eve of the U.S. Open, Scottie Scheffler is only available at in outright markets at domestic betting sites. Scottie Scheffler odds have entered rare air. For good reason: the man has won five of his last eight starts, including The Masters, along with a pair of T2s. Only a T8 at the PGA Championship "stains" his recent record.

Only prime Tiger Woods has gotten comparable respect in golf markets. So, how have favorites on the order of current Scheffler odds done in major golf tournaments? TheLines.com decided to examine the results of betting extreme golf chalk prior to U.S. Open odds turning into live markets on Thursday.

Scottie Scheffler US Open Odds

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History of Biggest Golf Favorites In Majors

Going back to the past 20 years (2004-2023 and 2024 majors), here's a look at every PGA golfer who checked in at +500 or shorter for a major championship, along with his results:

Heavy Major Favorites Have Produced A Slight Profit

If a bettor wagered one unit on each of these heavy major favorites, he or she would have profited +0.5u. The strategy would have peaked just shy of 10u profit before a lean stretch from 2009 through 2015 sapped 12 units of profit.

However, even comparing the current Scheffler odds to some of these +500s might not provide proper context. Narrowing the sample down to only +300 or shorter, betting these would have produced a -1u loss. Note that Woods did have four runners-up, and flipping just one of those to a win would have put the strategy in the black.

Overall, it appears the betting market has done a good job properly pricing these heavy golf favorites. As bettors reenter a golf landscape that hasn't really been seen in more than a decade, they would do well to keep that in mind.