The first PGA TOUR event following the Ryder Cup is here, and Sanderson Farms Championship odds are available at legal US sportsbooks.
The only golfer that participated in the Ryder Cup returning to action is defending champion Sergio Garcia. He’ll be one of the favorites after cashing in at odds near +6000 in last year’s event.
Low scores are needed to contend and win at the Country Club of Jackson, which has been the host course since 2014. Longshot winners have been more common at this tournament in Mississippi. And with no players in the field ranked in the top 20 of the world golf rankings, a first time PGA TOUR champion could emerge again as three previous winners did including Sebastian Munoz in a playoff over Sungjae Im in 2019. Those two both return as two of the leading contenders.
Sanderson Farms Championship Odds
Sam Burns, Sungjae Im and Will Zalatoris are among the leading favorites to win in the Sanderson Farms Championship odds this week. Burns (25), Im (29) and Zalatoris (32) are the top-ranked players in the field followed by Sergio Garcia (43), and Matthew Wolff (48), who returns for his first event of the season.
Sanderson Farms Recent Winners and Runner-ups:
- 2021 – Sergio Garcia (-19), Peter Malnati
- 2020 – Sebastian Munoz (-18), Sungjae Im
- 2019 – Cameron Champ (-21), Corey Connors
- 2018 – Ryan Armour (-19), Chesson Hadley
Playoff in 2020. Munoz, Champ and Armour were all first-time PGA TOUR winners.
The last four 54-hole leaders/co-leaders of the Sanderson Farms Championship have converted for the win.
Notable Players and Top Finishers
Along with Burns, Im, Zalatoris, Garcia and Wolff, Corey Conners, Russell Henley, Charley Hoffman, Keegan Bradley and Gary Woodland add more veteran proven performers to the field. Top Sanderson Farms finishers in 2020 and 2019 returning for this year’s event include:
1 – Sergio Garcia (-19)
2 – Peter Malnati
3 – J.T. Poston
T4 – Henrik Norlander
T4 – Keegan Bradley
T6 – Cam Davis, Charley Hoffman, Denny McCarthy
T6 – Tyler McCumber, Scott Stallings
Scoring Average 2020 event
Round 1 – 70.95
Round 2 – 71.59
Round 3 – 70.74
Round 4 – 70.59 with lowest back 9 of week (34.71)
Toughest hole for the week in 2020 event was the par-4 16th (4.162) with just a 9% birdie rate and 20% bogey rate. Next toughest was the par-4 6th and par-4 18th. Three par-5s rank as the easiest holes at No. 14, 3 and 11.
1 – Sebastian Munoz (-18)
2 – Sungjae Im
T4 – Carlos Ortiz, Kevin Streelman
T6 – Bronson Burgoon, Dylan Frittelli
T11 – J.T. Poston, Lanto Griffin
COURSE AND TOURNAMENT INFO
- Course: Country Club of Jackson
- Location: Jackson, Mississippi
- Date: Sept. 30 – Oct. 3, 2021
- Par: 72 / Yardage 7,461
- Purse: $7.0 Million / Winner $1.3 Million
- Fairways/Rough: Bermudagrass
- Greens: Bermudagrass (Champion)
- TV: Golf Channel
- Twitter: @Sanderson_Champ
The course was redesigned in 2008 but still maintains its “Golden Age” architectural features by Donald Ross. Closely mown run-off areas with undulating pushed-up greens can be tricky if the course is dry and fast.
When looking for comparable courses with similar strain of bermuda greens, look towards TPC Southwind and Sedgefield. Since the first event at the Country Club in Jackson in 2014, five of the six winners in Mississippi led the field in birdie-or-better for the week – the percentage of holes on which they broke par. Sungjae Im did as well when he finished runner-up in 2019. Sergio Garcia finished among the leaders in birdie-or-better in his first start at the event in victory, and he birdied the 72nd hole for a one-stroke win.
The signature hole is No. 16 – a par-4 with water in front and down the left side.
Garcia was top five in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green, Ball Striking and Total when winning the event last year. Those stats are worth evaluating most weeks on TOUR, but Off-the-Tee is a metric of significance this week and pay attention to Birdies or Better Gained. Players can rip it off the tee with more forgiveness, but accuracy and approach play in hitting more greens is essential for making birdies and scoring. A hot putter will help players emerge as contenders on Sunday.
Players hit short irons into greens at a higher rate on the Country Club at Jackson. According to data golf, approach stats from 125-150 yards (18.5%) and even 100-125 yards (15.3%) were most common in the 2021 event.
Golf betting stats and strategy for Sanderson Farms Championship odds also show that ranking in the top 10 in putting for the week has been on every winners profile except for Sergio Garcia in the Sanderson Farms Championship.
The top players in Birdies of Better Gained at the Country Club of Jackson include: (Min 10 rounds, stats from Fantasy National)
- Peter Malnati
- Aaron Wise
- Ryan Armour
- Dylan Frittelli
- Sebastian Munoz
- Bronson Burgoon
- Kevin Streelman
- Seamus Power
- J.T. Poston
- Nick Taylor
- Sungjae Im
Golfers To Watch
Strong putters have often prevailed in the Sanderson Farms Championship. Or better said is players with strong putting weeks, as last year’s winner Sergio Garcia is not a good putter by PGA TOUR standards. Since the inaugural event in 2014 at the Country Club of Jackson, first-time winners have often prevailed.
Sam Burns emerged on the PGA TOUR this past season, and he’s not only the favorite this year, but one of the best putters on bermudagrass. He also led the Sanderson Farms field in birdie-or-better percentage last year – which the first five champions did along with runner-up Sungjae Im in 2019. Sergio Garcia ranked second last year and Sebastian Munoz sixth in birdie-or-better when winning in 2019.
Burns joins Will Zalatoris as the only two golfers less than +2000 to win on FanDuel Sportsbook, while BetMGM also has Sungjae Im, Corey Connors and defending champion Sergio Garcia also at +1800 to win.
Looking beyond the favorites, here are some other golfers to watch that could challenge and make a run for the title, and even another first time winner.
Carlos Ortiz ()
Ortiz tops the field in strokes gained total for players with at least 10 rounds at the Country Club of Jackson. He’s also No. 2 in SG: Off-the-Tee, which is a key metric this week, and top 10 in putting and short game. Ortiz has finished top-5 in this event in 2018 and 2019, and he has the second-best bogey avoidance rate on this course. His fate will be determined by his putter, but Ortiz can challenge again with odds of +400 or better for a top 10 finish also a worthy wager.
Aaron Wise ()
Wise is a top young talent, but a very poor putter. Yet he’s had some success here finishing T17 last year with strokes gained across the board including 3.2 putting. His tee-to-green game is solid, and Wise actually ranked top 10 last season on TOUR in hitting greens. He’s also No. 1 in birdies-or-better gained in this field over his last 36 rounds. Wise finished top-10 at Wells Fargo in May on Bermuda greens, fairways and rough, and finished T21 or better in two FedExCup Playoff events against stronger fields. The talent and potential is there to rise up for a second PGA TOUR win.
Peter Malnati ()
This is a home game and special event for 34-year-old Peter Malnati. Raised in East Tennessee and currently living in Knoxville, Malnati earned his first PGA TOUR win at this event in 2015. He finished 2nd last year, and yet he’s 100/1 to win this year. Malnati is a strong putter and among the better ones on Bermuda. He calls the greens on this course “flawless, impeccable’ and among the very best in the world. His odds are this long because his strokes gained stats don’t stack up. But his putting and short game does, and he’s shown that on this course which he loves. Malnati enters in better form off a T25 in the Fortinet Championship to open the 2021-22 season while gaining strokes across the board.
Matt Wallace ()
Englishman Matt Wallace has been grinding in majors and stronger events and fields since mid-May without a top 25 finish. But he finished sixth at the Wells Fargo Championship on bermuda in early May and now gets a weaker field and scoring course to attack. Wallace ranks top 20 in this field in SG: Total, T2G, Ball Striking, Around the Green and Approach over his last 50 rounds, and over his last 24 he’s top 25 in Good Drives Gained and Greens in Regulation Gained, and top 10 in SG: Par 4s. If he can make more putts, Wallace will far exceed these value odds for a capable player.