Scotty Miller: Super Bowl Player Props for Buccaneers vs Chiefs – February 7, 2021

Posted By Staff on February 4, 2021

Scotty Miller and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers take on the Kansas City Chiefs in the Super Bowl on Sunday at home at Raymond James Stadium. Here’s some betting insights and tips around Miller’s receiving yards prop bet in that matchup.

Get the best betting breakdowns and picks on TheLines sports betting podcast

Scotty Miller Super Bowl Player Props

Scotty Miller Props: What You Need To Know

Where there is Tom Brady, there is an undersized slot receiver making waves across the NFL not too far away. Scotty Miller– a Bowling Green product– has been the beneficiary of Brady’s love for slot guys but also brings blazing speed that Brady has not yet had in a slot receiver; the result: an aDOT of 16 yards and 500 yards on just 30 receptions. Far from a volume receiver like Julian Edelman or Wes Welker, Miller has been good for a 30-yard bomb that changes the momentum of the game about once a week. In the NFC Championship, it was a last-second touchdown to close out the first half that ended up being the deciding factor in that game.

However, throughout the playoffs, Miller has been buried by other weapons including Antonio Brown and averaged just 11% of offensive snaps in the two playoff games Brown participated in. Should Brown have played in the NFC Championship game, that long touchdown would likely have been Brown’s, not Miller’s.

The other factor going against Miller this week is his matchup with stellar rookie slot corner L’Jarius Sneed. While it can’t be ruled out, another long touchdown is likely out of the equation should Brown play in the Super Bowl. He can be expected to be a situational player who might see a target should Miller get loose on a third-and-long play. While more than a target or two is far from a guarantee, his value on a touchdown prop could be worth a consideration as long as Brown’s availability is up in the air.

Scott Miller: Super Bowl Prop Checklist

Best Super Bowl Prop Bets

Miller’s Game-by-Game Stats

Week Opponent Off. Snaps Targets Receptions Yards TDs
Week 1 @Saints 43 6 5 73 0
Week 2 Panthers 42 3 2 11 0
Week 3 @Broncos 29 5 3 83 0
Week 4 Chargers 40 7 5 83 1
Week 5 @Bears 45 0 0 0 0
Week 6 Packers 23 2 1 6 0
Week 7 @Raiders 43 9 6 109 1
Week 8 @Giants 53 6 3 35 0
Week 9 Saints 19 3 1 10 0
Week 10 @Panthers 9 1 1 4 0
Week 11 Rams 15 0 0 0 0
Week 12 Chiefs 10 1 0 0 0
Week 14 Vikings 5 2 1 48 1
Week 15 @Falcons 13 3 3 20 0
Week 16 @Lions 23 2 1 7 0
Week 17 Falcons 28 3 1 12 0
NFC Wild Card Round @Washington 8 1 1 15 0
NFC Divisional Round @Saints 8 2 1 29 0
NFC Championship @Packers 28 3 2 36 1

Receiving Yards Betting Trends

  • Miller is averaging 30.6 receiving yards per game, 5.9 fewer than his prop bet over/under for Sunday’s game (36.5).
  • In 26.3% of his games this year (five of 19), Miller has totaled more than 36.5 receiving yards.
  • The Chiefs defense has allowed opposing receivers to accumulate the 18th-most yards in the NFL this season (248.0 per game).
  • Miller’s average prop bet for receiving yards is an over/under of 40.8 per game. He averages 10.2 fewer per game than that average.
  • In only 26.3% of his games (five out of 19 chances), Miller has outpaced his average receiving yards prop bet (40.8).
  • In only five of his 13 games (38.5%), Miller has hit the over on receiving yards prop bets.

Check out TheLines YouTube channel to learn more about betting tips and picks for this week’s NFL action.

Odds and insights reflect consensus player props available as of February 1, 2021. CLICK HERE to place your bet on Scott Miller or the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Betting Odds

Powered By Data Skrive using data from

Staff Avatar
Written by
Staff

View all posts by Staff