Scottie Scheffler Odds: How Often In Golf History World No. 1 Wins As Big Favorite
On the eve of the U.S. Open, Scottie Scheffler is only available at in outright markets at domestic betting sites. Scottie Scheffler odds have entered rare air. For good reason: the man has won five of his last eight starts, including The Masters, along with a pair of T2s. Only a T8 at the PGA Championship “stains” his recent record.
Only prime Tiger Woods has gotten comparable respect in golf markets. So, how have favorites on the order of current Scheffler odds done in major golf tournaments? TheLines.com decided to examine the results of betting extreme golf chalk prior to U.S. Open odds turning into live markets on Thursday.
Scottie Scheffler US Open Odds
History of Biggest Golf Favorites In Majors
Going back to the past 20 years (2004-2023 and 2024 majors), here’s a look at every PGA golfer who checked in at +500 or shorter for a major championship, along with his results:
| Event | Golfer | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 Masters | T. Woods | +350 | T22 |
| 2004 U.S. Open | T. Woods | +500 | T17 |
| 2005 Masters | T. Woods | +350 | W |
| 2005 PGA Championship | T. Woods | +200 | T4 |
| 2005 U.S. Open | T. Woods | +400 | T2 |
| 2005 British Open | T. Woods | +300 | W |
| 2006 Masters | T. Woods | +200 | T3 |
| 2006 PGA Championship | T. Woods | +200 | W |
| 2006 U.S. Open | T. Woods | +400 | CUT |
| 2006 British Open | T. Woods | +500 | W |
| 2007 Masters | T. Woods | +150 | T2 |
| 2007 PGA Championship | T. Woods | +300 | W |
| 2007 U.S. Open | T. Woods | +250 | T2 |
| 2007 British Open | T. Woods | +250 | T12 |
| 2008 Masters | T. Woods | +130 | T2 |
| 2008 U.S. Open | T. Woods | +200 | W |
| 2009 Masters | T. Woods | +220 | T6 |
| 2009 PGA Championship | T. Woods | +175 | T2 |
| 2009 U.S. Open | T. Woods | +175 | T6 |
| 2009 British Open | T. Woods | +250 | CUT |
| 2010 Masters | T. Woods | +300 | T4 |
| 2010 British Open | T. Woods | +500 | T23 |
| 2011 Masters | T. Woods | +400 | T4 |
| 2012 Masters | T. Woods | +450 | T40 |
| 2013 Masters | T. Woods | +350 | T4 |
| 2013 PGA Championship | T. Woods | +400 | T40 |
| 2013 U.S. Open | T. Woods | +450 | T32 |
| 2015 British Open | J. Spieth | +500 | T4 |
| 2024 Masters | S. Scheffler | +500 | W |
| 2024 PGA Championship | S. Scheffler | +450 | T8 |
| 2024 U.S. Open | S. Scheffler | +300 | TBD |
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Heavy Major Favorites Have Produced A Slight Profit
If a bettor wagered one unit on each of these heavy major favorites, he or she would have profited +0.5u. The strategy would have peaked just shy of 10u profit before a lean stretch from 2009 through 2015 sapped 12 units of profit.
However, even comparing the current Scheffler odds to some of these +500s might not provide proper context. Narrowing the sample down to only +300 or shorter, betting these would have produced a -1u loss. Note that Woods did have four runners-up, and flipping just one of those to a win would have put the strategy in the black.
Overall, it appears the betting market has done a good job properly pricing these heavy golf favorites. As bettors reenter a golf landscape that hasn’t really been seen in more than a decade, they would do well to keep that in mind.
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